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Cholet vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-71
25-20 21-18 20-17 23-16
Position#28
Record1-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game77.0
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record4-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H29/09
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H11/10
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A16/10
LNB
Minsk
#21
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A04/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A10/11
Champions League
AEK Athens
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A17/11
Champions League
Dijon
#2
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H12/12
LNB
AEK Athens
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H15/12
Champions League
Nanterre
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A19/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
29-8
28-26
19-21
13-16
21-9
12-26
22-21
22-25
16-11
14-29
21-17
19-26
21-23
26-24
22-23
17-19
16-26
19-16
23-21
11-20
25-21
11-14
16-18
20-21
17-22
21-18
23-22
20-20
20-15
20-18
23-20
24-17
16-26
18-16
21-11
16-18
24-21
24-18
16-19
156.1Avg total
78.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.577.0151.5-2.525%
Season at home (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)73.079.3152.3-6.30%
Last 10 (10)78.178.0156.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)77.275.0152.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.987.6160.4-14.714%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.776.4155.1+2.347%
vs Weaker (7)83.778.9162.6+4.971%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#28
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H04/11
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H07/11
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A11/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A17/11
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
60-87
60
87
-27
H06/12
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H12/12
VTB United League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H15/12
Champions League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A23/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
26-16
16-19
21-23
24-18
17-16
15-21
13-31
22-16
17-31
20-22
10-26
26-18
21-14
16-12
16-25
23-27
24-19
4-23
9-18
15-20
27-23
26-16
14-29
14-22
14-15
21-17
16-24
12-17
22-14
17-22
20-22
27-13
18-28
17-25
15-17
25-17
14-24
20-16
17-20
154.3Avg total
73.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.873.0146.8+0.867%
Season at home (4)73.868.5142.2+5.275%
Season away (2)74.082.0156.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)73.081.3154.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)74.280.2154.4-6.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.185.1158.2-11.97%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.981.8163.7+0.258%
vs Weaker (3)101.753.3155.0+48.3100%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -8.4-8.4
CholetMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H29/09
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A02/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/10
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A16/10
LNB
Minsk
#21
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/11
Champions League
AEK Athens
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/11
Champions League
Dijon
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/12
LNB
AEK Athens
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Champions League
Nanterre
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A19/12
LNB
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.378.8-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.539.878.3-1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)36.842.479.2-5.624%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.276.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.278.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.645.679.1-12.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.940.177.9-2.233%-
vs Weaker (7)40.939.480.3+1.457%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#28
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H04/11
Champions League
Saratov
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H07/11
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A17/11
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/12
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H12/12
VTB United League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/12
Champions League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A23/12
VTB United League
79.2Avg total
40.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.778.9+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.435.874.2+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.583.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.579.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.676.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.341.679.9-3.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.339.280.6+2.167%-
vs Weaker (3)48.026.374.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.1
55.6%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.16.0
33.1%
35.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
70.9%
73.2%12.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.4
47.5%
52.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.4
36.1%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
73.2%12.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WWWLLLLLLW
Minsk
LLLLLLWLLW
#28
League position
#21
-2.6
Net rating
-11.7
107.5
Offensive rating
101.7
110.1
Defensive rating
113.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.1%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
20.7%
Turnover %
21.1%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.1%
3-point %
36.1%
57.5%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 101.7Defence110.1 · 113.4Shooting53.8% · 50.1%3-point %33.1% · 36.1%Ball care20.7% · 21.1%Off. rebounds33.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cholet   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cholet wins
1
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
04/11/20Minsk v Cholet82-75
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/20ANanterre80-76
15/12/20HAEK Athens79-70
12/12/20HDijon83-73
17/11/20AAEK Athens81-83
10/11/20AHapoel Holon63-73
04/11/20AMinsk75-82
16/10/20ARoanne88-96
11/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne73-82
02/10/20ALevallois68-72
29/09/20HChalon/Saone91-73
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/20ALokomotiv Kuban76-77
20/12/20AUnics Kazan77-83
15/12/20HHapoel Holon71-75
12/12/20HParma Perm65-78
09/12/20ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
06/12/20HCSKA Moscow60-87
17/11/20AHapoel Holon79-69
11/11/20AAEK Athens69-95
07/11/20HSaratov69-86
04/11/20HCholet82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
Champions League 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game74.579.073.0
Allowed / game77.070.079.3
Point differential-2.5+9.0-6.3
Avg total151.5149.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
Champions League 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game73.873.874.0
Allowed / game73.068.582.0
Point differential+0.8+5.2-8.0
Avg total146.8142.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%87.773.7+14.0
2 Bamberg440100%84.071.5+12.5
3 Basket Zaragoza54180%86.684.4+2.2
4 San Pablo Burgos43175%91.277.8+13.5
5 Nymburk43175%88.879.0+9.8
6 Tenerife43175%89.881.5+8.2
7 VEF Riga43175%82.074.8+7.2
8 Strasbourg43175%78.572.8+5.8
9 Sassari43175%86.883.2+3.5
10 Brindisi43175%87.083.8+3.2
11 Turk Telekom43175%78.878.5+0.2
12 Igokea64267%74.573.7+0.8
13 Minsk64267%73.873.0+0.8
14 Nizhny Novgorod53260%84.679.0+5.6
15 AEK Athens53260%83.880.4+3.4
16 Hapoel Holon53260%78.076.8+1.2
17 Bakken Bears74357%86.381.6+4.7
18 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
19 Bilbao42250%73.569.0+4.5
20 Hapoel Jerusalem42250%83.079.0+4.0
21 Karsiyaka42250%78.275.0+3.2
22 Szombathely42250%85.584.8+0.8
23 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
24 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
25 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
26 Tofas31233%86.085.7+0.3
27 Keravnos62433%74.587.3-12.8
28 Peristeri41325%80.082.0-2.0
29 Limoges41325%74.576.8-2.2
30 Cholet41325%74.577.0-2.5
31 Oostende41325%83.590.5-7.0
32 Darussafaka41325%75.285.0-9.8
33 Rytas41325%78.089.0-11.0
34 Galatasaray51420%82.891.8-9.0
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Lublin4040%72.883.2-10.5
41 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
42 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
43 Fortitudo Bologna4040%62.582.8-20.2
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2521202389
Minsk2018171671
← all games of the day
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