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Circus Brussels vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 104-81
30-26 33-15 23-22 18-18
Position#9
Record10-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.9
Circus Brussels 🏆
vs
LWD Basket
Position#17
Record4-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2023-24
Meetings · Circus Brussels v LWD Basket
03 Nov 2024
CIRC66
LWD 82
17 Mar 2024
CIRC104
LWD 81
22 Apr 2022
CIRC90
LWD 91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 72
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-76
64
76
-12
55avg 72
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 72
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 72
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
97avg 72
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
71avg 72
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 72
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 72
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 72
A17/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
75-80
75
80
-5
71avg 72
A08/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
20-17
21-13
14-21
16-15
19-17
20-26
9-18
18-19
14-10
18-20
13-22
27-30
25-18
13-21
23-21
23-26
26-20
18-27
27-13
21-16
27-10
19-12
12-20
20-21
21-24
11-21
24-17
23-22
13-14
14-25
17-19
26-22
25-10
20-19
17-25
18-23
19-18
21-24
17-15
154.0Avg total
76.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.076.9154.9+1.048%
Season at home (10)76.379.6155.9-3.340%
Season away (11)79.574.5153.9+5.055%
Last 10 (10)76.877.2154.0-0.440%
Last 5 (5)77.075.4152.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.575.7149.3-2.236%
vs Similar (17)77.975.7153.6+2.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.070.5146.5+5.550%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#18
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 70
A09/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A16/12
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#6
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H19/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
L
68-82
68
82
-14
65avg 70
H06/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
75-64
75
64
+11
65avg 70
A13/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 70
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
84-109
84
109
-25
66avg 70
H03/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
67avg 70
A10/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
101-82
101
82
+19
100avg 70
H17/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
92-106 OT
92
106
-14
83avg 70
H02/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
14-27
21-20
20-23
20-19
23-17
16-32
18-15
22-20
22-11
13-15
29-39
10-25
20-17
23-27
15-13
23-18
21-12
17-15
14-19
23-24
22-15
19-26
26-23
25-30
18-31
24-28
17-20
15-21
24-25
17-17
15-16
26-26
25-19
18-17
32-20
21-24
22-27
22-19
22-17
168.1Avg total
81.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.683.6160.2-7.024%
Season at home (9)81.488.3169.8-6.922%
Season away (8)71.178.2149.4-7.125%
Last 10 (10)81.686.5168.1-4.940%
Last 5 (5)87.692.8180.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.287.7163.9-11.46%
vs Similar (6)78.582.8161.3-4.333%
vs Weaker (7)84.481.1165.6+3.357%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Circus BrusselsLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A17/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/03
BNXT League
79.3Avg total
42.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.676.2+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.635.974.5+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.737.277.9+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.379.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.078.6+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.734.674.4+5.173%-
vs Similar (17)39.638.277.8+1.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.033.573.5+6.550%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#18
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A16/12
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H19/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H06/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A13/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H03/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H02/03
BNXT League
83.8Avg total
41.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.041.781.7-1.738%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.543.482.9-3.936%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.180.5+0.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.583.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.492.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.843.482.2-4.619%-
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker (7)45.937.183.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.2
56.0%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.7
36.4%
33.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.513.5
77.1%
71.4%13.5
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.8
51.5%
52.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.3
29.0%
33.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
71.4%13.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
LWLLWWLLLW
LWD Basket
LWLLWWLWLL
#9
League position
#17
-1.4
Net rating
-4.3
106.2
Offensive rating
100.1
107.5
Defensive rating
104.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
21.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
29.0%
52.0%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 100.1Defence107.5 · 104.4Shooting55.4% · 48.5%3-point %36.4% · 29.0%Ball care21.6% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 29.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Circus Brussels wins
1
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
22/04/22Circus Brussels v LWD Basket90-91
18/03/22LWD Basket v Circus Brussels75-85
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24ALeuven Bears75-80
17/02/24ABelfius Mons88-76
09/02/24ALimburg67-80
04/02/24HOkapi Aalst76-83
27/01/24AMechelen79-58
12/01/24HLiege94-86
06/01/24AAntwerp Giants88-90
26/12/23HSpirou Charleroi63-71
22/12/23HOostende64-76
15/12/23AKortrijk74-72
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HBelfius Mons92-106 OT
17/02/24HLeiden101-82
10/02/24AZwolle71-79
03/02/24HDen Bosch84-109
28/01/24AQSTA Utd90-88
13/01/24ADen Helder75-64
06/01/24HBAL Weert68-82
19/12/23HFeyenoord86-85
16/12/23AFeyenoord77-83
09/12/23AFeyenoord72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%40%55%
Points / game78.076.379.5
Allowed / game76.979.674.5
Point differential+1.0-3.3+5.0
Avg total154.9155.9153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL24%
HomeWLLWL22%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%22%25%
Points / game76.681.471.1
Allowed / game83.688.378.2
Point differential-7.0-6.9-7.1
Avg total160.2169.8149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2321291%80.770.8+9.8
2 Den Bosch1916384%81.269.8+11.3
3 Antwerp Giants2216673%81.872.3+9.5
4 Limburg2216673%77.371.1+6.2
5 Leiden1813572%77.469.5+7.9
6 Zwolle1912763%75.969.0+6.9
7 Liege2213959%79.078.1+0.9
8 Spirou Charleroi22121055%72.974.6-1.8
9 Donar Groningen179853%71.468.3+3.1
10 Circus Brussels21101148%78.076.9+1.0
11 Mechelen22101245%76.177.0-0.8
12 BAL Weert1881044%70.373.3-3.1
13 Kortrijk23101343%78.380.0-1.7
14 Feyenoord1861233%72.280.6-8.4
15 Leuven Bears2271532%75.579.2-3.7
16 Belfius Mons2261627%76.482.9-6.5
17 Den Helder1951426%67.279.8-12.7
18 LWD Basket1741324%76.683.6-7.0
19 Okapi Aalst2251723%76.082.2-6.2
20 QSTA Utd1841422%73.380.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels30332318104
LWD Basket2615221881
← all games of the day
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