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Breogan vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-71
12-15 14-22 26-16 24-18
Position#13
Record6-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game85.6
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#15
Record6-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.5
SpainACBRound 18· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Bilbao
10 Dec 2026
BRE v BIL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
BRE100
BIL99
25 Jan 2025
BRE76
BIL71
30 Mar 2024
BRE68
BIL80
22 Oct 2022
BRE86
BIL70
12 Mar 2022
BRE86
BIL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 65
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 65
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 65
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-106
69
106
-37
49avg 65
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 65
H21/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 65
A28/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
73avg 65
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 65
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
83-80
83
80
+3
73avg 65
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
82avg 65
A19/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
9-23
17-22
20-19
16-23
24-25
22-21
12-23
21-19
18-22
20-19
23-13
8-19
21-24
19-27
21-36
16-24
26-8
17-27
18-15
19-22
21-21
19-28
18-15
17-23
19-19
16-22
27-24
26-23
29-20
26-16
20-34
22-16
14-22
21-22
26-20
18-22
22-18
26-30
25-27
166.4Avg total
79.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.785.6162.4-8.935%
Season at home (8)77.581.4158.9-3.938%
Season away (9)76.089.4165.4-13.433%
Last 10 (10)79.686.8166.4-7.240%
Last 5 (5)86.288.8175.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.082.2157.2-7.230%
vs Similar (9)78.182.7160.8-4.644%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
W
95-88
95
88
+7
84avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
66-84
66
84
-18
50avg 76
A15/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 76
H22/12
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
100-79
100
79
+21
94avg 76
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 76
H02/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 76
A04/01
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 76
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 76
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
71avg 76
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 76
A19/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
25-25
24-18
22-22
20-18
13-17
12-23
21-26
27-15
17-21
29-17
15-20
15-16
23-17
24-24
38-22
19-17
21-14
22-21
20-22
24-19
18-21
15-27
18-19
22-10
25-14
10-18
17-23
23-28
14-19
16-23
28-16
20-14
21-19
18-14
18-13
25-17
17-25
19-32
23-23
161.4Avg total
82.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.983.5165.4-1.635%
Season at home (8)83.581.4164.9+2.150%
Season away (9)80.485.4165.9-5.022%
Last 10 (10)82.279.2161.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)78.278.8157.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.485.1167.6-2.729%
vs Similar (10)78.883.3162.1-4.530%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.665.7153.3+21.9100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
BreoganBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/01
ACB
79.1Avg total
38.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.176.2-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.175.0+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.177.4-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.879.1-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.282.6+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.039.176.1-2.140%-
vs Similar (9)38.039.477.4-1.433%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/12
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/01
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/01
ACB
78.2Avg total
41.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.377.8+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.837.279.9+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.135.375.4+4.871%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.978.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.279.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.140.984.0+2.357%-
vs Similar (10)37.438.075.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.832.576.3+11.2100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.5
49.9%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
76.4%14.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.6
53.4%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.6
32.8%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
76.4%15.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWWLLWLWLL
Bilbao
LWLWLWWWLW
#13
League position
#15
-10.2
Net rating
+4.9
105.4
Offensive rating
110.4
115.6
Defensive rating
105.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.6%
3-point %
32.8%
56.7%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 110.4Defence115.6 · 105.6Shooting50.7% · 51.5%3-point %34.6% · 32.8%Ball care17.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
5
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Bilbao v Breogan90-72
30/03/24Breogan v Bilbao68-80
09/12/23Bilbao v Breogan68-76
10/05/23Bilbao v Breogan83-66
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25ABaskonia91-97
12/01/25HLeyma Coruna83-80
04/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra101-93
02/01/25HManresa79-88
28/12/24AUnicaja77-86
21/12/24HBasquet Girona77-74
15/12/24AReal Madrid69-106
08/12/24AGran Canaria82-73
30/11/24HGranada74-92
16/11/24AMurcia63-79
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25ABarcelona84-97
15/01/25HSassari77-60
11/01/25HUnicaja81-86
08/01/25HLe Portel74-65
04/01/25ATenerife75-86
02/01/25HMoraBanc Andorra82-74
28/12/24ALeyma Coruna100-79
22/12/24HManresa88-73
15/12/24AForca Lleida66-84
10/12/24HCholet95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeWLWLW38%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game76.777.576.0
Allowed / game85.681.489.4
Point differential-8.9-3.9-13.4
Avg total162.4158.9165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%50%22%
Points / game81.983.580.4
Allowed / game83.581.485.4
Point differential-1.6+2.1-5.0
Avg total165.4164.9165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %12%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja1714382%88.382.4+5.9
2 Real Madrid1713476%88.177.9+10.2
3 Valencia1713476%96.686.6+10.1
4 Tenerife1712571%88.283.3+4.9
5 Joventut Badalona1711665%84.281.4+2.8
6 Manresa1710759%85.281.0+4.2
7 Gran Canaria1710759%83.081.4+1.6
8 Barcelona179853%88.885.1+3.8
9 Basket Zaragoza178947%91.189.6+1.4
10 Baskonia178947%86.787.7-1.0
11 Murcia178947%80.481.9-1.6
12 Bilbao1761135%81.983.5-1.6
13 Forca Lleida1761135%83.987.4-3.4
14 Breogan1761135%76.785.6-8.9
15 MoraBanc Andorra1751229%86.591.1-4.6
16 Granada1751229%79.984.9-5.0
17 Basquet Girona1751229%79.288.5-9.3
18 Leyma Coruna1741324%83.292.5-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1214262476
Bilbao1522161871
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