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Oldenburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-81
14-19 25-11 24-24 20-27
Position#5
Record8-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#12
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.4
GermanyBBLRound 13
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Oldenburg v Chemnitz
14 Mar 2027
OLD v CHE
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
OLD89
CHE72
11 May 2025
OLD104
CHE94
03 Dec 2023
OLD58
CHE79
03 Jan 2023
OLD83
CHE81
13 Mar 2022
OLD92
CHE87
04 Dec 2020
OLD119
CHE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 79
H21/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
no box
A29/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
76avg 79
A06/11
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 79
H20/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
84-76
84
76
+8
74avg 79
A25/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#5
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
H04/12
German Cup
Bayern
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 79
A06/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
no box
H11/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
77-79
77
79
-2
70avg 79
H17/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
96-95
96
95
+1
85avg 79
A27/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
26-12
23-16
17-21
12-22
14-18
34-20
24-24
16-16
27-20
18-14
16-20
22-16
16-22
30-13
25-24
29-19
17-26
21-17
17-14
21-23
18-29
22-14
24-17
20-26
11-18
19-18
27-19
31-29
30-19
16-21
22-21
26-20
14-27
20-15
17-17
23-19
30-28
19-23
24-25
168.7Avg total
86.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.882.0167.8+3.867%
Season at home (6)84.579.7164.2+4.867%
Season away (6)87.284.3171.5+2.867%
Last 10 (10)86.382.4168.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)86.885.6172.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.085.3176.3+5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.784.2175.9+7.580%
vs Weaker (16)88.786.6175.2+2.169%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
106-94
106
94
+12
107avg 77
H18/11
BBL
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 77
H27/11
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 77
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 77
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 77
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 77
A26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-19
25-23
24-22
21-30
24-24
34-13
20-13
23-22
23-30
21-20
16-21
15-17
38-23
20-14
25-19
28-23
19-19
25-30
25-17
18-12
24-25
30-19
18-20
32-17
21-22
14-25
21-26
17-10
22-19
28-19
21-14
13-25
18-24
27-27
28-14
14-29
13-19
16-20
26-21
18-20
172.7Avg total
90.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.185.4173.5+2.760%
Season at home (6)88.585.3173.8+3.267%
Season away (4)87.585.5173.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)90.182.6172.7+7.560%
Last 5 (5)84.283.0167.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.983.7161.6-5.929%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.385.9169.1-2.629%
vs Weaker (13)90.378.5168.8+11.869%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
OldenburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H21/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A29/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/11
BBL
Gottingen
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H20/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A25/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H04/12
German Cup
Bayern
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H11/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H17/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A27/12
BBL
85.1Avg total
41.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.888.2+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.943.788.6+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.043.987.9+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.385.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.692.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.341.786.0+2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.145.789.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (16)44.843.087.8+1.869%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H18/11
BBL
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/11
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/12
BBL
91.2Avg total
47.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.585.6+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.142.087.1+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.984.0+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)47.843.491.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.042.178.1-6.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.745.390.0-0.629%-
vs Weaker (13)48.240.188.3+8.262%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
54.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.8
30.9%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.015.5
81.6%
75.8%15.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.319.2
61.3%
54.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.016.4
74.5%
75.8%16.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
WLWLWWWWLW
Chemnitz
LLWLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#12
+5.8
Net rating
+2.6
113.3
Offensive rating
113.1
107.4
Defensive rating
110.5
49.8%
Effective FG%
57.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.9%
3-point %
35.8%
62.0%
Assist %
74.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 113.1Defence107.4 · 110.5Shooting49.8% · 57.7%3-point %30.9% · 35.8%Ball care16.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds38.4% · 26.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Oldenburg wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
13/03/22Oldenburg v Chemnitz92-87
25/09/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg79-78
26/03/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg92-98 OT
04/12/20Oldenburg v Chemnitz119-73
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22AHamburg96-95
17/12/22HWurzburg77-79
11/12/22HRostock99-90
06/12/22ABayern77-81
04/12/22HHeidelberg85-83
25/11/22ABasketball Braunschweig84-76
20/11/22HGottingen93-75
06/11/22AFrankfurt77-70
29/10/22AHeidelberg94-102 OT
21/10/22HUlm81-73
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/22ABonn73-80
20/12/22HFC Porto87-94
16/12/22HBayreuth84-77
13/12/22HCholet73-83
11/12/22AHamburg104-81
06/12/22HHeidelberg87-78
30/11/22HGalil Elyon111-79
27/11/22HBamberg75-88
23/11/22AGolden Eagle Ylli101-72
18/11/22HCrailsheim Merlins106-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.884.587.2
Allowed / game82.079.784.3
Point differential+3.8+4.8+2.8
Avg total167.8164.2171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game88.188.587.5
Allowed / game85.485.385.5
Point differential+2.7+3.2+2.0
Avg total173.5173.8173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1312192%90.075.5+14.5
2 Alba Berlin1211192%93.179.7+13.4
3 Bayern1210283%83.676.0+7.6
4 Ludwigsburg128467%88.184.2+3.9
5 Oldenburg128467%85.882.0+3.8
6 Gottingen128467%87.383.9+3.4
7 Chemnitz106460%88.185.4+2.7
8 Wurzburg126650%84.786.7-2.0
9 Rostock126650%89.893.2-3.4
10 Hamburg125742%84.885.8-1.0
11 Syntainics MBC125742%84.890.2-5.5
12 Ulm135838%88.289.3-1.2
13 Bamberg124833%85.285.8-0.5
14 Heidelberg124833%84.891.3-6.5
15 Crailsheim Merlins123925%86.293.1-6.9
16 Bayreuth1331023%80.586.8-6.2
17 Frankfurt1331023%78.885.4-6.6
18 Basketball Braunschweig1221017%77.286.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oldenburg1425242083
Chemnitz1911242781
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