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Samford vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-70
32-27 44-43
Position#78
Record17-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.8
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Citadel
USA
Position#330
Record9-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samford v Citadel
09 Jan 2027
SAMF v CITA
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
SAMF78
CITA64
01 Jan 2025
SAMF86
CITA56
02 Mar 2024
SAMF92
CITA80
11 Feb 2023
SAMF76
CITA70
21 Feb 2022
SAMF76
CITA74
23 Jan 2021
SAMF v CITA
upcoming
01 Jan 2020
SAMF69
CITA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A02/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
36-37
43-27
40-31
31-45
44-29
35-33
34-26
32-24
42-41
34-38
42-38
32-48
45-37
42-33
43-44
39-29
34-33
26-29
39-36
146.8Avg total
76.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.070.8148.8+7.265%
Season at home (13)81.866.5148.4+15.385%
Season away (13)74.275.0149.2-0.846%
Last 10 (10)76.070.8146.8+5.280%
Last 5 (5)77.876.8154.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.372.0141.3-2.733%
vs Similar (9)71.774.8146.4-3.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.568.4148.9+12.172%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
L
74-96
74
96
-22
H12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A20/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-42
46-54
26-25
39-36
22-38
38-32
14-23
46-29
35-31
46-39
29-30
36-44
34-44
41-32
43-36
26-39
29-38
30-41
38-41
25-41
140.6Avg total
67.1Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)68.874.8143.7-6.035%
Season at home (13)71.073.5144.5-2.531%
Season away (13)66.776.1142.8-9.438%
Last 10 (10)67.173.5140.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)66.277.2143.4-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.079.3145.3-13.319%
vs Similar (7)71.667.0138.6+4.671%
vs Weaker (1)74.053.0127.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.4-1.4
SamfordCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H04/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A09/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.132.869.9+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.430.671.0+9.887%-
Last 30 away (15)33.835.068.8-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.768.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.470.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.331.764.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (9)34.033.467.4+0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.432.772.1+6.872%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A20/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
29.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.135.466.5-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.634.666.3-3.021%-
Last 30 away (16)30.736.066.7-5.331%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.864.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.872.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)28.637.165.7-8.514%-
vs Similar (7)34.034.468.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker (1)41.011.052.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Samford wins
1
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22Citadel v Samford63-75
22/02/22Samford v Citadel76-74
05/02/22Citadel v Samford107-93
15/02/20Citadel v Samford62-74
01/01/20Samford v Citadel69-68
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23AMercer70-69 OT
04/02/23HEast Tennessee St73-62
02/02/23AWestern Carolina85-77
28/01/23AWofford77-85
26/01/23AFurman84-91 OT
21/01/23HWestern Carolina74-65
19/01/23AEast Tennessee St69-59
14/01/23HChattanooga Mocs75-74
12/01/23HWofford83-58
07/01/23ANC Greensboro70-68
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23AChattanooga Mocs63-82
04/02/23HNC Greensboro59-79
03/02/23HVMI69-75
31/01/23HChicago State75-76
28/01/23HMercer65-74
26/01/23AWestern Carolina81-70
21/01/23AVMI60-52
20/01/23ANC Greensboro60-70
14/01/23HWestern Carolina65-61
12/01/23HEast Tennessee St74-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%85%46%
Points / game78.081.874.2
Allowed / game70.866.575.0
Point differential+7.2+15.3-0.8
Avg total148.8148.4149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %15%0%31%
Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%31%38%
Points / game68.871.066.7
Allowed / game74.873.576.1
Point differential-6.0-2.5-9.4
Avg total143.7144.5142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2721678%82.870.7+12.1
2 NC Greensboro2617965%71.062.8+8.2
3 Samford2617965%78.070.8+7.2
4 Western Carolina27141352%75.371.4+3.8
5 Chattanooga Mocs26131350%77.071.2+5.8
6 Wofford26131350%74.571.5+3.0
7 Mercer26121446%69.867.8+2.0
8 East Tennessee St27101737%69.268.7+0.4
9 Citadel2691735%68.874.8-6.0
10 VMI2762122%69.574.9-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford324476
Citadel274370
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