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Circus Brussels vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-64
10-14 20-13 22-19 27-18
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#11
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek (Brusel)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Leuven Bears
18 Oct 2024
CIRC78
LEUV76
26 Nov 2023
CIRC79
LEUV64
23 Dec 2022
CIRC73
LEUV71
20 Feb 2022
CIRC70
LEUV75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 73
A30/09
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
87avg 73
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 73
H08/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 73
A14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 73
H29/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
64avg 73
A10/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
58-83
58
83
-25
54avg 73
H12/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
56avg 73
A17/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
20-23
22-14
21-11
13-18
30-14
26-11
16-16
13-17
26-22
21-15
19-21
27-24
26-25
18-19
24-14
22-26
12-15
22-12
11-22
26-13
20-13
19-16
20-24
16-24
21-20
26-19
27-13
21-18
23-19
20-20
11-18
14-24
19-18
13-18
12-23
13-20
18-14
15-12
15-17
152.0Avg total
78.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.676.8156.3+2.856%
Season at home (4)78.282.0160.2-3.850%
Season away (5)80.672.6153.2+8.060%
Last 10 (10)78.273.8152.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)75.275.0150.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.785.8165.5-6.147%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.375.6154.9+3.757%
vs Weaker (8)82.880.2163.0+2.550%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
75avg 67
A04/10
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
67avg 67
H07/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
74avg 67
H14/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#11
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 67
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 67
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 67
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
84-60
84
60
+24
84avg 67
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
69-88
69
88
-19
50avg 67
A19/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-18
19-15
25-20
18-16
20-16
16-24
24-28
25-21
23-21
13-7
21-9
–
–
–
–
17-16
15-14
18-14
17-13
12-24
16-17
28-28
19-22
19-21
21-19
19-22
14-22
18-21
16-19
15-20
19-20
23-15
20-18
21-10
20-17
9-22
22-24
19-23
19-19
149.5Avg total
75.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.277.8154.0-1.630%
Season at home (5)77.873.2151.0+4.640%
Season away (5)74.682.4157.0-7.820%
Last 10 (10)75.474.1149.5+1.350%
Last 5 (5)73.880.6154.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.078.8153.8-3.840%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.774.6154.2+5.144%
vs Weaker (16)81.169.1150.2+11.975%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
Circus BrusselsLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/09
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H29/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H12/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/11
BNXT League
78.8Avg total
39.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.680.2-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.680.9-0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.679.5-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.178.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.540.180.7+0.453%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.741.481.1-1.743%-
vs Weaker (8)37.840.878.5-3.025%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H07/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A19/11
BNXT League
74.8Avg total
37.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.036.377.3+4.769%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.932.976.8+10.993%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.577.7-1.247%-
Last 10 (9)37.037.874.8-0.856%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.075.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.238.274.4-2.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.739.180.8+2.667%-
vs Weaker (15)42.134.076.1+8.173%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.3
49.8%
52.2%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.4
35.4%
33.1%22.3
🏀 Free throws26.119.4
74.5%
71.4%19.4
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.7
50.3%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.7
32.7%
33.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.412.2
74.4%
71.4%12.2
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
LLLWWLWWWW
Leuven Bears
LWLLLWWWLW
#9
League position
#11
+3.4
Net rating
-2.0
105.8
Offensive rating
105.5
102.4
Defensive rating
107.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
32.7%
56.5%
Assist %
56.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 105.5Defence102.4 · 107.5Shooting51.1% · 49.8%3-point %35.4% · 32.7%Ball care18.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.45 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Circus Brussels wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23ASpirou Charleroi61-63
12/11/23HLimburg58-83
10/11/23AOostende82-87 OT
29/10/23HBelfius Mons90-76
22/10/23HOkapi Aalst85-66
20/10/23AOkapi Aalst67-75
14/10/23AOkapi Aalst95-82
08/10/23HAntwerp Giants79-75
04/10/23ALiege85-59
30/09/23ALeuven Bears80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AKortrijk69-88
14/11/23HOkapi Aalst84-60
09/11/23ALimburg68-80
31/10/23HMechelen73-84
28/10/23AOostende75-91
22/10/23HBelfius Mons67-57
20/10/23ABelfius Mons75-68
14/10/23HSpirou Charleroi82-58
07/10/23HLiege78-84
04/10/23ABelfius Mons83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game79.678.280.6
Allowed / game76.882.072.6
Point differential+2.8-3.8+8.0
Avg total156.3160.2153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game76.277.874.6
Allowed / game77.873.282.4
Point differential-1.6+4.6-7.8
Avg total154.0151.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch87188%84.670.5+14.1
2 Leiden87188%81.969.2+12.6
3 Oostende108280%77.370.5+6.8
4 Antwerp Giants108280%80.774.0+6.7
5 Zwolle97278%79.866.8+13.0
6 Limburg97278%77.367.7+9.7
7 BAL Weert85362%74.872.9+1.9
8 Kortrijk106460%80.281.1-0.9
9 Liege106460%73.574.6-1.1
10 Circus Brussels95456%79.676.8+2.8
11 Donar Groningen84450%73.969.4+4.5
12 Mechelen105550%74.373.0+1.3
13 Spirou Charleroi94544%71.776.6-4.9
14 Feyenoord94544%75.184.1-9.0
15 Leuven Bears103730%76.277.8-1.6
16 Den Helder92722%67.380.8-13.4
17 LWD Basket81712%74.683.4-8.8
18 Belfius Mons91811%74.482.1-7.7
19 QSTA Utd91811%70.082.2-12.2
20 Okapi Aalst100100%77.088.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels1020222779
Leuven Bears1413191864
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