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China W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 56-74
18-24 13-16 9-13 16-21
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Japan W 🏆
Position-
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International Women
Women2024
Meetings · China W v Japan W
07 Jun 2024
CHIN56
JAPA74
05 Oct 2023
CHIN74
JAPA72
02 Jul 2023
CHIN73
JAPA71
28 Jul 2017
CHIN71
JAPA74
31 Oct 2013
CHIN55
JAPA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

China WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Japan W
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
73avg 80
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Mongolia W
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
101-52
101
52
+49
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
111-53
111
53
+58
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
100-44
100
44
+56
no box
A03/10
Asian Games Women
Japan W
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H05/10
Asian Games Women
New Zealand W
#18
W
94-47
94
47
+47
97avg 80
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
50-82
50
82
-32
43avg 80
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 80
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
9-18
22-16
25-20
30-15
30-11
21-14
20-6
18-6
22-12
31-16
30-18
38-7
20-19
32-13
21-14
22-24
25-7
31-17
26-12
22-6
26-21
29-11
23-6
26-16
19-24
12-11
17-21
22-12
31-10
24-12
17-13
10-17
14-27
12-26
14-12
24-11
30-23
33-8
18-27
150.9Avg total
91.3Scored
59.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.359.6150.9+31.790%
Last 5 (5)84.662.8147.4+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.878.2140.0-16.525%
vs Similar (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (25)94.659.1153.7+35.596%
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 81
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 81
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 81
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 81
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
20-15
20-18
16-11
25-14
16-26
24-19
11-12
21-17
26-18
20-18
23-21
17-18
22-13
10-19
16-21
27-28
20-20
30-26
20-21
16-15
149.1Avg total
86.6Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.662.5149.1+24.170%
Last 5 (5)80.074.0154.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.577.4153.8-0.955%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (17)89.458.2147.6+31.288%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +9.8+9.8Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +10.3+10.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +4.8+4.8
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +9.8+9.8Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +10.3+10.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +4.8+4.8
China WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
China WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan W
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Mongolia W
#10
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
40-18
40
18
+22
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A03/10
Asian Games Women
Japan W
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/10
Asian Games Women
New Zealand W
#18
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
75.8Avg total
45.5Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.631.576.1+13.283%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.131.978.1+14.283%-
Last 30 away (12)42.430.873.2+11.783%-
Last 10 (10)45.530.375.8+15.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.833.478.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.041.568.5-14.50%-
vs Similar (1)35.032.067.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (25)47.829.877.7+18.096%-
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
78.0Avg total
46.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.634.075.7+7.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.833.174.9+8.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.534.976.4+6.567%-
Last 10 (10)46.032.078.0+14.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.040.177.1-3.127%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (17)46.030.276.2+15.894%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
China Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China W: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.9
50.2%
46.7%43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.9
35.3%
31.0%23.6
🏀 Free throws15.712.3
78.2%
71.3%12.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.4
54.4%
46.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.5
38.9%
31.0%37.5
🏀 Free throws12.210.5
85.7%
71.3%10.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 07 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China W
WLWWWWWWWW
Japan W
WLWLWWWWWL
+27.4
Net rating
+24.4
109.1
Offensive rating
117.9
81.6
Defensive rating
93.6
51.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
39.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.3%
3-point %
38.9%
77.9%
Assist %
66.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 117.9Defence81.6 · 93.6Shooting51.1% · 56.4%3-point %35.3% · 38.9%Ball care17.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds35.0% · 27.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ China W   ■ Japan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
China W wins
6
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
05/10/23China W v Japan W74-72
02/07/23China W v Japan W73-71
03/10/21Japan W v China W78-73
29/09/19Japan W v China W71-68
30/08/18Japan W v China W74-86
17/08/18Japan W v China W73-105
28/07/17China W v Japan W71-74
05/09/15Japan W v China W85-50
01/09/15Japan W v China W57-56
31/10/13China W v Japan W55-62
China Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24APuerto Rico W105-69
10/02/24AFrance W50-82
08/02/24HNew Zealand W94-47
05/10/23HJapan W74-72
03/10/23ANorth Korea W100-44
02/10/23HChinese Taipei W104-60
01/10/23HIndia W111-53
29/09/23AIndonesia W101-52
27/09/23HMongolia W101-46
02/07/23HJapan W73-71
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ACanada W86-82
09/02/24HHungary W75-81
08/02/24ASpain W86-75
05/10/23AChina W72-74
03/10/23HSouth Korea W81-58
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Japan W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China W181391656
Japan W2416132174
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