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Citadel vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 62-61
13-23 49-38
Position#311
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game69.2
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
Position#279
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game56.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H18/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A25/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A03/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H11/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A14/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#408
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
43-44
34-36
35-29
33-37
35-35
21-29
49-49
25-34
25-38
10-27
31-39
27-36
32-36
38-35
33-40
31-35
33-36
35-28
42-31
134.5Avg total
63.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.869.2137.0-1.525%
Season at home (2)74.067.0141.0+7.050%
Season away (2)61.571.5133.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)63.970.6134.5-6.720%
Last 5 (5)62.468.6131.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)65.576.4141.9-11.022%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.869.8137.6-2.020%
vs Weaker (2)75.556.0131.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#283
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H24/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#673
W
92-36
92
36
+56
H07/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A12/11
NCAA
Northwest
#598
W
85-51
85
51
+34
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
34-45
34-33
31-37
38-32
27-23
39-36
32-27
39-38
33-49
34-34
40-49
51-16
41-20
26-27
27-27
25-44
30-42
45-19
40-32
136.6Avg total
70.2Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.256.8128.0+14.550%
Season at home (2)88.543.5132.0+45.0100%
Season away (2)54.070.0124.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)70.266.4136.6+3.840%
Last 5 (5)71.862.0133.8+9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.470.7133.1-8.211%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.573.0143.5-2.547%
vs Weaker (2)81.066.0147.0+15.050%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -1.6-1.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -1.6-1.6
CitadelIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
10-27
10
27
-17
A03/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A14/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#408
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/11
NCAA
61.0Avg total
28.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.233.762.9-4.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.934.465.2-3.529%-
Last 30 away (16)27.833.260.9-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)28.132.961.0-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.232.260.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)27.834.862.6-7.013%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.034.666.6-2.640%-
vs Weaker (2)38.019.557.5+18.5100%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#283
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H24/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#673
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H07/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A12/11
NCAA
Northwest
#598
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H17/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.064.5+0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.628.663.1+6.043%-
Last 30 away (16)30.834.965.8-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.368.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.228.064.2+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.833.763.4-3.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.132.865.9+0.241%-
vs Weaker (2)37.028.065.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Citadel wins
0
Idaho State wins
No previous meetings.
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HNorth Greenville77-59
14/11/23APresbyterian64-71
11/11/23HBoston College71-75
07/11/23ANC State59-72
03/03/23AMercer41-66
25/02/23AMercer50-72
23/02/23AEast Tennessee St70-78
18/02/23HWofford68-72
16/02/23HFurman69-65
11/02/23ASamford70-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HNorthwest85-51
12/11/23AIowa State55-86
11/11/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)53-54
07/11/23HWarner Pacific92-36
07/03/23AMontana74-83
28/02/23ANorthern Colorado72-87
26/02/23HEast. Washington71-63
24/02/23HIdaho65-55
19/02/23ASacramento State65-70
17/02/23APortland State70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.874.061.5
Allowed / game69.267.071.5
Point differential-1.5+7.0-10.0
Avg total137.0141.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Idaho State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.288.554.0
Allowed / game56.843.570.0
Point differential+14.5+45.0-16.0
Avg total128.0132.0124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs440100%77.560.5+17.0
2 Western Carolina440100%79.866.0+13.8
3 NC Greensboro32167%80.774.7+6.0
4 Furman53260%83.478.0+5.4
5 Samford42250%73.874.2-0.5
6 East Tennessee St42250%66.571.0-4.5
7 Wofford42250%80.286.5-6.2
8 Citadel41325%67.869.2-1.5
9 Mercer41325%65.876.0-10.2
10 VMI51420%75.276.6-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State65183%70.563.3+7.2
2 Montana State32167%78.064.7+13.3
3 Weber State53260%69.660.6+9.0
4 Idaho42250%79.063.5+15.5
5 Idaho State42250%71.256.8+14.5
6 Montana42250%78.869.2+9.5
7 Northern Colorado42250%75.869.2+6.5
8 Northern Arizona52340%62.878.0-15.2
9 Sacramento State51420%78.480.2-1.8
10 East. Washington4040%68.289.0-20.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel134962
Idaho State233861
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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