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Cincinnati vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-77 (OT)
32-33 35-34 14-10
Position#134
Record12-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game65.8
Cincinnati 🏆
USA
vs
TCU
USA
Position#111
Record13-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cincinnati v TCU
12 Jan 2027
CINC v TCU
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
CINC75
TCU63
16 Jan 2024
CINC81
TCU77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H03/12
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A09/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H17/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H23/12
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-26
50-36
27-35
52-49
30-27
55-26
29-35
39-47
27-17
38-32
38-33
45-42
32-40
44-18
24-31
47-29
39-41
34-33
27-27
32-35
141.7Avg total
75.8Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.465.8145.1+13.675%
Season at home (12)81.263.8145.0+17.583%
Season away (4)73.871.8145.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)75.865.9141.7+9.960%
Last 5 (5)72.465.8138.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.564.5124.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.268.5141.6+4.755%
vs Weaker (16)84.968.5153.4+16.481%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#337
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H17/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A21/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H22/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A24/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
77-42
77
42
+35
H01/01
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
40-47
35-36
31-38
26-30
53-29
47-41
64-46
36-48
39-40
36-27
29-24
47-20
30-22
40-41
41-42
40-34
40-37
29-31
39-36
149.1Avg total
78.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.067.8151.8+16.281%
Season at home (12)83.665.1148.7+18.583%
Season away (4)85.276.0161.2+9.275%
Last 10 (10)78.670.5149.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)74.262.8137.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.073.8144.8-2.843%
vs Weaker (14)86.266.4152.6+19.886%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +4.5+4.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +4.5+4.5
CincinnatiTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H03/12
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A09/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
27-17
27
17
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Baylor
#58
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A14/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
32.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.266.8+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.030.268.2+7.874%-
Last 30 away (11)31.433.164.5-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.263.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.466.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.534.558.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.330.963.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker (16)39.830.970.7+8.881%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#337
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A21/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A24/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H01/01
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H13/01
NCAA
72.4Avg total
38.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.670.9+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.132.071.1+7.167%-
Last 30 away (12)34.735.970.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.472.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.430.669.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.532.065.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.135.971.1-0.843%-
vs Weaker (14)40.031.471.4+8.679%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cincinnati wins
0
TCU wins
No previous meetings.
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ABaylor59-62
10/01/24HTexas73-74
07/01/24ABrigham Young71-60
30/12/23HEvansville76-58
23/12/23HStetson83-75
20/12/23HMerrimack Warriors65-49
17/12/23HDayton68-82
13/12/23HBryant University85-53
09/12/23AXavier79-84
03/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast99-62
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HHouston68-67
11/01/24HOklahoma80-71
06/01/24AKansas81-83
01/01/24HTX A&M Commerce77-42
24/12/23AHawaii65-51
22/12/23HNevada75-88
21/12/23AOld Dominion111-87
17/12/23HArizona State79-59
09/12/23HClemson66-74
02/12/23AGeorgetown84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeLWWWL83%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game79.481.273.8
Allowed / game65.863.871.8
Point differential+13.6+17.5+2.0
Avg total145.1145.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%25%
TCU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %81%83%75%
Points / game84.083.685.2
Allowed / game67.865.176.0
Point differential+16.2+18.5+9.2
Avg total151.8148.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1614288%74.851.4+23.4
2 Baylor1614288%86.168.9+17.2
3 Texas Tech1614288%77.664.8+12.8
4 Kansas1614288%78.566.3+12.2
5 Iowa State1613381%81.758.4+23.3
6 Brigham Young1613381%85.663.1+22.5
7 TCU1613381%84.067.8+16.2
8 Arizona1612475%91.271.9+19.3
9 Cincinnati1612475%79.465.8+13.6
10 Kansas State1612475%75.267.6+7.6
11 Utah Utes1712571%80.570.5+10.0
12 Colorado1712571%80.271.1+9.2
13 UCF Knights1510567%74.564.7+9.9
14 Arizona State1610662%69.270.8-1.5
15 Oklahoma State168850%72.868.1+4.8
16 West Virginia1661038%67.971.7-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Cincinnati32351481
TCU33341077
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