PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
On 18 November 2026 the B League will see Chiba host Akita, with Chiba the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 77% to win, a reflection of their 8-9 season record, 92.5 points per game and 96.0 allowed per game, and a 3-6 home record with 89.8 points scored and 98.3 allowed; their last five games show four wins and one loss, including a 106-94 home victory over Osaka, a 90-87 away win over Shiga and a 111-103 away win over Saga. Akita, meanwhile, sits 4-12 overall, 82.7 points per game and 90.4 allowed, with a 2-7 road record of 77.6 points scored and 87.9 allowed; they have lost their last five games, including defeats to Ibaraki Robots 83-95, Shinshu 96-101 and Levanga Hokkaido 118-123. In their ten meetings Chiba has won seven times, most recently beating Akita 97-59 on 11 March 2026. The Pythia model projects a 93-85 score for Chiba, a total of 177.4 points, a 77% chance of a home win and a 23% chance for Akita, with a 4% overtime probability. The home team line is 77% to cover. The game ends with Chiba's 93 points and Akita's 85.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (18) | 92.2 | 95.1 | 187.3 | -2.9 | 50% |
| Season at home (10) | 89.4 | 96.5 | 185.9 | -7.1 | 40% |
| Season away (8) | 95.6 | 93.4 | 189.0 | +2.2 | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.3 | 90.8 | 179.1 | -2.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 96.4 | 90.2 | 186.6 | +6.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 89.4 | 99.5 | 188.9 | -10.1 | 30% |
| vs Similar (9) | 85.2 | 86.6 | 171.8 | -1.3 | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 94.9 | 84.5 | 179.4 | +10.5 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (18) | 83.3 | 90.7 | 173.9 | -7.4 | 28% |
| Season at home (9) | 89.0 | 93.4 | 182.4 | -4.4 | 33% |
| Season away (9) | 77.6 | 87.9 | 165.4 | -10.3 | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.1 | 95.9 | 185.0 | -6.8 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.6 | 101.0 | 195.6 | -6.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 78.1 | 89.3 | 167.4 | -11.2 | 20% |
| vs Similar (4) | 86.0 | 91.0 | 177.0 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 82.0 | 76.0 | 158.0 | +6.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.3 | 43.6 | 90.9 | +3.7 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 45.1 | 42.7 | 87.8 | +2.4 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 50.6 | 44.9 | 95.5 | +5.7 | 58% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.7 | 43.7 | 88.4 | +1.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.4 | 39.4 | 86.8 | +8.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 46.4 | 48.9 | 95.3 | -2.5 | 30% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 41.9 | 44.1 | 86.0 | -2.2 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 52.5 | 38.3 | 90.8 | +14.3 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.4 | 44.2 | 83.6 | -4.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.9 | 46.6 | 88.5 | -4.8 | 36% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.3 | 42.0 | 79.3 | -4.7 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.3 | 49.0 | 93.3 | -4.7 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.0 | 51.2 | 100.2 | -2.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 39.8 | 44.1 | 84.0 | -4.3 | 32% | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 39.0 | 45.8 | 84.8 | -6.8 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 31.0 | 39.0 | 70.0 | -8.0 | 0% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 19.8 | 53.6% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.1 | 10.3 | 32.9% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 16.3 | 73.8% | 16.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.5 | 18.1 | 53.6% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.4 | 11.1 | 32.9% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 13.8 | 73.8% | 13.8 |
Chiba
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 | Chiba v Akita | 97-59 |
| 29/10/25 | Akita v Chiba | 50-69 |
| 27/04/25 | Chiba v Akita | 77-68 |
| 26/04/25 | Chiba v Akita | 80-65 |
| 03/11/24 | Akita v Chiba | 72-65 |
| 02/11/24 | Akita v Chiba | 82-89 |
| 05/05/24 | Akita v Chiba | 93-88 OT |
| 04/05/24 | Akita v Chiba | 72-88 |
| 10/04/24 | Akita v Chiba | 81-76 |
| 17/01/24 | Chiba v Akita | 105-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Nagasaki | 86-80 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Shiga | 90-87 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Osaka | 106-94 OT |
| 08/11/26 | A | Saga | 111-103 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 89-87 OT |
| 01/11/26 | H | Toyama | 78-83 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Toyama | 93-100 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Osaka | 87-65 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 79-102 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 64-107 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | H | Osaka | 82-76 |
| 13/11/26 | H | Diamond Dolphins | 94-110 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 83-95 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Shinshu | 96-101 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 118-123 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 83-102 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 85-89 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Kyoto | 71-79 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 95-86 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Hiroshima D. | 84-98 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 50% |
| Home | LLWWW | 40% |
| Away | WLWWW | 62% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 18 | 10 | 8 |
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 62% |
| Points / game | 92.2 | 89.4 | 95.6 |
| Allowed / game | 95.1 | 96.5 | 93.4 |
| Point differential | -2.9 | -7.1 | +2.2 |
| Avg total | 187.3 | 185.9 | 189.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 20% | 12% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 22% | 30% | 12% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 28% |
| Home | LLLLW | 33% |
| Away | WLLLL | 22% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 18 | 9 | 9 |
| Win % | 28% | 33% | 22% |
| Points / game | 83.3 | 89.0 | 77.6 |
| Allowed / game | 90.7 | 93.4 | 87.9 |
| Point differential | -7.4 | -4.4 | -10.3 |
| Avg total | 173.9 | 182.4 | 165.4 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 0% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 14 | 12 | 2 | 86% | 91.2 | 78.7 | +12.5 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 18 | 12 | 6 | 67% | 90.8 | 79.9 | +10.9 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 97.3 | 93.2 | +4.1 |
| 10 |  Kyoto | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 |
| 11 |  Toyama | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 |
| 13 |  Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Chiba | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 |
| 15 |  Shimane | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 83.5 | 81.1 | +2.4 |
| 16 |  Shiga | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 81.1 | 83.6 | -2.4 |
| 18 |  Yokohama | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 |
| 19 |  Altiri Chiba | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 |
| 22 |  Brave Thunders | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 |
| 23 | Akita | 18 | 5 | 13 | 28% | 83.3 | 90.7 | -7.4 |
| 24 |  Kobe | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 |
| 25 |  Saga | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 77.3 | 95.6 | -18.3 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 17 | 1 | 16 | 6% | 70.4 | 90.4 | -20.0 |
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