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Citadel vs NC Greensboro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-76
32-34 29-42
Position#361
Record5-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#105
Record14-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Citadel v NC Greensboro
31 Jan 2026
CITA71
NC G66
05 Feb 2025
CITA61
NC G76
14 Feb 2024
CITA61
NC G76
04 Feb 2023
CITA59
NC G79
13 Jan 2022
CITA74
NC G69
03 Feb 2021
CITA66
NC G85
15 Jan 2020
CITA69
NC G79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC Greensboro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#61
L
56-86
56
86
-30
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
46-80
46
80
-34
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
58-83
58
83
-25
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
29-45
30-42
38-39
19-30
39-28
22-36
30-34
29-34
28-36
36-41
34-34
26-52
42-27
27-36
45-36
18-34
28-46
29-47
29-36
138.7Avg total
61.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.974.6142.4-6.724%
Season at home (13)74.071.8145.8+2.238%
Season away (8)57.979.0136.9-21.10%
Last 10 (10)61.677.1138.7-15.50%
Last 5 (5)64.079.4143.4-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.678.7140.3-17.16%
vs Similar (9)70.876.1146.9-5.311%
vs Weaker (4)89.062.2151.2+26.8100%
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC GreensboroUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A01/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H04/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H16/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
83-55
83
55
+28
A18/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H23/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-28
47-38
43-32
41-35
38-36
40-39
28-36
41-40
34-29
36-28
30-26
53-29
48-35
30-44
27-28
33-29
30-29
40-36
27-35
35-39
139.3Avg total
72.2Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.464.9138.3+8.661%
Season at home (10)79.961.5141.4+18.480%
Season away (13)68.567.5135.9+1.046%
Last 10 (10)72.267.1139.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)70.666.0136.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.068.0140.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (11)69.671.0140.6-1.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.361.1136.3+14.267%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -13.0-13.01st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -13.0-13.01st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
CitadelNC Greensboro
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#61
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H01/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
26.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.037.169.1-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.435.770.1-1.341%-
Last 30 away (13)28.839.067.8-10.28%-
Last 10 (10)26.339.365.6-13.00%-
Last 5 (5)27.242.069.2-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)27.039.566.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (9)33.036.169.1-3.133%-
vs Weaker (4)48.233.581.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC GreensboroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A18/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H01/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
32.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.831.266.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.829.568.3+9.477%-
Last 30 away (17)31.732.564.2-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)32.631.464.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.430.663.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.038.072.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)31.232.263.4-1.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.130.267.3+6.867%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Citadel wins
9
NC Greensboro wins
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HSamford58-83
30/01/25AMercer46-80
25/01/25HWestern Carolina78-80 OT
23/01/25AWofford68-79
18/01/25HVMI70-75
16/01/25ANC Greensboro57-70
11/01/25AEast Tennessee St52-70
09/01/25HFurman63-67 OT
04/01/25HChattanooga Mocs68-81
02/01/25ASamford56-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HWofford62-74
30/01/25HEast Tennessee St70-65
25/01/25AVMI60-57
23/01/25HMercer78-79
18/01/25AWestern Carolina83-55
16/01/25HCitadel70-57
11/01/25ASamford69-76
09/01/25AChattanooga Mocs78-75
04/01/25HFurman84-67
01/01/25AWofford68-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %24%38%0%
Points / game67.974.057.9
Allowed / game74.671.879.0
Point differential-6.7+2.2-21.1
Avg total142.4145.8136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%15%0%
NC Greensboro
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %61%80%46%
Points / game73.479.968.5
Allowed / game64.961.567.5
Point differential+8.6+18.4+1.0
Avg total138.3141.4135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2318578%83.772.7+11.0
2 Furman2317674%76.468.3+8.1
3 Chattanooga Mocs2315865%77.972.1+5.8
4 NC Greensboro2314961%73.464.9+8.6
5 East Tennessee St24141058%73.366.8+6.5
6 Wofford23121152%74.370.0+4.2
7 Mercer23111248%79.775.3+4.4
8 VMI24111346%75.371.6+3.7
9 Western Carolina2161529%68.278.6-10.4
10 Citadel2151624%67.974.6-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel322961
NC Greensboro344276
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