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Texas Tech vs Stonehill Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 84-59
Projected total 142.2
Final 88-37
43-21 45-16
Position#26
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game59.3
Texas Tech 🏆
USA
Vs
98%
■ TEXA 98%■ STON 2%
Pythia win probability
Stonehill
USA
Position#327
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Texas Tech faces Stonehill on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Texas Tech at 98% due to their undefeated 3-0 season and an average of 78.7 points scored against 59.3 allowed, placing them 61st in the league. Stonehill, 1-2 this season, averages 67.3 points and concedes 71.3, ranking 282nd. Texas Tech has won all three of its games, including a 84-78 victory over Illinois, a 76-58 win over Bethune-Cookman, and a 76-42 triumph over Jackson State, all at home, and has a 4-1 record in its last five games. Stonehill's road record is 0-2, with recent defeats to Columbia 55-75 and Fordham 63-83, and a home win 84-56 over Curry. The teams have met once before, with the last meeting recorded as a 84-59 win for Texas Tech. Pythia projects a 84-59 score, 142.2 total points, and a 49% chance of the over on the 142.5 line, while the overtime probability is 1%. The game ends with Texas Tech's dominant 84-59 win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas Tech winWon
98.1%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stonehill winLost
1.9%fair 52.11
Best odds100.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#161
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A28/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#268
W
76-42
76
42
+34
H03/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#364
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois
#86
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
38-34
45-29
37-44
39-36
26-37
46-38
30-44
33-36
20-39
40-35
51-36
25-49
40-41
38-18
38-24
37-24
39-34
49-29
35-49
145.8Avg total
74.8Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.759.3138.0+19.3100%
Season at home (3)78.759.3138.0+19.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.871.0145.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)78.467.8146.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.176.0154.1+2.175%
vs Similar (12)78.674.7153.2+3.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.265.9148.1+16.380%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#249
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H14/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-26
33-42
30-32
21-32
32-24
45-44
54-33
49-44
30-30
32-32
39-32
42-39
19-23
32-33
47-23
37-33
30-30
33-53
36-34
19-41
138.7Avg total
69.4Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.371.3138.7-4.033%
Season at home (1)84.056.0140.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)69.469.3138.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)66.868.2135.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)62.073.8135.8-11.820%
vs Similar (18)62.165.7127.7-3.639%
vs Weaker (6)78.371.2149.5+7.250%
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 137.5Actual: Under 137.5
Over 137.5
61.6%
@ 1.47-3.4pp
Under 137.5
38.4%
@ 2.80+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 142.5 · main lineActual: Under 142.5
Over 142.5
49.3%
@ 1.88-1.7pp
Under 142.5
50.7%
@ 2.00+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.74
Under
WilliamHill
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.96
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
37.1%
@ 2.47-0.9pp
Under 147.5
62.9%
@ 1.52+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Texas Tech total 88Push
Over 88
32.4%
Under 88
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Texas Tech total 92 · main lineActual: Texas Tech under 92
Over 92
19.1%
@ 1.85-30.9pp
Under 92
80.9%
@ 1.85+30.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Texas Tech total 96Actual: Texas Tech under 96
Over 96
10.0%
Under 96
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stonehill total 46.5Actual: Stonehill under 46.5
Over 46.5
no forecast
@ 1.32
Under 46.5
no forecast
@ 3.35
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.35
Betano
2.87
Stonehill total 51 · main lineActual: Stonehill under 51
Over 51
78.4%
@ 1.85+28.2pp
Under 51
21.6%
@ 1.88-28.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Stonehill total 55Actual: Stonehill under 55
Over 55
64.4%
Under 55
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Texas Tech -40.5Actual: Texas Tech -40.5
TEXA -40.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
STON +40.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
BetVictor
1.83
STON
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.84
Spread Texas Tech -37.5 · main lineActual: Texas Tech -37.5
TEXA -37.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
STON +37.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.55
STON
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.20
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Spread Texas Tech -34.5Actual: Texas Tech -34.5
TEXA -34.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
STON +34.5
no forecast
@ 3.00
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.33
STON
Betano
3.00
Bet365
2.75

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -5.0-5.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -5.0-5.0
Texas TechStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#161
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A28/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#268
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#364
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois
#86
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H11/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)41.834.476.2+7.573%73%
Last 30 at home (18)43.232.976.1+10.389%72%
Last 30 away (12)39.836.676.3+3.250%75%
Last 10 (10)39.432.872.2+6.680%80%
Last 5 (5)37.831.068.8+6.880%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.135.976.0+4.250%75%
vs Similar (12)42.436.278.7+6.283%75%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.530.973.4+11.680%70%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#249
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H14/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/11
NCAA
62.8Avg total
34.1Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)30.829.960.7+0.943%23%
Last 30 at home (13)34.528.362.8+6.262%31%
Last 30 away (17)28.031.259.2-3.229%18%
Last 10 (10)34.128.762.8+5.450%40%
Last 5 (5)34.228.462.6+5.860%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.032.061.0-3.020%40%
vs Similar (18)28.829.758.6-0.939%11%
vs Weaker (6)35.530.065.5+5.567%33%
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Texas Tech -20 · main lineActual: Texas Tech -20
TEXA -20
no forecast
@ 1.85
STON +20
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main lineActual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Texas Tech 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Texas Tech under 46.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Stonehill 1st half total 24.5 · main lineActual: Stonehill under 24.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.47
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 70Actual: Under 70
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Texas Tech -21.5Actual: Texas Tech -21.5
TEXA -21.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
STON +21.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Spread Texas Tech -18.5Actual: Texas Tech -18.5
TEXA -18.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
STON +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Under 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half Spread Texas Tech -22.5Actual: Stonehill +22.5
TEXA -22.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
STON +22.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 3.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.30
1st half Spread Texas Tech -23.5Actual: Stonehill +23.5
TEXA -23.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
STON +23.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Spread Texas Tech -16.5Actual: Texas Tech -16.5
TEXA -16.5
no forecast
@ 1.25
STON +16.5
no forecast
@ 3.50
1st half Over/Under 62.5Actual: Over 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.29
Under
no forecast
@ 3.25
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Texas Tech (regulation)
TEXA
no forecast
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
STON
no forecast
@ 13.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TEXA win + total 142.5
🔒 Pro
STON win + total 142.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TEXA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: STON leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Texas Tech under 91.578.6%1.90
Pinnacle
2.03
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87		+32.1ppWon
Texas Tech under 92.581.4%1.83
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80		+31.8ppWon
Texas Tech under 93.584.0%1.68
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.57		---+31.1ppWon
Texas Tech under 9280.9%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		----+30.9ppWon
Texas Tech under 89.572.2%2.19
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.12		---+30.4ppWon
Stonehill over 52.572.8%2.12
Betano
2.12		----+29.1ppLost
Stonehill over 51.576.1%1.86
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83		+28.2ppLost
Stonehill over 5178.4%1.84
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.82		--+28.2ppLost
Stonehill over 50.579.1%1.78
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.74		--+27.5ppLost
Texas Tech under 94.586.3%1.54
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.50		---+26.6ppWon
Texas Tech under 90.575.5%1.92
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87		--+26.1ppWon
Stonehill over 5275.3%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.85		---+25.7ppLost
Texas Tech under 95.588.4%1.45
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.40		---+24.8ppWon
Texas Tech under 9074.7%1.82
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.82		---+23.9ppWon
Texas Tech under 96.590.2%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+22.6ppWon
Texas Tech under 97.591.8%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+22.5ppWon
Texas Tech under 98.593.2%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+22.1ppWon
Under 15171.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+0.8ppWon
Under 151.571.8%1.29
Bet365
1.29		-----0.1ppWon
Texas Tech over 71.589.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----4.6ppWon
Texas Tech over 72.587.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----5.7ppWon
Texas Tech over 74.582.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----8.8ppWon
Texas Tech over 76.576.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----12.7ppWon
Texas Tech over 78.570.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----17.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas Tech wins
0
Stonehill wins
No previous meetings.
Texas Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HIllinois84-78
06/11/26HBethune-Cookman76-58
03/11/26HJackson State76-42
23/03/26AAlabama65-90
20/03/26HAkron91-71
12/03/26HIowa State53-75
08/03/26ABrigham Young76-82
04/03/26HTCU65-73
28/02/26AIowa State82-73
25/02/26HCincinnati80-68
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26AColumbia55-75
06/11/26AFordham63-83
03/11/26HCurry84-56
07/03/26AMercyhurst Lakers51-56
05/03/26ALe Moyne81-71
28/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-75 OT
27/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)103-77
21/02/26HLe Moyne77-68
20/02/26ANew Haven Chargers51-64
14/02/26HWagner57-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.778.7-
Allowed / game59.359.3-
Point differential+19.3+19.3-
Avg total138.0138.0-
Over 142.533%33%-
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Stonehill
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game67.384.059.0
Allowed / game71.356.079.0
Point differential-4.0+28.0-20.0
Avg total138.7140.0138.0
Over 142.533%0%50%
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
6 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
7 Texas Tech330100%78.759.3+19.3
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
11 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
12 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
13 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
14 Cincinnati32167%73.760.0+13.7
15 Colorado32167%81.070.3+10.7
16 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
2 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
3 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
4 Le Moyne31233%76.076.0+0.0
5 Stonehill31233%67.371.3-4.0
6 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
7 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
8 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas Tech434588
Stonehill211637
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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