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Pau-Orthez vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-62
15-15 27-9 19-18 12-20
Position#11
Record14-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#14
Record11-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game83.7
FranceLNBRound 21
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Cholet
16 May 2023
POR85
CHO81
30 Apr 2022
POR76
CHO87
16 Nov 2021
POR99
CHO92
12 Jun 2021
POR73
CHO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 75
A01/05
LNB
Dijon
#2
W
79-54
79
54
+25
no box
H04/05
LNB
Cholet
#14
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 75
A09/05
LNB
Nanterre
#9
L
77-115
77
115
-38
66avg 75
A20/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 75
H22/05
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
72-58
72
58
+14
76avg 75
A25/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
80-64
80
64
+16
77avg 75
H29/05
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 75
H03/06
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
99-86
99
86
+13
101avg 75
H06/06
LNB
Boulazac
#18
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 75
A09/06
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
20-29
24-20
15-16
27-15
12-6
28-18
12-15
25-14
18-16
18-25
17-20
17-31
23-28
30-26
7-30
20-20
25-20
22-24
17-26
22-10
13-14
19-12
18-22
21-24
16-16
25-12
18-12
18-15
15-16
20-26
25-13
22-17
22-19
27-23
28-27
31-14
8-21
27-21
20-22
158.9Avg total
81.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.683.7164.3-3.044%
Season at home (16)82.679.4162.0+3.156%
Season away (16)78.787.9166.6-9.231%
Last 10 (10)81.177.8158.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)83.071.2154.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.288.0167.2-8.815%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.186.8168.9-4.850%
vs Weaker (5)83.465.6149.0+17.8100%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
105-90
105
90
+15
103avg 77
H04/05
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 77
H09/05
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 77
A12/05
LNB
Le Mans
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 77
H17/05
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
87-98
87
98
-11
80avg 77
H21/05
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 77
A25/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 77
H29/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
64-82
64
82
-18
54avg 77
A02/06
LNB
Nanterre
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 77
H06/06
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H09/06
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
29-15
22-29
33-24
14-25
16-18
25-18
20-17
26-24
28-18
16-27
19-25
28-31
20-29
19-13
21-22
19-22
19-22
19-22
30-32
16-16
20-21
12-14
23-26
23-18
25-20
28-20
20-31
20-19
16-22
11-25
17-16
23-22
23-19
19-20
18-27
23-23
19-16
24-19
20-20
171.3Avg total
84.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.483.7166.1-1.335%
Season at home (15)85.983.5169.3+2.447%
Season away (16)79.283.9163.1-4.725%
Last 10 (10)84.486.9171.3-2.530%
Last 5 (5)80.082.8162.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.182.4163.5-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.583.1164.6-1.727%
vs Weaker (6)90.082.3172.3+7.767%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
Pau-OrthezCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A01/05
LNB
Dijon
#2
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H04/05
LNB
Cholet
#14
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A09/05
LNB
Nanterre
#9
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A20/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/05
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A25/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H29/05
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/06
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H06/06
LNB
Boulazac
#18
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/06
LNB
76.2Avg total
39.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.879.4-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.537.577.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)39.642.582.1-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.876.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.270.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.640.278.8-1.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.141.982.0-1.842%-
vs Weaker (5)40.634.074.6+6.680%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/05
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H09/05
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A12/05
LNB
Le Mans
#8
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H17/05
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/05
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H29/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A02/06
LNB
Nanterre
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/06
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/06
LNB
85.0Avg total
42.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.041.882.8-0.847%-
Last 30 away (13)41.638.780.3+2.954%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.285.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.641.581.1-1.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.842.983.7-2.140%-
vs Weaker (6)46.033.779.7+12.383%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.9
53.8%
54.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
36.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.212.8
79.0%
75.1%12.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.8
56.6%
54.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
36.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.6%
75.1%13.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jun 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWWWWLLWWL
Cholet
WLLWLLLLLW
#11
League position
#14
+6.6
Net rating
-2.9
111.7
Offensive rating
115.1
105.1
Defensive rating
118.0
57.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.0%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.7%
3-point %
35.7%
62.9%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 115.1Defence105.1 · 118.0Shooting57.7% · 55.5%3-point %41.7% · 35.7%Ball care19.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 33.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pau-Orthez wins
0
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
09/05/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez75-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/21ABoulazac86-78
06/06/21HChalon/Saone99-86
03/06/21HLimoges78-70
29/05/21HGravelines-Dunkerque80-64
25/05/21ALe Portel72-58
22/05/21HLyon-Villeurbanne84-90
20/05/21ANanterre77-115
09/05/21ACholet78-75
04/05/21HDijon79-54
01/05/21ALe Mans78-88
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/21HLe Portel86-78
06/06/21HNanterre83-88
02/06/21ALyon-Villeurbanne64-82
29/05/21HJL Bourg96-89
25/05/21ALimoges71-77
21/05/21HChalons-Reims87-98
17/05/21HLe Mans88-95
12/05/21AChalons-Reims89-94
09/05/21HPau-Orthez75-78
04/05/21HGravelines-Dunkerque105-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW44%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLWLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%56%31%
Points / game80.682.678.7
Allowed / game83.779.487.9
Point differential-3.0+3.1-9.2
Avg total164.3162.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Cholet
LNB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeLLWLW47%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%47%25%
Points / game82.485.979.2
Allowed / game83.783.583.9
Point differential-1.3+2.4-4.7
Avg total166.1169.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (3)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lyon-Villeurbanne3225778%90.578.3+12.2
2 Dijon3225778%81.275.0+6.2
3 Monaco3124777%84.275.0+9.2
4 Strasbourg32221069%82.879.8+3.0
5 JL Bourg33221167%86.080.2+5.7
6 Levallois33191458%79.877.1+2.8
7 Orleans33181555%85.080.4+4.6
8 Le Mans33181555%85.584.4+1.1
9 Limoges33171652%75.778.1-2.3
10 Nanterre33161748%83.782.7+1.1
11 Pau-Orthez32141844%80.683.7-3.0
12 Chalons-Reims33132039%81.385.3-4.0
13 Le Portel33132039%73.781.2-7.5
14 Cholet31112035%82.483.7-1.3
15 Roanne33112233%79.983.2-3.3
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque33112233%75.583.7-8.2
17 Chalon/Saone32102231%81.687.0-5.4
18 Boulazac323299%77.187.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1527191273
Cholet159182062
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