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Cholet vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-75
19-20 25-18 10-18 23-19
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game73.1
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game76.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 83
A09/12
LNB
Chemnitz
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#4
W
107-79
107
79
+28
113avg 83
H17/12
LNB
SCM Craiova
#25
W
75-56
75
56
+19
no box
H21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 83
A23/12
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 83
H27/12
LNB
Nanterre
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
85avg 83
A07/01
LNB
FC Porto
#16
L
78-99
78
99
-21
no box
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Monaco
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
90avg 83
H15/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 83
H21/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
24-20
13-24
20-22
22-21
25-14
26-21
10-17
19-15
23-22
30-25
35-17
23-17
11-15
19-11
22-13
19-28
28-12
25-19
15-33
19-31
24-17
23-12
15-14
29-26
18-16
14-20
23-16
23-31
11-19
27-25
17-24
24-26
27-15
21-27
16-21
18-22
26-23
18-17
24-20
164.8Avg total
84.0Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.173.1157.2+11.073%
Season at home (4)90.870.2161.0+20.5100%
Season away (7)80.374.7155.0+5.657%
Last 10 (10)84.080.8164.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.888.0173.8-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.978.1162.0+5.976%
vs Weaker (8)81.872.6154.4+9.175%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 79
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 79
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 79
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 79
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 79
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 79
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 79
H21/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
30-19
18-20
32-17
21-22
14-25
21-26
17-10
22-19
28-19
21-14
13-25
18-24
27-27
28-14
14-29
13-19
16-20
26-21
18-20
19-14
11-25
24-24
27-20
22-13
27-24
24-18
16-25
22-16
29-18
26-17
16-11
26-20
24-22
22-22
24-17
24-26
17-14
31-14
17-22
166.6Avg total
86.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.676.1164.7+12.456%
Season at home (6)89.877.8167.7+12.050%
Season away (3)86.072.7158.7+13.367%
Last 10 (10)86.979.7166.6+7.260%
Last 5 (5)89.676.4166.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.886.3162.2-10.517%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.684.6169.1+0.043%
vs Weaker (14)90.977.7168.6+13.271%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
CholetChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/12
LNB
Chemnitz
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H17/12
LNB
SCM Craiova
#25
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A23/12
LNB
Limoges
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H27/12
LNB
Nanterre
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/01
LNB
FC Porto
#16
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Monaco
#1
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H15/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/01
LNB
83.7Avg total
42.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.680.4+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.138.579.6+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.538.681.1+3.969%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.083.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.289.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.243.587.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.538.681.2+3.959%-
vs Weaker (8)38.037.575.5+0.562%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/01
BBL
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.485.6+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.441.988.3+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.082.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.482.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.243.278.3-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.444.387.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker (14)48.540.288.7+8.371%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.6
56.0%
52.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.0
35.2%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
73.2%14.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.219.4
60.2%
52.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
34.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.116.0
72.4%
73.2%16.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WLLWWLWWWL
Chemnitz
WWWWLLLWLW
#6
League position
#9
+2.6
Net rating
+9.0
113.7
Offensive rating
116.3
111.1
Defensive rating
107.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
58.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.2%
3-point %
37.5%
65.0%
Assist %
73.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 116.3Defence111.1 · 107.3Shooting54.5% · 58.4%3-point %35.2% · 37.5%Ball care18.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Cholet   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cholet wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
13/12/22Chemnitz v Cholet73-83
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HAda Blois86-82
15/01/23HMonaco88-89
10/01/23AFC Porto78-99
07/01/23ANanterre84-78
27/12/22HLimoges81-74
23/12/22ABoulogne-Levallois87-92
21/12/22HSCM Craiova75-56
17/12/22HDijon107-79
13/12/22AChemnitz83-73
09/12/22ALe Portel71-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HFrankfurt89-76
18/01/23ARostock96-81
10/01/23HSCM Craiova93-62
08/01/23HLudwigsburg89-80
03/01/23AOldenburg81-83
26/12/22ABonn73-80
20/12/22HFC Porto87-94
16/12/22HBayreuth84-77
13/12/22HCholet73-83
11/12/22AHamburg104-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%100%57%
Points / game84.190.880.3
Allowed / game73.170.274.7
Point differential+11.0+20.5+5.6
Avg total157.2161.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%100%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%50%67%
Points / game88.689.886.0
Allowed / game76.177.872.7
Point differential+12.4+12.0+13.3
Avg total164.7167.7158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket98189%87.077.3+9.7
2 Hapoel Haifa119282%71.968.2+3.7
3 BC Kalev/Cramo129375%82.171.7+10.4
4 Cholet118373%84.173.1+11.0
5 Anwil Wloclawek96367%89.076.0+13.0
6 CSM Oradea96367%84.676.6+8.0
7 Gaziantep96367%80.973.1+7.8
8 FC Porto96367%82.377.6+4.8
9 Bamberg96367%83.079.1+3.9
10 Sporting CP85362%89.191.6-2.5
11 SCM Craiova127558%72.672.8-0.2
12 Chemnitz95456%88.676.1+12.4
13 Den Bosch95456%77.272.6+4.7
14 Crailsheim Merlins95456%85.281.1+4.1
15 Budivelnyk95456%75.675.8-0.2
16 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
17 Brindisi63350%80.274.7+5.5
18 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
19 Mechelen63350%85.083.0+2.0
20 Fribourg Olympic63350%79.579.3+0.2
21 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
22 Opava63350%77.279.2-2.0
23 Balkan63350%74.576.8-2.3
24 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
25 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
26 Galil Elyon63350%83.287.7-4.5
27 Keravnos94544%78.379.2-0.9
28 Antwerp Giants83538%76.178.0-1.9
29 Swans Gmunden62433%77.080.0-3.0
30 Levice93633%79.182.8-3.7
31 Voluntari62433%68.873.8-5.0
32 Parnu62433%74.584.2-9.7
33 Norrkoping61517%71.583.5-12.0
34 Golden Eagle Ylli61517%70.387.2-16.8
35 Rilski Sportist81712%69.690.1-20.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend6060%76.389.5-13.2
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen6060%61.782.8-21.2
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet1925102377
Chemnitz2018181975
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