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East Tennessee St vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-70
29-21 49-49
Position#286
Record10-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game69.2
East Tennessee St 🏆
USA
vs
Citadel
USA
Position#330
Record10-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Citadel
07 Mar 2026
EAST83
CITA76
23 Jan 2026
EAST84
CITA55
11 Jan 2025
EAST70
CITA52
03 Feb 2024
EAST62
CITA60
22 Feb 2023
EAST78
CITA70
04 Mar 2022
EAST76
CITA84
22 Jan 2022
EAST73
CITA75
30 Jan 2021
EAST112
CITA84
12 Feb 2020
EAST91
CITA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
67-71 OT
67
71
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H02/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A04/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A08/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
26-34
33-42
45-20
32-27
27-32
32-33
32-40
36-26
41-26
29-39
33-34
23-50
42-41
31-30
38-35
30-32
36-36
37-39
42-44
139.3Avg total
68.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.469.2138.6+0.234%
Season at home (16)70.668.8139.3+1.838%
Season away (13)68.069.8137.8-1.831%
Last 10 (10)68.670.7139.3-2.130%
Last 5 (5)68.276.0144.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.375.0143.3-6.710%
vs Similar (13)64.968.5133.4-3.515%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.065.8143.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#356
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A09/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
14-23
46-29
35-31
46-39
29-30
36-44
34-44
41-32
43-36
26-39
29-38
30-41
38-41
25-41
27-32
43-44
34-36
35-29
33-37
35-35
140.0Avg total
67.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.974.4143.3-5.634%
Season at home (15)70.772.9143.5-2.233%
Season away (14)66.976.1143.0-9.136%
Last 10 (10)67.972.1140.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)65.874.8140.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.777.6144.3-10.922%
vs Similar (5)69.265.2134.4+4.060%
vs Weaker (1)74.053.0127.0+21.0100%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.0-1.0
East Tennessee StCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A26/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A08/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A19/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
31.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.167.3-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.634.268.8+0.447%-
Last 30 away (13)31.234.165.3-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)31.635.366.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.038.068.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.538.769.2-8.210%-
vs Similar (13)32.233.065.2-0.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.429.867.2+7.6100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#356
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
31.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.535.265.8-4.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.134.566.5-2.420%-
Last 30 away (15)29.036.065.0-7.020%-
Last 10 (10)31.634.866.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.869.0-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.036.765.6-7.713%-
vs Similar (5)31.034.665.6-3.620%-
vs Weaker (1)41.011.052.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
East Tennessee St wins
3
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
12/01/23Citadel v East Tennessee St74-96
04/03/22East Tennessee St v Citadel76-84 OT
19/02/22Citadel v East Tennessee St67-77
22/01/22East Tennessee St v Citadel73-75
11/02/21Citadel v East Tennessee St79-71
30/01/21East Tennessee St v Citadel112-84
13/02/20East Tennessee St v Citadel91-67
05/12/19Citadel v East Tennessee St84-96
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23AFurman79-83
16/02/23AWestern Carolina66-68
11/02/23HVMI69-65
08/02/23ANC Greensboro65-91
04/02/23ASamford62-73
02/02/23HWofford77-52
28/01/23HChattanooga Mocs64-73
26/01/23AMercer67-71 OT
21/01/23AChattanooga Mocs78-62
19/01/23HSamford59-69
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HWofford68-72
16/02/23HFurman69-65
11/02/23ASamford70-76
09/02/23AChattanooga Mocs63-82
04/02/23HNC Greensboro59-79
03/02/23HVMI69-75
31/01/23HChicago State75-76
28/01/23HMercer65-74
26/01/23AWestern Carolina81-70
21/01/23AVMI60-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL34%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %34%38%31%
Points / game69.470.668.0
Allowed / game69.268.869.8
Point differential+0.2+1.8-1.8
Avg total138.6139.3137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (12)17% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL34%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%33%36%
Points / game68.970.766.9
Allowed / game74.472.976.1
Point differential-5.6-2.2-9.1
Avg total143.3143.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2922776%82.271.0+11.2
2 Samford2920969%78.770.4+8.3
3 NC Greensboro29191066%72.764.9+7.8
4 Western Carolina29161355%74.971.1+3.7
5 Chattanooga Mocs29151452%76.871.0+5.9
6 Wofford29151452%74.872.1+2.7
7 Mercer29121741%69.168.2+1.0
8 East Tennessee St29101934%69.469.2+0.2
9 Citadel29101934%68.974.4-5.6
10 VMI2962321%68.875.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Tennessee St294978
Citadel214970
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