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Verona vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 96-82
30-18 18-24 23-15 25-25
Position#8
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game69.7
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game70.9
ItalySerie A2Round 8· PalaOlimpia
Other2023-24
Meetings · Verona v Forli
08 Apr 2026
VER89
FORL56
16 Jan 2025
VER93
FORL77
04 Nov 2023
VER96
FORL82
24 Oct 2021
VER79
FORL60
20 Jan 2019
VER77
FORL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 69
H23/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 69
A30/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 69
H07/05
Lega A
Cividale
#11
W
72-66
72
66
+6
70avg 69
A30/09
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 69
H08/10
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 69
H11/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A15/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 69
A22/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
73avg 69
H29/10
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 69
A01/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-26
20-13
22-20
12-24
12-17
31-16
22-28
16-25
31-22
16-13
19-28
17-17
12-14
23-21
20-14
22-19
18-25
19-15
18-21
12-14
14-20
29-21
22-14
18-12
21-15
18-16
6-20
19-15
20-21
21-23
13-13
26-16
11-18
17-21
27-14
13-12
17-14
18-25
16-8
149.9Avg total
75.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.669.7143.3+3.971%
Season at home (3)78.372.7151.0+5.767%
Season away (4)70.067.5137.5+2.575%
Last 10 (10)75.274.7149.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.268.4141.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.884.8162.6-7.131%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.280.0159.2-0.842%
vs Weaker (2)68.565.5134.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 77
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
103avg 77
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
51avg 77
A11/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 77
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
76-68 OT
76
68
+8
no box
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 77
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
20-30
11-18
17-17
12-17
23-14
12-24
17-14
9-23
18-29
23-23
24-14
29-16
17-20
10-11
22-14
25-12
20-29
32-11
22-18
20-18
16-20
7-19
20-16
23-12
24-13
19-21
20-23
11-17
18-20
16-15
18-11
23-27
22-13
17-15
18-22
23-20
19-18
12-17
18-17
150.7Avg total
77.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.970.9151.7+10.086%
Season at home (4)86.271.2157.5+15.0100%
Season away (3)73.770.3144.0+3.367%
Last 10 (10)77.673.1150.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)77.873.0150.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.970.8143.8+2.162%
vs Weaker (17)80.068.6148.6+11.494%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
VeronaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H23/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A30/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H07/05
Lega A
Cividale
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A30/09
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H08/10
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H11/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A15/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A01/11
Serie A2
72.0Avg total
34.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.179.1-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.942.781.6-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.139.676.7-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.372.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.465.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.843.981.7-6.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.839.278.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (2)34.531.065.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A11/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
39.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.174.5+2.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.735.374.0+3.475%-
Last 30 away (14)38.037.075.0+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.077.6+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.675.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.936.872.7-0.862%-
vs Weaker (17)40.235.675.8+4.676%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.2
47.8%
50.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.4
33.2%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
74.2%13.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.2
54.4%
50.3%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.8
33.3%
34.1%23.2
🏀 Free throws15.511.5
74.2%
74.2%11.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WWWLWLWLLL
Forli
WWWWLWWLLL
#8
League position
#2
+1.7
Net rating
+8.5
104.8
Offensive rating
111.5
103.1
Defensive rating
103.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
33.3%
48.9%
Assist %
48.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 111.5Defence103.1 · 103.0Shooting48.5% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 33.3%Ball care18.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds33.6% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Verona   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Verona wins
2
Forli wins
DateGameScore
30/01/22Forli v Verona65-73
24/10/21Verona v Forli79-60
20/01/19Verona v Forli77-87
15/10/18Forli v Verona67-65
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23AChiusi64-59
29/10/23HTrieste81-69
22/10/23AOrzinuovi73-72
15/10/23ARimini71-73 OT
11/10/23HUdine77-69
08/10/23HCento77-80
30/09/23ACividale72-66
07/05/23HBasket Napoli82-88
30/04/23ATrieste77-85
23/04/23HScafati78-86
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HCividale84-78 OT
29/10/23AAssigeco Piacenza80-77
22/10/23HRimini76-68 OT
15/10/23HOrzinuovi86-69
11/10/23AFortitudo Bologna63-73
08/10/23HNardo99-70
01/10/23ACento78-61
19/06/23ACremona74-89
16/06/23HCremona64-69
14/06/23HCremona72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game73.678.370.0
Allowed / game69.772.767.5
Point differential+3.9+5.7+2.5
Avg total143.3151.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game80.986.273.7
Allowed / game70.971.270.3
Point differential+10.0+15.0+3.3
Avg total151.7157.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %29%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna660100%82.868.2+14.7
2 Cantu76186%93.781.3+12.4
3 Forli76186%80.970.9+10.0
4 Trapani76186%91.681.6+10.0
5 Udine65183%84.276.3+7.8
6 Basket Torino75271%83.678.6+5.0
7 Verona75271%73.669.7+3.9
8 Treviglio75271%84.181.4+2.7
9 JuVi Cremona74357%86.180.7+5.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti74357%85.680.7+4.9
11 Urania Milano74357%86.384.6+1.7
12 Trieste74357%80.380.7-0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza73443%81.780.0+1.7
14 Cento73443%74.979.6-4.7
15 Nardo73443%79.687.0-7.4
16 Cividale83538%76.076.9-0.9
17 Monferrato72529%79.782.3-2.6
18 Agrigento72529%71.077.1-6.1
19 Luiss Roma72529%74.484.7-10.3
20 Rimini82625%74.477.1-2.8
21 Orzinuovi71614%74.780.1-5.4
22 Latina71614%78.489.3-10.9
23 Vigevano71614%77.990.1-12.3
24 Chiusi71614%59.171.9-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona3018232596
Forli1824152582
← all games of the day
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