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Saga vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 76-95
19-23 15-18 22-32 20-22
Position#12
Record19-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#6
Record25-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Chiba
10 Feb 2027
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
SAGA76
CHIB95
31 Jan 2026
SAGA83
CHIB79
23 Oct 2024
SAGA74
CHIB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 74
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 74
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 74
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 74
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 74
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 74
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 74
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 74
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
98avg 74
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 74
H31/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
24-20
23-22
19-16
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
18-25
23-18
28-20
15-15
14-19
10-17
13-25
14-20
20-23
19-16
27-10
19-24
24-23
24-17
13-17
18-16
24-21
26-21
23-29
22-17
15-20
11-22
27-18
30-19
160.4Avg total
82.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.381.8163.1-0.556%
Season at home (19)81.081.5162.5-0.558%
Season away (15)81.782.2163.9-0.553%
Last 10 (10)82.677.8160.4+4.890%
Last 5 (5)78.678.8157.4-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.284.6157.8-11.333%
vs Similar (12)87.482.0169.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (9)80.879.7160.4+1.167%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
89-60
89
60
+29
96avg 78
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
106-81
106
81
+25
108avg 78
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 78
A27/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
74avg 78
A28/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 78
H03/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 78
H04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
61-92
61
92
-31
41avg 78
H24/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
56avg 78
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 78
H28/01
B League
Saga
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
81avg 78
A31/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
25-12
19-12
18-17
22-18
26-26
36-16
22-21
15-22
23-22
18-19
23-23
19-19
18-18
20-19
20-37
13-22
23-9
18-16
25-25
27-19
21-14
19-15
21-25
9-26
20-23
21-21
11-22
21-12
13-15
17-16
12-22
17-20
22-13
23-16
17-23
20-15
22-11
18-27
19-30
157.7Avg total
80.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.174.8156.9+7.274%
Season at home (18)82.471.7154.2+10.783%
Season away (16)81.678.3159.9+3.362%
Last 10 (10)80.077.7157.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)74.077.0151.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.089.5167.5-11.50%
vs Similar (13)75.178.2153.2-3.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.369.9156.3+16.493%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
SagaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
B League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.283.2-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.443.982.4-5.524%-
Last 30 away (13)42.242.284.3+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.877.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.442.979.3-6.422%-
vs Similar (12)42.642.885.4-0.250%-
vs Weaker (9)40.243.984.1-3.744%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H24/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/01
B League
Saga
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
B League
75.8Avg total
40.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.579.4+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.836.578.2+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)42.138.680.7+3.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.575.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.672.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.578.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (13)39.040.879.8-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.134.279.3+10.987%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.0
53.7%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.6
31.6%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.617.1
83.0%
73.1%17.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.1%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
73.1%14.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWWWLWWWWW
Chiba
LWLLWWLLWW
#12
League position
#6
+6.0
Net rating
+2.0
106.8
Offensive rating
98.9
100.8
Defensive rating
96.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.6%
3-point %
30.1%
75.0%
Assist %
72.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 98.9Defence100.8 · 96.8Shooting50.7% · 50.2%3-point %31.6% · 30.1%Ball care12.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saga wins
3
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Saga v Chiba83-79
12/03/25Chiba v Saga85-71
23/10/24Saga v Chiba74-79
12/11/23Chiba v Saga78-72
11/11/23Chiba v Saga76-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HChiba83-79
28/01/26HShimane95-88
25/01/26AAltiri Chiba79-73
24/01/26AAltiri Chiba85-73
04/01/26HGunma51-81
03/01/26HGunma84-78
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75
21/12/25HYokohama90-74
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ASaga79-83
28/01/26HUtsunomiya Brex79-72
25/01/26HRyukyu63-65
24/01/26HRyukyu61-92
04/01/26HToyama88-73
03/01/26HToyama79-72
28/12/25ANagasaki77-93
27/12/25ANagasaki79-86
24/12/25AYokohama106-81
21/12/25HKyoto89-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %56%58%53%
Points / game81.381.081.7
Allowed / game81.881.582.2
Point differential-0.5-0.5-0.5
Avg total163.1162.5163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%26%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL74%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %74%83%62%
Points / game82.182.481.6
Allowed / game74.871.778.3
Point differential+7.2+10.7+3.3
Avg total156.9154.2159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%61%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3429585%93.477.7+15.7
2 Diamond Dolphins3427779%84.072.4+11.6
3 Utsunomiya Brex3426876%85.078.3+6.7
4 Hokkaido3426876%88.183.1+5.0
5 Chiba3425974%82.174.8+7.2
6 Alvark34231168%80.877.3+3.5
7 Ryukyu34221265%82.476.1+6.3
8 SeaHorses Mikawa34221265%83.678.5+5.1
9 Gunma34211362%82.974.9+8.1
10 Sendai34201459%79.478.3+1.1
11 Hiroshima D.34191556%85.382.6+2.7
12 Saga34191556%81.381.8-0.5
13 Shimane34181653%82.681.3+1.3
14 NeoPhoenix34161847%82.682.6+0.0
15 Osaka34151944%81.081.7-0.7
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya34142041%77.181.5-4.4
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles34132138%81.383.7-2.4
18 Yokohama34122235%78.082.1-4.1
19 Koshigaya Alphas34122235%72.480.0-7.6
20 Shiga34112332%80.487.3-7.0
21 Altiri Chiba34102429%78.984.1-5.3
22 Ibaraki Robots3492526%75.480.1-4.7
23 Brave Thunders3492526%76.584.2-7.6
24 Toyama3492526%82.089.9-7.9
25 Kyoto3492526%70.880.6-9.9
26 Akita3462818%72.885.0-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1915222076
Chiba2318322295
← all games of the day
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