PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cholet vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-75
20-18 20-19 18-21 24-17
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game75.2
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record12-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game65.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· La Meilleraie
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
86avg 86
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
JL Bourg
#6
L
67-102
67
102
-35
70avg 86
H14/12
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
113avg 86
H17/12
LNB
Nanterre
#13
W
104-97
104
97
+7
116avg 86
A21/12
LNB
Le Mans
#5
L
86-92
86
92
-6
90avg 86
H27/12
LNB
Sassari
#11
W
82-70
82
70
+12
80avg 86
H07/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Nancy
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
92avg 86
A11/01
LNB
Le Portel
#24
W
92-60
92
60
+32
101avg 86
A15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
113avg 86
H18/01
LNB
Paris
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
81avg 86
A26/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-25
18-24
22-22
21-24
15-30
19-32
12-16
25-19
20-28
26-23
24-19
21-27
29-23
26-22
28-25
21-17
19-23
19-25
27-27
30-17
20-22
15-15
17-16
21-18
22-21
15-20
20-12
26-22
18-12
24-10
24-16
22-21
19-13
28-23
27-29
17-24
28-16
20-33
12-17
171.7Avg total
86.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.675.2166.8+16.490%
Season at home (5)90.673.4164.0+17.2100%
Season away (5)92.677.0169.6+15.680%
Last 10 (10)86.585.2171.7+1.360%
Last 5 (5)85.075.4160.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.684.6159.2-10.020%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.589.8177.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (18)90.173.6163.7+16.4100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
66-84
66
84
-18
50avg 76
A15/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 76
H22/12
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
100-79
100
79
+21
94avg 76
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 76
H02/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 76
A04/01
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 76
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 76
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
71avg 76
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 76
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 76
A25/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
13-17
12-23
21-26
27-15
17-21
29-17
15-20
15-16
23-17
24-24
38-22
19-17
21-14
22-21
20-22
24-19
18-21
15-27
18-19
22-10
25-14
10-18
17-23
23-28
14-19
16-23
28-16
20-14
21-19
18-14
18-13
25-17
17-25
19-32
23-23
15-12
22-14
16-26
18-24
157.8Avg total
79.8Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.065.9152.9+21.1100%
Season at home (7)87.765.1152.9+22.6100%
Season away (5)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.878.0157.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)77.476.8154.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.887.3172.2-2.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.883.3162.1-4.530%
vs Weaker (14)86.466.4152.9+20.093%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
CholetBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
JL Bourg
#6
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H14/12
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/12
LNB
Nanterre
#13
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A21/12
LNB
Le Mans
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/12
LNB
Sassari
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Nancy
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/01
LNB
Le Portel
#24
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/01
LNB
Paris
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A26/01
LNB
86.8Avg total
44.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.038.682.6+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.539.183.6+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.081.4+5.479%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.686.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.281.8+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.744.788.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (18)45.836.782.6+9.189%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/12
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/01
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A25/01
ACB
74.8Avg total
40.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.977.4+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.137.180.3+6.080%-
Last 30 away (15)39.934.774.5+5.273%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.774.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.475.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.241.385.5+2.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.438.075.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (14)43.332.175.4+11.2100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.5
56.8%
52.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
34.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.918.0
75.3%
72.6%18.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.6
52.4%
52.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.6
32.0%
34.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
72.6%15.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LWWWWLWWLL
Bilbao
LLWLWLWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+1.5
Net rating
+2.7
113.2
Offensive rating
107.8
111.8
Defensive rating
105.1
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.3%
3-point %
32.0%
74.1%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 107.8Defence111.8 · 105.1Shooting53.9% · 50.3%3-point %33.3% · 32.0%Ball care18.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 29.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Cholet   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cholet wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
10/12/24Bilbao v Cholet95-88
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25AParis77-90
18/01/25HLimoges96-86
15/01/25ALe Portel92-60
11/01/25ANancy78-71
07/01/25HSassari82-70
27/12/24HLe Mans86-92
21/12/24ANanterre104-97
17/12/24HDijon95-89
14/12/24HJL Bourg67-102
10/12/24ABilbao88-95
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ABreogan71-76
19/01/25ABarcelona84-97
15/01/25HSassari77-60
11/01/25HUnicaja81-86
08/01/25HLe Portel74-65
04/01/25ATenerife75-86
02/01/25HMoraBanc Andorra82-74
28/12/24ALeyma Coruna100-79
22/12/24HManresa88-73
15/12/24AForca Lleida66-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game91.690.692.6
Allowed / game75.273.477.0
Point differential+16.4+17.2+15.6
Avg total166.8164.0169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.087.786.0
Allowed / game65.965.167.0
Point differential+21.1+22.6+19.0
Avg total152.9152.9153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao12120100%87.065.9+21.1
2 Ludwigsburg1110191%82.168.8+13.3
3 Cholet109190%91.675.2+16.4
4 Tofas119282%92.683.6+9.0
5 PAOK119282%82.176.2+5.9
6 Basket Zaragoza107370%89.583.4+6.1
7 Dijon139469%90.379.2+11.2
8 Maroussi128467%86.479.1+7.3
9 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
10 Sassari117464%81.873.5+8.3
11 CSM Oradea117464%80.975.2+5.7
12 FC Porto117464%82.877.2+5.6
13 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
14 Fribourg Olympic116555%85.878.7+7.1
15 BC Kalev/Cramo116555%82.377.3+5.0
16 Anwil Wloclawek105550%87.877.6+10.2
17 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
18 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
19 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
20 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
21 Spirou Charleroi126650%78.180.9-2.8
22 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
23 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
24 Le Portel115645%76.375.5+0.7
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2020182482
Bilbao1819211775
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.