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Mechelen vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-62
25-15 31-14 19-22 10-11
Position#3
Record20-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.0
Mechelen 🏆
vs
Donar Groningen
Position#14
Record8-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v Donar Groningen
11 Apr 2027
MECH v DGR
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
MECH93
DGR84
12 Apr 2025
MECH85
DGR62
19 Apr 2023
MECH74
DGR72
03 Jun 2022
MECH85
DGR89
30 Mar 2022
MECH86
DGR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 76
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 76
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 76
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 76
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 76
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
68avg 76
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
93-90
93
90
+3
87avg 76
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 76
A16/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 76
A28/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
83avg 76
H02/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
10-18
32-20
25-20
22-11
26-17
20-24
19-17
20-17
20-22
29-18
13-21
24-28
18-13
17-19
21-21
23-12
28-20
24-21
22-22
19-27
14-28
28-17
16-18
21-21
28-21
23-25
16-16
20-12
16-26
21-19
21-19
20-14
161.6Avg total
84.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.976.0157.8+5.974%
Season at home (12)83.274.7157.9+8.683%
Season away (15)80.777.0157.7+3.767%
Last 10 (10)84.077.6161.6+6.480%
Last 5 (5)86.280.8167.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.487.6170.0-5.240%
vs Similar (11)78.878.0156.8+0.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.570.7154.2+12.892%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 72
H16/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
71-113
71
113
-42
65avg 72
A01/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 72
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
65-74
65
74
-9
58avg 72
H12/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 72
A15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H21/03
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 72
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
59-96
59
96
-37
54avg 72
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 72
H06/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
26-23
23-28
22-18
13-38
14-26
26-19
18-30
11-30
25-21
11-21
19-11
12-23
22-25
14-11
17-15
30-22
14-31
19-23
26-15
13-16
12-20
25-14
27-19
16-16
19-15
19-22
20-21
24-28
23-30
9-19
24-15
21-22
12-24
16-28
10-22
20-22
22-15
18-26
28-19
164.5Avg total
77.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.686.0162.6-9.430%
Season at home (14)78.384.1162.4-5.836%
Season away (13)74.888.1162.8-13.323%
Last 10 (10)77.187.4164.5-10.330%
Last 5 (5)77.885.8163.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.888.7165.5-11.921%
vs Similar (5)79.678.8158.4+0.840%
vs Weaker (5)79.677.4157.0+2.280%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
MechelenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A28/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/04
BNXT League
84.2Avg total
42.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.039.380.3+1.766%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.238.179.2+3.177%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.281.1+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.384.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.885.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.842.481.2-3.640%-
vs Similar (11)42.240.682.8+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.836.977.8+3.977%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H16/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
27-64
27
64
-37
A01/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H12/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H21/03
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H06/04
BNXT League
83.1Avg total
36.9Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.781.3-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.041.781.7-1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)36.943.980.8-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)36.946.283.1-9.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.678.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.844.381.1-7.432%-
vs Similar (5)39.240.880.0-1.640%-
vs Weaker (5)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.6
51.9%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.1
35.5%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.816.5
75.7%
71.9%16.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.0
53.1%
52.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
71.9%13.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWLWWLWWWW
Donar Groningen
WLLLWLLLLW
#3
League position
#14
+8.2
Net rating
-15.7
113.0
Offensive rating
100.7
104.8
Defensive rating
116.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
21.9%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
33.1%
50.5%
Assist %
67.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 100.7Defence104.8 · 116.3Shooting52.4% · 51.5%3-point %35.5% · 33.1%Ball care15.6% · 21.9%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Mechelen   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mechelen wins
3
Donar Groningen wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Donar Groningen v Mechelen75-85
22/04/23Donar Groningen v Mechelen73-48
19/04/23Mechelen v Donar Groningen74-72
03/06/22Mechelen v Donar Groningen85-89
01/06/22Donar Groningen v Mechelen84-86
15/04/22Donar Groningen v Mechelen71-66
30/03/22Mechelen v Donar Groningen86-61
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HKortrijk93-91 OT
28/03/25ACircus Brussels87-74
16/03/25AAntwerp Giants79-84
12/03/25ALeuven Bears93-90
01/03/25AOkapi Aalst79-65
15/02/25HCircus Brussels86-89
08/02/25ADonar Groningen85-75
01/02/25HLWD Basket89-69
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
Donar Groningenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HAntwerp Giants88-82
02/04/25ADen Bosch59-96
29/03/25HLimburg80-92
23/03/25ADen Bosch85-90 OT
21/03/25HLeiden77-69
15/03/25ABelfius Mons89-91
12/03/25HLeiden65-74
07/03/25ALimburg66-83
01/03/25AAntwerp Giants71-113
16/02/25HOkapi Aalst91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %74%83%67%
Points / game81.983.280.7
Allowed / game76.074.777.0
Point differential+5.9+8.6+3.7
Avg total157.8157.9157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%36%23%
Points / game76.678.374.8
Allowed / game86.084.188.1
Point differential-9.4-5.8-13.3
Avg total162.6162.4162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3024680%95.376.8+18.5
2 Oostende3124777%87.475.6+11.8
3 Mechelen2720774%81.976.0+5.9
4 Limburg30201067%80.675.3+5.3
5 Circus Brussels30191163%78.076.0+1.9
6 Antwerp Giants30181260%82.580.7+1.8
7 Spirou Charleroi30171357%81.375.6+5.7
8 Den Bosch30171357%83.180.5+2.6
9 Belfius Mons30171357%80.278.6+1.6
10 Leiden28151354%76.680.1-3.4
11 Leuven Bears30161453%79.874.2+5.6
12 Okapi Aalst29141548%80.779.7+1.0
13 LWD Basket29131645%80.784.6-3.9
14 Zwolle28111739%81.183.4-2.2
15 Den Helder3092130%73.184.4-11.2
16 Donar Groningen2781930%76.686.0-9.4
17 Feyenoord3082227%79.587.1-7.6
18 BAL Weert2962321%70.283.4-13.1
19 QSTA Utd3032710%77.389.7-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2531191085
Donar Groningen1514221162
← all games of the day
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