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Leiden vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 79-81
20-17 25-18 12-26 22-20
Position#12
Record17-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#14
Record9-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.2
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Donar Groningen
31 Oct 2026
LEI83
DGR96
08 Nov 2025
LEI101
DGR72
20 Apr 2025
LEI79
DGR81
19 Nov 2023
LEI85
DGR77
29 May 2023
LEI82
DGR81
25 May 2023
LEI55
DGR64
21 May 2023
LEI91
DGR94
22 Jan 2023
LEI76
DGR63
17 Nov 2022
LEI84
DGR68
11 Jun 2022
LEI71
DGR70
22 Jan 2022
LEI69
DGR71
20 Mar 2021
LEI96
DGR91
16 Jan 2021
LEI98
DGR67
01 Feb 2020
LEI81
DGR73
23 Nov 2019
LEI72
DGR80
14 May 2019
LEI63
DGR93
09 May 2019
LEI76
DGR77
09 Apr 2019
LEI82
DGR85
16 Mar 2019
LEI78
DGR79
03 Jan 2019
LEI83
DGR77
29 May 2018
LEI66
DGR73
24 May 2018
LEI71
DGR78
10 Mar 2018
LEI61
DGR85
07 Oct 2017
LEI75
DGR63
02 Mar 2017
LEI57
DGR74
10 Dec 2016
LEI67
DGR68
10 May 2016
LEI73
DGR43
05 May 2016
LEI76
DGR93
30 Apr 2016
LEI72
DGR69
14 Apr 2016
LEI69
DGR67
09 Jan 2016
LEI74
DGR80
12 May 2015
LEI85
DGR56
07 May 2015
LEI69
DGR79
02 May 2015
LEI86
DGR80
28 Feb 2015
LEI76
DGR72
20 Dec 2014
LEI72
DGR81
08 May 2014
LEI66
DGR72
03 May 2014
LEI62
DGR59
25 Jan 2014
LEI63
DGR78
05 Oct 2013
LEI69
DGR63
07 May 2013
LEI68
DGR64
01 May 2013
LEI75
DGR52
20 Feb 2013
LEI66
DGR68
01 Dec 2012
LEI70
DGR48
14 Mar 2012
LEI55
DGR58
19 Nov 2011
LEI70
DGR58
29 May 2011
LEI96
DGR95
22 May 2011
LEI75
DGR64
19 May 2011
LEI68
DGR63
14 May 2011
LEI107
DGR89
10 Feb 2011
LEI69
DGR79
30 Oct 2010
LEI62
DGR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 69
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 69
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 69
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 69
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
52avg 69
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 69
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 69
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 69
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 69
A18/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
13-18
19-23
33-24
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
16-13
20-12
14-25
19-27
7-25
18-22
15-25
23-26
21-24
21-21
11-19
32-17
18-14
21-20
9-20
23-14
25-20
20-22
14-17
18-12
34-14
25-25
14-24
21-11
156.4Avg total
77.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.279.6156.8-2.357%
Season at home (15)77.378.0155.3-0.753%
Season away (15)77.181.1158.3-4.060%
Last 10 (10)77.778.7156.4-1.070%
Last 5 (5)78.078.4156.4-0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.882.3155.1-9.536%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.978.1158.0+1.771%
vs Weaker (8)80.174.6154.8+5.575%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
65-74
65
74
-9
58avg 72
H12/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 72
A15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H21/03
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 72
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
59-96
59
96
-37
54avg 72
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 72
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 72
A12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 72
A15/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
73-78
73
78
-5
66avg 72
H17/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
22-25
14-11
17-15
30-22
14-31
19-23
26-15
13-16
12-20
25-14
27-19
16-16
19-15
19-22
20-21
24-28
23-30
9-19
24-15
21-22
12-24
16-28
10-22
20-22
22-15
18-26
28-19
15-25
14-31
22-19
11-10
23-16
22-20
29-12
18-23
20-28
15-9
21-13
17-28
159.8Avg total
77.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.585.2161.7-8.730%
Season at home (15)77.983.7161.6-5.733%
Season away (15)75.186.7161.8-11.727%
Last 10 (10)77.082.8159.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)74.882.4157.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.289.4166.6-12.222%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.678.8158.4+0.840%
vs Weaker (6)81.277.3158.5+3.867%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
LeidenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A18/04
BNXT League
78.5Avg total
40.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.478.0+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.637.377.9+3.362%-
Last 30 away (17)40.637.578.1+3.165%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.478.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.483.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.840.977.6-4.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.636.377.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker (8)43.433.877.1+9.688%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H12/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H21/03
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/04
BNXT League
80.7Avg total
36.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.281.9-4.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.641.781.3-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.844.982.6-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.880.7-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.145.482.6-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.240.880.0-1.640%-
vs Weaker (6)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.3
51.2%
52.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.2%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.810.4
75.4%
71.9%10.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.7
53.0%
52.6%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.5
31.8%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
71.9%11.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWWWLLWWLW
Donar Groningen
LWLWLLLWLL
#12
League position
#14
-2.6
Net rating
-16.2
106.5
Offensive rating
98.1
109.1
Defensive rating
114.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
21.4%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
31.8%
74.3%
Assist %
64.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 98.1Defence109.1 · 114.4Shooting51.2% · 50.4%3-point %34.2% · 31.8%Ball care16.1% · 21.4%Off. rebounds29.1% · 24.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Leiden   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leiden wins
3
Donar Groningen wins
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25AFeyenoord94-74
12/04/25ABelfius Mons77-71
09/04/25HQSTA Utd71-68
05/04/25HBAL Weert85-81
29/03/25ALeuven Bears63-98
21/03/25ADonar Groningen69-77
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98
15/02/25HDen Bosch95-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25HDen Helder73-78
15/04/25ABAL Weert92-71
12/04/25AMechelen62-85
06/04/25HAntwerp Giants88-82
02/04/25ADen Bosch59-96
29/03/25HLimburg80-92
23/03/25ADen Bosch85-90 OT
21/03/25HLeiden77-69
15/03/25ABelfius Mons89-91
12/03/25HLeiden65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%53%60%
Points / game77.277.377.1
Allowed / game79.678.081.1
Point differential-2.3-0.7-4.0
Avg total156.8155.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)60% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game76.577.975.1
Allowed / game85.283.786.7
Point differential-8.7-5.7-11.7
Avg total161.7161.6161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3124777%94.777.1+17.6
2 Mechelen2922776%81.775.1+6.6
3 Oostende3224875%86.775.5+11.1
4 Limburg31211068%80.675.0+5.6
5 Circus Brussels31201165%78.276.1+2.1
6 Antwerp Giants31191261%82.780.5+2.2
7 Leiden30171357%77.279.6-2.3
8 Leuven Bears31171455%79.674.1+5.5
9 Den Bosch31171455%83.080.5+2.5
10 Belfius Mons31171455%79.978.6+1.4
11 Spirou Charleroi32171553%80.375.5+4.9
12 LWD Basket31151648%81.184.0-2.9
13 Okapi Aalst31141745%80.280.0+0.2
14 Zwolle30121840%81.683.8-2.2
15 Den Helder31102132%73.384.0-10.7
16 Donar Groningen3092130%76.585.2-8.7
17 Feyenoord3182326%79.487.4-8.0
18 BAL Weert3162519%70.483.8-13.5
19 QSTA Utd3142713%77.389.3-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2025122279
Donar Groningen1718262081
← all games of the day
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