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Citadel vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-74
32-30 43-44
Position#172
Record11-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.0
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
Position#170
Record12-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Citadel v VMI
29 Jan 2026
CITA80
VMI56
18 Jan 2025
CITA70
VMI75
17 Feb 2024
CITA76
VMI51
02 Feb 2023
CITA69
VMI75
15 Jan 2022
CITA85
VMI90
20 Feb 2021
CITA75
VMI74
08 Feb 2020
CITA64
VMI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#56
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A19/01
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
63-83
63
83
-20
H20/01
NCAA
Wofford
#102
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H27/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
84-112
84
112
-28
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H06/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-43
33-44
38-52
25-31
38-42
39-27
43-50
41-62
35-30
40-46
35-35
31-50
35-30
39-33
31-33
48-38
34-36
32-34
29-39
38-42
152.1Avg total
72.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.878.0160.8+4.955%
Season at home (13)84.571.8156.3+12.677%
Season away (7)79.989.3169.1-9.414%
Last 10 (10)72.479.7152.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)70.474.0144.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.484.1154.5-13.78%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.788.2167.9-8.633%
vs Weaker (9)85.666.1151.7+19.478%
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#172
W
110-103
110
103
+7
H16/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A19/01
NCAA
Furman
#98
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H21/01
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Wofford
#102
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Samford
#298
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H13/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
52-46
58-57
36-39
45-53
34-40
40-33
38-45
42-38
39-37
48-24
31-38
28-38
37-41
37-33
28-27
44-47
39-31
46-25
43-40
45-37
159.5Avg total
82.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.875.4156.2+5.455%
Season at home (12)88.872.0160.8+16.892%
Season away (10)71.279.5150.7-8.310%
Last 10 (10)82.077.5159.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)77.672.6150.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.373.4140.7-6.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.580.9159.5-2.436%
vs Weaker (12)84.471.5155.9+12.967%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
CitadelVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#56
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H06/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/02
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A18/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
35.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.474.3-0.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.935.674.5+3.241%-
Last 30 away (13)34.239.773.9-5.515%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.074.8-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.667.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.539.570.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.641.880.3-3.211%-
vs Weaker (9)43.730.273.9+13.489%-
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#172
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H16/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/01
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Samford
#298
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H13/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H18/02
NCAA
76.1Avg total
37.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.473.8+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.077.9+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)33.036.769.7-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.476.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.471.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.135.165.3-5.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.439.275.5-2.836%-
vs Weaker (12)42.834.577.2+8.275%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Citadel wins
3
VMI wins
DateGameScore
16/01/21VMI v Citadel110-103
08/02/20Citadel v VMI64-75
18/01/20VMI v Citadel88-79
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21AWofford67-81
13/02/21AChattanooga Mocs66-70
11/02/21HEast Tennessee St79-71
06/02/21HWestern Carolina74-63
04/02/21HNC Greensboro66-85
01/02/21AWestern Carolina75-76
30/01/21AEast Tennessee St84-112
27/01/21HWofford77-69
20/01/21HMercer63-83
19/01/21ANC Greensboro73-87
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21HNC Greensboro88-77
13/02/21HSamford85-56
11/02/21AWestern Carolina72-74
04/02/21AWofford84-80 OT
31/01/21ANC Greensboro59-76
28/01/21HWestern Carolina87-61
23/01/21AMercer80-83
21/01/21HFurman74-73
19/01/21AEast Tennessee St81-92
16/01/21HCitadel110-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeLWLWW77%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %55%77%14%
Points / game82.884.579.9
Allowed / game78.071.889.3
Point differential+4.9+12.6-9.4
Avg total160.8156.3169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%92%10%
Points / game80.888.871.2
Allowed / game75.472.079.5
Point differential+5.4+16.8-8.3
Avg total156.2160.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs2318578%74.069.4+4.6
2 NC Greensboro2215768%73.067.8+5.3
3 Furman2114767%80.268.3+11.9
4 Wofford2113862%74.768.4+6.3
5 Mercer2113862%78.773.8+4.9
6 Citadel2011955%82.878.0+4.9
7 VMI22121055%80.875.4+5.4
8 East Tennessee St22121055%69.765.4+4.3
9 Western Carolina2291341%76.178.7-2.5
10 Samford1861233%77.879.1-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel324375
VMI304474
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