PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rostock vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-96
20-26 22-24 22-22 17-24
Position#8
Record6-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position#12
Record7-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game84.8
GermanyBBLRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rostock v Chemnitz
11 Apr 2027
ROS v CHE
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
ROS73
CHE78
27 Oct 2024
ROS60
CHE68
03 Feb 2024
ROS90
CHE94
18 Jan 2023
ROS81
CHE96
29 Dec 2019
ROS91
CHE101
28 Oct 2018
ROS76
CHE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
57avg 77
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 77
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 77
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 77
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 77
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 77
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
83-101
83
101
-18
62avg 77
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 77
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-99
71
99
-28
66avg 77
A06/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-20
16-25
18-33
13-24
36-23
20-25
17-25
27-23
17-29
24-17
19-28
18-20
23-23
23-20
20-28
29-31
19-30
21-16
21-22
20-19
20-23
19-18
23-16
25-15
23-22
29-30
26-24
25-25
17-17
23-29
18-30
15-31
15-22
15-18
20-7
15-22
18-32
22-26
16-19
175.4Avg total
82.1Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.692.5179.1-5.943%
Season at home (7)83.188.7171.9-5.643%
Season away (7)90.196.3186.4-6.143%
Last 10 (10)82.193.3175.4-11.220%
Last 5 (5)80.889.0169.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.393.1174.4-11.929%
vs Similar (14)87.487.0174.4+0.464%
vs Weaker (9)92.181.6173.7+10.678%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#24
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 78
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 78
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 78
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 78
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 78
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 78
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-23
20-14
25-19
28-23
19-19
25-30
25-17
18-12
24-25
30-19
18-20
32-17
21-22
14-25
21-26
17-10
22-19
28-19
21-14
13-25
18-24
27-27
28-14
14-29
13-19
16-20
26-21
18-20
19-14
11-25
24-24
27-20
22-13
27-24
24-18
16-25
22-16
29-18
26-17
16-11
167.9Avg total
88.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.684.8172.3+2.858%
Season at home (7)88.684.6173.1+4.071%
Season away (5)86.285.0171.2+1.240%
Last 10 (10)88.279.7167.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)84.679.8164.4+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.983.7161.6-5.929%
vs Similar (8)85.685.9171.5-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.777.6168.2+13.167%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
RostockChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/01
BBL
88.8Avg total
41.1Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.286.5+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.782.6+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)43.846.790.5-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.147.788.8-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.684.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.451.693.0-10.129%-
vs Similar (14)42.441.784.1+0.743%-
vs Weaker (9)46.239.085.2+7.267%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#24
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
86.0Avg total
44.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.585.5+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.441.688.0+4.853%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.583.1+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.586.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.042.178.1-6.129%-
vs Similar (8)43.644.988.5-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)49.040.189.1+8.967%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.4
50.0%
54.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.1
34.1%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
75.8%19.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.9
60.3%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.4
37.4%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.916.4
71.6%
75.8%16.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLLWWLLLLL
Chemnitz
WWLLLWLWWW
#8
League position
#12
-13.3
Net rating
+6.2
104.2
Offensive rating
115.1
117.4
Defensive rating
108.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
58.4%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.1%
3-point %
37.4%
63.4%
Assist %
73.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 115.1Defence117.4 · 108.9Shooting50.5% · 58.4%3-point %34.1% · 37.4%Ball care19.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.43 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Rostock   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
28/10/18Rostock v Chemnitz76-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23ABonn71-99
03/01/23HBayern65-78
26/12/22AFrankfurt83-101
23/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins103-91
18/12/22HHamburg82-76
11/12/22AOldenburg90-99
27/11/22HHeidelberg84-91
19/11/22AWurzburg87-97
06/11/22HBamberg86-97
30/10/22HAlba Berlin70-104
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23HSCM Craiova93-62
08/01/23HLudwigsburg89-80
03/01/23AOldenburg81-83
26/12/22ABonn73-80
20/12/22HFC Porto87-94
16/12/22HBayreuth84-77
13/12/22HCholet73-83
11/12/22AHamburg104-81
06/12/22HHeidelberg87-78
30/11/22HGalil Elyon111-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game86.683.190.1
Allowed / game92.588.796.3
Point differential-5.9-5.6-6.1
Avg total179.1171.9186.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game87.688.686.2
Allowed / game84.884.685.0
Point differential+2.8+4.0+1.2
Avg total172.3173.1171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1413193%91.379.4+11.9
2 Bonn1513287%89.775.5+14.1
3 Bayern1511473%81.976.9+5.0
4 Oldenburg1510567%86.681.5+5.1
5 Gottingen1510567%87.384.0+3.3
6 Ludwigsburg149564%88.183.4+4.7
7 Chemnitz127558%87.684.8+2.8
8 Wurzburg158753%85.385.7-0.5
9 Bamberg157847%85.184.2+0.9
10 Rostock146843%86.692.5-5.9
11 Ulm156940%87.387.8-0.5
12 Hamburg156940%83.485.5-2.1
13 Crailsheim Merlins156940%88.391.5-3.2
14 Syntainics MBC156940%82.789.7-7.0
15 Heidelberg1551033%86.792.4-5.7
16 Frankfurt1541127%78.384.9-6.6
17 Bayreuth1531220%82.188.9-6.9
18 Basketball Braunschweig1521313%77.385.7-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2022221781
Chemnitz2624222496
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.