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AEK Athens vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-81
21-20 22-17 18-21 22-23
Position#12
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#28
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H26/02
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
no box
A29/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
86-61
86
61
+25
no box
H07/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
no box
A23/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H24/09
Super Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
70avg 81
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
100-96
100
96
+4
100avg 81
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
66-62
66
62
+4
56avg 81
A07/11
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
95-69
95
69
+26
97avg 81
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-21
25-17
26-23
23-21
19-17
24-22
18-24
30-12
14-20
16-19
26-10
25-23
21-20
21-24
21-31
21-20
23-23
15-16
14-20
15-21
17-18
27-20
22-9
26-15
19-20
18-21
24-12
24-21
26-31
25-24
25-20
18-12
12-15
12-20
24-15
16-22
31-17
22-20
26-10
164.1Avg total
86.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.582.5180.0+15.0100%
Season at home (2)97.582.5180.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.178.0164.1+8.180%
Last 5 (5)85.872.6158.4+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.287.8167.0-8.620%
vs Similar ◀ (4)90.582.2172.8+8.275%
vs Weaker (21)83.070.1153.0+12.990%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Chalon/Saone
#13
L
93-99
93
99
-6
no box
H29/02
LNB
Limoges
#8
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A07/03
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
63-101
63
101
-38
no box
A26/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
H29/09
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
A02/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 69
H11/10
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
88-96
88
96
-8
81avg 69
A16/10
LNB
Minsk
#21
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 69
A04/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
63-73
63
73
-10
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-23
24-14
14-25
29-28
22-26
23-26
19-19
27-21
10-21
24-19
13-18
21-25
14-30
13-25
15-21
15-18
29-8
28-26
19-21
13-16
21-9
12-26
22-21
22-25
16-11
14-29
21-17
19-26
21-23
26-24
22-23
17-19
16-26
19-16
23-21
11-20
25-21
11-14
16-18
160.1Avg total
76.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.077.5146.5-8.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)69.077.5146.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)76.283.9160.1-7.710%
Last 5 (5)73.481.0154.4-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.290.0161.2-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.477.8157.2+1.647%
vs Weaker (8)83.278.0161.2+5.275%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
AEK AthensCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H26/02
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A23/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/09
Super Cup
Ionikos
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A07/11
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/11
Champions League
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.679.7+4.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.438.582.9+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.536.576.0+3.079%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.479.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.645.490.0-0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.539.282.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker (21)41.335.476.7+5.976%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Chalon/Saone
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H29/02
LNB
Limoges
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/03
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A26/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H29/09
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A02/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/10
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A16/10
LNB
Minsk
#21
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/11
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/11
Champions League
80.0Avg total
38.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.379.4-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.239.877.9-1.658%-
Last 30 away (18)38.042.480.4-4.428%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.680.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.275.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.547.379.8-14.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.140.079.1-0.940%-
vs Weaker (8)40.539.179.6+1.462%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.4
54.4%
52.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.8
44.0%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.613.8
67.0%
73.2%13.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.5 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.8
52.3%
52.7%45.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.85.2
29.6%
35.4%15.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
73.2%12.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWWWLLWWW
Cholet
LLLLLWLLLL
#12
League position
#28
+19.6
Net rating
-12.4
122.6
Offensive rating
101.8
103.0
Defensive rating
114.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
22.8%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
44.0%
3-point %
29.6%
71.8%
Assist %
58.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence122.6 · 101.8Defence103.0 · 114.2Shooting58.2% · 50.0%3-point %44.0% · 29.6%Ball care13.9% · 22.8%Off. rebounds33.1% · 36.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Cholet wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/20HMinsk95-69
07/11/20APeristeri66-62
04/11/20HHapoel Holon100-96
31/10/20HLarisa87-68
24/10/20AIonikos81-68
24/09/20HPanathinaikos73-79
23/09/20APromitheas88-98
07/03/20HIraklis86-61
29/02/20APanionios101-96 OT
26/02/20HRethymno84-83
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/20AHapoel Holon63-73
04/11/20AMinsk75-82
16/10/20ARoanne88-96
11/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne73-82
02/10/20ALevallois68-72
29/09/20HChalon/Saone91-73
26/09/20AOrleans63-101
07/03/20ALimoges74-79
29/02/20HChalon/Saone93-99
14/02/20ABoulogne-Levallois74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.597.5-
Allowed / game82.582.5-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Cholet
Champions League 2020
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game69.0-69.0
Allowed / game77.5-77.5
Point differential-8.5--8.5
Avg total146.5-146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg220100%88.567.0+21.5
2 Dijon220100%88.070.0+18.0
3 AEK Athens220100%97.582.5+15.0
4 Sassari220100%92.578.0+14.5
5 Brindisi110100%92.081.0+11.0
6 Karsiyaka110100%81.072.0+9.0
7 Szombathely110100%84.075.0+9.0
8 Basket Zaragoza220100%82.080.0+2.0
9 Igokea43175%76.071.2+4.8
10 Minsk43175%73.273.5-0.2
11 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
12 Peristeri21150%93.586.0+7.5
13 Tofas21150%88.585.0+3.5
14 Hapoel Holon21150%84.581.5+3.0
15 Tenerife21150%85.082.5+2.5
16 Hapoel Jerusalem21150%87.586.5+1.0
17 Galatasaray21150%87.587.0+0.5
18 VEF Riga21150%79.579.0+0.5
19 Bakken Bears42250%82.882.8+0.0
20 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
21 Strasbourg21150%79.079.0+0.0
22 Limoges21150%77.578.0-0.5
23 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
24 Oostende21150%86.588.5-2.0
25 Darussafaka21150%80.083.0-3.0
26 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
27 Turk Telekom21150%82.085.5-3.5
28 Keravnos42250%77.281.5-4.2
29 Rytas21150%85.593.5-8.0
30 Nymburk21150%78.589.0-10.5
31 San Pablo Burgos1010%98.099.0-1.0
32 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
33 Nizhny Novgorod1010%75.078.0-3.0
34 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
35 Lublin2020%80.085.0-5.0
36 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
37 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
38 Bilbao2020%71.579.0-7.5
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Cholet2020%69.077.5-8.5
41 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
42 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
43 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
44 Fortitudo Bologna1010%63.0100.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2122182283
Cholet2017212381
← all games of the day
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