PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cincinnati vs TCU Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#108
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game63.0
Cincinnati
USA
vs
TCU
USA
Position#24
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cincinnati v TCU
12 Jan 2027
CINC v TCU
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
CINC75
TCU63
16 Jan 2024
CINC81
TCU77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
TCU win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H28/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H04/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H10/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
65-66 OT
65
66
-1
A11/03
NCAA
American University
#290
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#176
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H06/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#53
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H10/11
NCAA
Dayton
#307
W
95-72
95
72
+23
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
34-38
51-33
40-35
43-31
47-37
29-32
34-41
29-20
44-46
27-26
31-32
35-33
44-20
40-32
41-32
30-30
31-33
52-34
43-38
143.9Avg total
76.6Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.063.0142.0+16.075%
Season at home (3)73.760.0133.7+13.767%
Season away (1)95.072.0167.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.667.3143.9+9.360%
Last 5 (5)76.263.6139.8+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.772.8134.5-11.217%
vs Similar (12)72.467.3139.8+5.142%
vs Weaker (12)80.265.7145.8+14.583%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
98-59
98
59
+39
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
106-54
106
54
+52
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
37-26
32-29
41-34
43-46
52-42
34-31
39-47
39-24
27-40
34-38
24-43
57-37
41-22
49-28
57-26
41-32
42-51
36-33
40-31
152.6Avg total
81.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.067.2162.2+27.8100%
Season at home (4)95.067.2162.2+27.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.870.8152.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)87.670.0157.6+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.875.2141.0-9.525%
vs Similar (13)77.775.7153.4+2.069%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.269.5154.7+15.685%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +3.8+3.8
CincinnatiTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H10/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A11/03
NCAA
American University
#290
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#176
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#53
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H10/11
NCAA
Dayton
#307
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A15/11
NCAA
68.3Avg total
37.0Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.630.966.6+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.928.266.1+9.794%-
Last 30 away (14)33.134.167.1-1.029%-
Last 10 (10)37.031.368.3+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.067.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.331.862.2-1.533%-
vs Similar (12)33.030.663.6+2.458%-
vs Weaker (12)40.930.871.8+10.183%-
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.670.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.833.870.6+3.156%-
Last 30 away (12)34.735.970.6-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)40.133.773.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.677.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.038.568.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.169.2+1.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.634.072.6+4.662%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cincinnati wins
2
TCU wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26TCU v Cincinnati73-63
22/02/25Cincinnati v TCU75-63
24/02/24TCU v Cincinnati75-57
17/01/24Cincinnati v TCU81-77 OT
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ADayton95-72
10/11/26HMinnesota61-63
06/11/26HWisc. Green Bay81-64
03/11/26HAmerican University79-53
11/03/26AUCF Knights65-66 OT
10/03/26HUtah Utes73-66
07/03/26ATCU63-73
04/03/26HBrigham Young90-68
28/02/26HOklahoma State91-68
25/02/26ATexas Tech68-80
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee76-64
11/11/26HLouisiana Monroe100-92 OT
07/11/26HSouthern Univ.106-54
03/11/26HLindenwood98-59
21/03/26ADuke58-81
19/03/26AOhio State66-64
13/03/26AKansas73-78
12/03/26HOklahoma State95-88
07/03/26HCincinnati73-63
04/03/26ATexas Tech73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game79.073.795.0
Allowed / game63.060.072.0
Point differential+16.0+13.7+23.0
Avg total142.0133.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
TCU
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game67.267.2-
Point differential+27.8+27.8-
Avg total162.2162.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.