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Donar Groningen vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-69
13-16 12-20 25-14 27-19
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLLLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game65.5
NetherlandsDBL CupDBL Cup - Semi-finals· MartiniPlaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Leiden
08 May 2027
DGR v LEI
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DGR75
LEI65
21 Mar 2025
DGR77
LEI69
12 Mar 2025
DGR65
LEI74
28 Nov 2023
DGR70
LEI72
27 May 2023
DGR45
LEI68
23 May 2023
DGR65
LEI68
20 Jan 2023
DGR68
LEI63
06 Dec 2022
DGR62
LEI70
09 Jun 2022
DGR72
LEI75
19 Dec 2021
DGR63
LEI92
10 Apr 2021
DGR72
LEI96
15 Nov 2020
DGR v LEI
upcoming
09 Apr 2020
DGR v LEI
upcoming
21 Mar 2020
DGR v LEI
upcoming
11 May 2019
DGR84
LEI71
25 Apr 2019
DGR71
LEI73
16 Apr 2019
DGR76
LEI81
13 Feb 2019
DGR66
LEI71
06 Oct 2018
DGR74
LEI69
26 May 2018
DGR80
LEI69
22 May 2018
DGR105
LEI66
14 Apr 2018
DGR103
LEI112
09 Dec 2017
DGR91
LEI69
14 Jan 2017
DGR101
LEI77
29 Oct 2016
DGR80
LEI42
12 May 2016
DGR59
LEI52
07 May 2016
DGR71
LEI60
03 May 2016
DGR75
LEI68
10 Mar 2016
DGR90
LEI86
08 Nov 2015
DGR77
LEI66
14 May 2015
DGR77
LEI71
09 May 2015
DGR63
LEI59
05 May 2015
DGR78
LEI63
18 Apr 2015
DGR70
LEI65
13 Nov 2014
DGR70
LEI72
11 May 2014
DGR76
LEI62
06 May 2014
DGR74
LEI66
01 May 2014
DGR44
LEI73
27 Mar 2014
DGR90
LEI56
23 Nov 2013
DGR70
LEI61
03 May 2013
DGR57
LEI64
13 Apr 2013
DGR79
LEI70
25 Oct 2012
DGR70
LEI66
14 Jan 2012
DGR62
LEI64
22 Oct 2011
DGR86
LEI75
28 May 2011
DGR63
LEI57
21 May 2011
DGR85
LEI73
17 May 2011
DGR83
LEI68
09 Apr 2011
DGR61
LEI64
03 Feb 2011
DGR81
LEI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 71
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 71
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
80avg 71
A04/02
ENBL
Mechelen
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 71
H08/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 71
H16/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
71-113
71
113
-42
65avg 71
A01/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 71
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
65-74
65
74
-9
58avg 71
H12/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 71
A15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
19-20
30-27
33-30
23-18
18-16
21-19
20-23
28-11
12-25
16-20
28-23
19-34
16-17
24-25
27-12
17-26
24-20
17-19
17-20
20-15
26-23
23-28
22-18
13-38
14-26
26-19
18-30
11-30
25-21
11-21
19-11
12-23
22-25
14-11
17-15
30-22
14-31
19-23
26-15
168.2Avg total
80.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.578.5170.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)99.078.0177.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.787.5168.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)76.489.0165.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.889.4167.2-11.612%
vs Similar (5)79.678.8158.4+0.840%
vs Weaker (7)76.975.4152.3+1.471%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
66avg 69
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 69
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 69
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 69
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 69
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 69
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 69
H15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
14-15
17-16
16-19
17-21
21-11
17-24
20-18
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
11-22
16-19
26-14
18-25
30-16
13-18
19-23
33-24
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
153.6Avg total
76.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.565.5161.0+30.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)95.565.5161.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.976.7153.6+0.270%
Last 5 (5)77.879.6157.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.881.9154.7-9.131%
vs Similar (7)79.978.1158.0+1.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.475.2155.6+5.280%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
Donar GroningenLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/02
ENBL
Mechelen
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H08/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H16/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
27-64
27
64
-37
A01/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H12/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A15/03
BNXT League
84.5Avg total
37.9Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.081.1-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.241.181.3-0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.980.8-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.946.684.5-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.450.888.2-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.544.181.6-6.635%-
vs Similar (5)39.240.880.0-1.640%-
vs Weaker (7)41.139.180.3+2.071%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
75.1Avg total
38.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.076.6+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.577.2+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.576.0+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.675.1+1.980%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.675.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.840.677.4-3.838%-
vs Similar (7)41.636.377.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.433.071.4+5.480%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.2
52.6%
-34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.0
34.0%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
-14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.3
52.3%
-42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
-22.5
🏀 Free throws13.79.7
70.8%
-9.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LLLLWLLWWL
Leiden
WWLWLWWLWW
#2
League position
#3
-11.8
Net rating
-1.4
105.7
Offensive rating
105.0
117.4
Defensive rating
106.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.0%
3-point %
33.8%
62.5%
Assist %
71.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Donar Groningen wins
7
Leiden wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ABelfius Mons89-91
12/03/25HLeiden65-74
07/03/25ALimburg66-83
01/03/25AAntwerp Giants71-113
16/02/25HOkapi Aalst91-84
08/02/25HMechelen75-85
04/02/25AOpava86-88
28/01/25HLWD Basket84-79
26/01/25HLeuven Bears82-76
23/01/25HDen Bosch98-102
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98
15/02/25HDen Bosch95-81
07/02/25AOkapi Aalst71-80
02/02/25AZwolle78-75
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
05/01/25AQSTA Utd75-74
26/12/24ADen Bosch73-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
DBL Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.584.099.0
Allowed / game78.579.078.0
Point differential+13.0+5.0+21.0
Avg total170.0163.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
DBL Cup 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.5-95.5
Allowed / game65.5-65.5
Point differential+30.0-+30.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden220100%95.565.5+30.0
2 Den Bosch330100%87.766.0+21.7
3 Donar Groningen220100%91.578.5+13.0
4 Rotterdam32167%89.788.7+1.0
5 QSTA Utd21150%85.067.0+18.0
6 Den Helder21150%89.583.5+6.0
7 LWD Basket21150%80.075.5+4.5
8 Zwolle21150%82.079.0+3.0
9 BAL Weert1010%91.095.0-4.0
10 Den Helder 21010%67.081.0-14.0
11 Attacus1010%69.090.0-21.0
12 Quick Lions1010%78.099.0-21.0
13 US Basketball Amsterdam1010%70.095.0-25.0
14 Orange Lions1010%53.089.0-36.0
15 Leiden 21010%59.096.0-37.0
16 Voorburg1010%57.0116.0-59.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1312252777
Leiden1620141969
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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