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Cholet vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-86
25-14 20-25 26-19 26-28
Position#14
Record5-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game78.1
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#31
Record2-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· La Meilleraie
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#39
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 77
H25/10
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
82avg 77
H29/10
LNB
Le Portel
#8
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
A04/11
LNB
Darussafaka
#31
W
91-80
91
80
+11
92avg 77
A07/11
Champions League
Paris
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
65avg 77
H12/11
LNB
Nancy
#11
L
67-76
67
76
-9
72avg 77
H15/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
75avg 77
H19/11
LNB
VEF Riga
#39
L
63-70
63
70
-7
54avg 77
A21/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#7
L
60-75
60
75
-15
66avg 77
A25/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
59-66
59
66
-7
68avg 77
A28/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
22-12
23-19
13-22
14-21
20-12
14-16
22-18
15-21
22-20
23-16
16-19
26-18
20-24
24-14
21-24
20-20
27-16
5-24
18-17
13-21
15-14
26-22
13-19
19-17
15-16
25-19
10-21
9-18
26-15
11-15
17-22
14-20
14-22
14-13
18-20
20-15
12-23
18-13
9-15
145.1Avg total
70.7Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.378.1157.4+1.171%
Season at home (4)81.575.5157.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)76.381.7158.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)70.774.4145.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)63.672.0135.6-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.083.0157.0-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.477.9153.3-2.650%
vs Weaker (4)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
73-89
73
89
-16
68avg 70
A21/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 70
H24/10
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
72avg 70
H28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
80avg 70
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
80-91
80
91
-11
72avg 70
H07/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 70
H11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 70
A18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
48avg 70
A21/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
71avg 70
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
81-83
81
83
-2
78avg 70
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
21-25
20-18
16-22
17-24
17-24
30-15
24-21
20-19
23-24
19-20
21-15
24-21
22-17
24-20
23-28
18-26
24-20
14-24
24-21
18-29
28-9
8-20
21-14
22-17
33-19
20-30
23-24
24-20
9-17
18-13
12-22
18-19
17-13
19-23
22-27
24-20
23-22
23-21
11-20
163.7Avg total
81.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.880.5159.2-1.850%
Season at home (2)84.087.5171.5-3.550%
Season away (2)73.573.5147.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)81.082.7163.7-1.750%
Last 5 (5)78.679.8158.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.081.5160.5-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.785.2170.9+0.553%
vs Weaker (1)98.090.0188.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
CholetDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#39
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/10
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H29/10
LNB
Le Portel
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/11
LNB
Darussafaka
#31
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/11
Champions League
Paris
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/11
LNB
Nancy
#11
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/11
LNB
VEF Riga
#39
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A21/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#7
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A25/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A28/11
LNB
72.4Avg total
35.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.077.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.976.5+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)37.340.978.2-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.572.4-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.436.267.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.640.481.0+0.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.438.676.0-1.150%-
vs Weaker (4)38.240.278.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A21/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H24/10
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.7Avg total
41.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.882.9-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.342.583.8-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.182.1-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.982.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.080.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.240.279.5-1.042%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.643.284.9-1.635%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.8
48.9%
51.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.15.8
24.1%
34.9%17.4
🏀 Free throws20.716.2
78.3%
74.5%16.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.8
48.1%
51.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.018.0
78.3%
74.5%18.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LLLLLLWLWW
Darussafaka
LLLWWLWWWL
#14
League position
#31
-7.5
Net rating
-2.4
96.1
Offensive rating
106.8
103.6
Defensive rating
109.2
43.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
21.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
24.1%
3-point %
32.5%
69.1%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 106.8Defence103.6 · 109.2Shooting43.8% · 48.4%3-point %24.1% · 32.5%Ball care21.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds34.3% · 26.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cholet   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cholet wins
0
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
07/11/23Darussafaka v Cholet80-91
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23AGravelines-Dunkerque59-66
25/11/23ASaint Quentin60-75
21/11/23AVEF Riga63-70
19/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne69-73
15/11/23HNancy67-76
12/11/23HParis70-77
07/11/23ADarussafaka91-80
04/11/23ALe Portel84-87 OT
29/10/23HNanterre70-67
25/10/23HVEF Riga74-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AMerkezefendi81-83
26/11/23HTofas76-82
21/11/23ATenerife63-72
18/11/23ASamsunspor98-90
11/11/23HGalatasaray75-72
07/11/23HCholet80-91
04/11/23ABahcesehir Kol.93-86
28/10/23HKarsiyaka83-78
24/10/23HTenerife88-84
21/10/23AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game79.381.576.3
Allowed / game78.175.581.7
Point differential+1.1+6.0-5.3
Avg total157.4157.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.884.073.5
Allowed / game80.587.573.5
Point differential-1.8-3.5+0.0
Avg total159.2171.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon440100%94.573.5+21.0
2 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
3 Tortona440100%87.080.8+6.2
4 Strasbourg76186%80.376.1+4.1
5 Murcia43175%85.069.2+15.8
6 Hapoel Jerusalem43175%86.277.8+8.5
7 Unicaja43175%82.275.2+7.0
8 Karsiyaka43175%82.878.0+4.8
9 Hapoel Holon43175%81.077.2+3.8
10 PAOK43175%78.880.5-1.8
11 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
14 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
15 Tenerife53260%79.871.6+8.2
16 Benfica74357%86.374.9+11.4
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Promitheas42250%87.076.8+10.2
19 Rytas42250%83.875.8+8.0
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
22 Breogan42250%75.072.5+2.5
23 Le Mans42250%79.577.5+2.0
24 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
25 Ludwigsburg42250%84.282.8+1.5
26 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
27 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
28 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
29 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
30 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
31 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
32 VEF Riga52340%70.073.8-3.8
33 Oldenburg41325%82.580.5+2.0
34 Galatasaray41325%85.287.5-2.2
35 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
36 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
37 Tofas41325%89.599.0-9.5
38 Oostende41325%74.284.8-10.5
39 Bursaspor41325%71.883.5-11.8
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea4040%74.086.5-12.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava4040%65.0104.2-39.2
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2520262697
Darussafaka1425192886
← all games of the day
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