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Citadel vs NC Greensboro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-66 (OT)
32-30 28-30 11-6
Position#302
Record8-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#252
Record8-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Citadel v NC Greensboro
31 Jan 2026
CITA71
NC G66
05 Feb 2025
CITA61
NC G76
14 Feb 2024
CITA61
NC G76
04 Feb 2023
CITA59
NC G79
13 Jan 2022
CITA74
NC G69
03 Feb 2021
CITA66
NC G85
15 Jan 2020
CITA69
NC G79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC Greensboro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
24-38
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
33-19
29-43
47-34
35-34
28-40
39-27
27-49
28-35
34-25
46-31
147.2Avg total
69.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.875.3147.1-3.536%
Season at home (11)77.573.3150.8+4.355%
Season away (11)66.077.4143.4-11.418%
Last 10 (10)69.377.9147.2-8.640%
Last 5 (5)72.070.4142.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)66.779.6146.3-12.917%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.769.9138.6-1.230%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC GreensboroUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
131-53
131
53
+78
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A07/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A10/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
69-66 OT
69
66
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
92-102
92
102
-10
H17/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
66-89
66
89
-23
H23/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
62-32
69-21
33-34
44-38
43-35
46-47
36-56
49-41
34-38
26-48
19-33
43-29
37-51
55-51
38-33
47-45
30-35
36-54
29-43
48-52
165.1Avg total
83.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.181.6159.7-3.536%
Season at home (11)81.874.5156.4+7.355%
Season away (11)74.588.6163.1-14.218%
Last 10 (10)83.182.0165.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.886.0163.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.286.3158.6-14.122%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.980.3155.2-5.433%
vs Weaker (8)80.966.4147.2+14.575%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
CitadelNC Greensboro
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H30/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
32.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.536.168.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.234.668.9-0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)31.037.468.4-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)32.338.570.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.467.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.939.369.2-9.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.631.565.1+2.150%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC GreensboroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
62-32
62
32
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A07/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H16/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A30/01
NCAA
75.1Avg total
36.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.936.170.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.135.470.5-0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)34.636.971.4-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.075.1-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.639.069.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.839.973.7-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.937.971.8-4.033%-
vs Weaker (8)37.028.965.9+8.175%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Citadel wins
9
NC Greensboro wins
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HVMI80-56
24/01/26AEast Tennessee St55-84
22/01/26HFurman77-75 OT
18/01/26AVMI82-68
16/01/26ANC Greensboro66-69 OT
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74
20/12/25ARichmond Spiders56-80
NC Greensborolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AMercer77-95
23/01/26HFurman66-89
21/01/26AVMI85-78
17/01/26HMercer92-102
16/01/26HCitadel69-66 OT
10/01/26AEast Tennessee St60-86
07/01/26AWofford85-97
03/01/26HSamford89-82
01/01/26HChattanooga Mocs77-72
21/12/25HVirginia-Lynchburg131-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW36%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game71.877.566.0
Allowed / game75.373.377.4
Point differential-3.5+4.3-11.4
Avg total147.1150.8143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%18%9%
NC Greensboro
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL36%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayWLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game78.181.874.5
Allowed / game81.674.588.6
Point differential-3.5+7.3-14.2
Avg total159.7156.4163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2215768%78.367.4+10.9
2 Furman2215768%77.770.2+7.5
3 Wofford2215768%79.075.6+3.4
4 Mercer2214864%85.575.4+10.1
5 Samford22101245%77.276.4+0.8
6 Chattanooga Mocs2291341%75.473.3+2.1
7 Western Carolina2081240%78.380.2-1.9
8 NC Greensboro2281436%78.181.6-3.5
9 Citadel2281436%71.875.3-3.5
10 VMI2261627%72.577.4-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Citadel32281171
NC Greensboro3030666
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