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Chicago State vs Stonehill Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#267
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#327
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Chicago State v Stonehill
23 Jan 2027
CHIC v STON
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
CHIC68
STON55
12 Jan 2025
CHIC52
STON68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stonehill win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
59-109
59
109
-50
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
33-32
28-25
42-26
31-32
25-41
24-42
37-38
33-40
42-39
30-56
29-53
34-22
32-32
33-53
34-29
39-26
42-36
29-46
38-41
139.8Avg total
66.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Season at home (1)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
Season away (4)68.278.0146.2-9.850%
Last 10 (10)66.173.7139.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)63.675.2138.8-11.617%
vs Similar (4)76.273.2149.5+3.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)75.558.0133.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
37-88
37
88
-51
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
21-32
32-24
45-44
54-33
49-44
30-30
32-32
39-32
42-39
19-23
32-33
47-23
37-33
30-30
33-53
36-34
19-41
21-43
16-45
138.7Avg total
67.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)59.875.5135.2-15.825%
Season at home (1)84.056.0140.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)51.782.0133.7-30.30%
Last 10 (10)67.471.3138.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)58.071.6129.6-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)57.876.2134.0-18.317%
vs Similar (17)61.465.4126.8-4.135%
vs Weaker (6)78.371.2149.5+7.250%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -7.0-7.0
Chicago StateStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A14/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
30.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.866.7-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.032.766.7+1.364%-
Last 30 away (19)29.237.566.7-8.426%-
Last 10 (10)30.737.067.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.673.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.436.866.2-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.569.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.528.068.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A14/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.430.560.9-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.528.663.1+5.958%-
Last 30 away (18)27.631.859.4-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.464.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)30.630.661.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.733.861.5-6.217%-
vs Similar (17)28.530.058.5-1.535%-
vs Weaker (6)35.530.065.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chicago State wins
3
Stonehill wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26Chicago State v Stonehill68-55
10/01/26Stonehill v Chicago State85-82 OT
25/01/25Stonehill v Chicago State75-73
12/01/25Chicago State v Stonehill52-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASan Diego Toreros67-87
12/11/26ACalifornia Baptist81-62
10/11/26HSouth Carolina St67-82
06/11/26AIncarnate Word66-54
03/11/26ATexas59-109
05/03/26ALIU Sharks75-79
28/02/26AWagner61-80
27/02/26ALIU Sharks56-73
21/02/26HCentral Connecticut State70-51
20/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson59-60
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas Tech37-88
10/11/26AColumbia55-75
06/11/26AFordham63-83
03/11/26HCurry84-56
07/03/26AMercyhurst Lakers51-56
05/03/26ALe Moyne81-71
28/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-75 OT
27/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)103-77
21/02/26HLe Moyne77-68
20/02/26ANew Haven Chargers51-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game68.067.068.2
Allowed / game78.882.078.0
Point differential-10.8-15.0-9.8
Avg total146.8149.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stonehill
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game59.884.051.7
Allowed / game75.556.082.0
Point differential-15.8+28.0-30.3
Avg total135.2140.0133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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