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Cimarrones del Choco vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 52-91
14-18 23-23 8-29 7-21
Position#7
Record5-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game90.1
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
vs
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
Position#1
Record24-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.1
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas
09 Dec 2025
CIMA69
PAIS81
30 Oct 2025
CIMA44
PAIS69
29 Oct 2025
CIMA52
PAIS91
21 May 2025
CIMA91
PAIS90
20 May 2025
CIMA76
PAIS93
23 Oct 2024
CIMA65
PAIS72
22 Oct 2024
CIMA75
PAIS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
30-75
30
75
-45
25avg 66
A21/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
89-99
89
99
-10
77avg 66
A22/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
52-71
52
71
-19
35avg 66
A14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
95-105
95
105
-10
79avg 66
A15/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
45-76
45
76
-31
30avg 66
A18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
85-118
85
118
-33
67avg 66
A18/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 66
H20/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 66
H21/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
46-79
46
79
-33
26avg 66
H24/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
66avg 66
H24/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2-14
13-19
6-19
9-23
24-24
19-24
17-21
29-30
20-18
19-20
6-19
7-14
18-19
17-32
33-32
27-22
6-13
16-22
15-19
8-22
23-29
18-33
13-35
31-21
20-24
10-16
6-16
21-15
17-17
12-18
23-13
15-32
11-22
11-18
17-16
7-23
20-19
13-22
21-16
20-15
148.6Avg total
64.0Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.190.1163.1-17.018%
Season at home (12)72.884.1156.8-11.333%
Season away (16)73.394.6167.9-21.26%
Last 10 (10)64.084.6148.6-20.610%
Last 5 (5)65.884.0149.8-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.989.2162.1-16.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
108-79
108
79
+29
106avg 76
A07/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
104-95
104
95
+9
107avg 76
H13/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
70avg 76
H13/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
91-71
91
71
+20
89avg 76
A17/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 76
H11/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
93-86
93
86
+7
82avg 76
H11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
65-61
65
61
+4
58avg 76
H19/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
63avg 76
H21/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 76
A25/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 76
A26/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
36-23
26-22
22-18
26-21
25-20
27-21
26-33
19-18
8-18
18-10
22-21
28-9
13-28
21-17
29-17
20-9
23-25
19-20
23-26
20-26
21-30
24-11
28-19
25-24
14-10
13-10
13-17
20-23
19-26
27-15
13-19
24-21
15-24
20-18
19-20
20-22
28-22
15-20
17-28
167.8Avg total
86.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.979.1166.0+7.973%
Season at home (18)87.676.1163.7+11.689%
Season away (15)86.182.7168.8+3.553%
Last 10 (10)86.881.0167.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)79.081.0160.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)87.980.5168.4+7.573%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
Cimarrones del ChocoPaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
15-33
15
33
-18
A21/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A15/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A18/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H20/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H24/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/10
LBP
73.2Avg total
30.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.945.182.1-8.227%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.343.578.8-8.217%-
Last 30 away (18)38.046.284.2-8.233%-
Last 10 (10)30.942.373.2-11.410%-
Last 5 (5)31.043.674.6-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.945.182.1-8.227%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A07/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H13/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H11/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H21/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A25/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/10
LBP
84.3Avg total
42.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.785.9+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.385.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.584.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.686.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)44.241.785.9+2.560%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.515.8
42.1%
49.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.36.8
24.0%
30.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.0
65.9%
67.7%11.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.8
50.6%
49.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.2
29.0%
30.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.820.0
74.6%
67.7%20.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
WLLLLLLLLL
Paisas
LLLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
-26.7
Net rating
+7.4
80.2
Offensive rating
105.7
106.9
Defensive rating
98.3
39.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
21.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
24.0%
3-point %
29.0%
44.7%
Assist %
53.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence80.2 · 105.7Defence106.9 · 98.3Shooting39.5% · 47.7%3-point %24.0% · 29.0%Ball care21.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cimarrones del Choco wins
5
Paisas wins
DateGameScore
22/05/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas91-90
21/05/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas76-93
18/05/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco97-77
17/05/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco99-88
12/11/24Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco69-72
11/11/24Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco69-67
24/10/24Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas65-72
23/10/24Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas75-61
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25HCaimanes del Llano74-72
24/10/25HCaimanes del Llano46-79
21/10/25HSabios de Manizales67-80
20/10/25HSabios de Manizales57-71
18/10/25AToros del Valle85-118
18/10/25AToros del Valle45-76
15/10/25ACaribbean Storm Islands95-105
14/10/25ACaribbean Storm Islands52-71
22/06/25ACaimanes del Llano89-99
21/06/25ACaimanes del Llano30-75
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25AToros del Valle80-92
25/10/25AToros del Valle78-83
21/10/25HCaribbean Storm Islands79-83
19/10/25HCaribbean Storm Islands65-61
11/10/25HCaimanes del Llano93-86
11/10/25HCaimanes del Llano85-80
17/07/25ACaimanes del Llano91-71
13/07/25HCaimanes del Llano85-80 OT
13/07/25HCaimanes del Llano104-95
07/07/25ACaribbean Storm Islands108-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW18%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %18%33%6%
Points / game73.172.873.3
Allowed / game90.184.194.6
Point differential-17.0-11.3-21.2
Avg total163.1156.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paisas
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL73%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %73%89%53%
Points / game86.987.686.1
Allowed / game79.176.182.7
Point differential+7.9+11.6+3.5
Avg total166.0163.7168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%44%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)80% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas3324973%86.979.1+7.9
2 Caimanes del Llano36231364%79.473.8+5.6
3 Toros del Valle37221559%80.376.1+4.1
4 Caribbean Storm Islands35191654%82.779.5+3.2
5 Motilones del Norte29141548%76.177.7-1.6
6 Sabios de Manizales28121643%76.678.5-1.9
7 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
8 Cimarrones del Choco2852318%73.190.1-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco14238752
Paisas1823292191
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