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Citadel vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-75
43-36 26-39
Position#330
Record9-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game74.3
vs
VMI 🏆
USA
Position#356
Record5-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Citadel v VMI
29 Jan 2026
CITA80
VMI56
18 Jan 2025
CITA70
VMI75
17 Feb 2024
CITA76
VMI51
02 Feb 2023
CITA69
VMI75
15 Jan 2022
CITA85
VMI90
20 Feb 2021
CITA75
VMI74
08 Feb 2020
CITA64
VMI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A05/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A08/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
74-96
74
96
-22
H12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A20/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
38-45
30-43
42-54
15-27
42-50
28-42
46-54
26-25
39-36
22-38
38-32
14-23
46-29
35-31
46-39
29-30
36-44
34-44
41-32
142.0Avg total
67.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.574.3143.8-4.839%
Season at home (11)72.372.9145.2-0.636%
Season away (12)67.075.6142.6-8.642%
Last 10 (10)67.274.8142.0-7.630%
Last 5 (5)68.268.4136.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)66.178.5144.6-12.420%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.668.4140.0+3.262%
vs Weaker (1)74.053.0127.0+21.0100%
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A30/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A07/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H12/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A15/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H21/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-33
41-52
25-33
25-31
39-46
39-41
29-39
49-46
22-31
35-41
30-36
37-50
30-30
31-39
23-14
29-46
16-28
34-34
26-32
39-39
136.1Avg total
62.0Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.474.4144.8-4.022%
Season at home (10)75.666.5142.1+9.150%
Season away (13)66.480.5146.8-14.10%
Last 10 (10)62.074.1136.1-12.10%
Last 5 (5)59.069.6128.6-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.277.4144.6-10.316%
vs Similar ◀ (4)61.870.8132.5-9.00%
vs Weaker (5)93.078.0171.0+15.040%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -6.0-6.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -6.0-6.0
CitadelVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A05/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
15-27
15
27
-12
A08/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A20/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H31/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
25.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.135.566.6-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.635.266.8-3.614%-
Last 30 away (16)30.635.866.4-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)25.833.359.1-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)26.833.260.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)28.036.864.8-8.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.636.170.8-1.525%-
vs Weaker (1)41.011.052.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A30/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H31/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A05/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A07/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H12/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
23-14
23
14
+9
H21/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H28/01
NCAA
58.3Avg total
26.1Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.635.367.9-2.727%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.531.366.8+4.238%-
Last 30 away (17)30.538.468.8-7.918%-
Last 10 (10)26.132.258.3-6.110%-
Last 5 (5)25.028.053.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.536.365.7-6.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.231.262.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (5)41.234.675.8+6.660%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Citadel wins
4
VMI wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23VMI v Citadel52-60
12/02/22VMI v Citadel79-83
15/01/22Citadel v VMI85-90
20/02/21Citadel v VMI75-74
16/01/21VMI v Citadel110-103
08/02/20Citadel v VMI64-75
18/01/20VMI v Citadel88-79
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/23HChicago State75-76
28/01/23HMercer65-74
26/01/23AWestern Carolina81-70
21/01/23AVMI60-52
20/01/23ANC Greensboro60-70
14/01/23HWestern Carolina65-61
12/01/23HEast Tennessee St74-96
08/01/23AWofford57-77
05/01/23AFurman72-97
31/12/22HSamford63-75
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HWestern Carolina65-71
26/01/23ANC Greensboro50-62
21/01/23HCitadel52-60
20/01/23HMercer61-69
15/01/23AWofford67-86
12/01/23HNC Greensboro57-72
07/01/23AChattanooga Mocs78-85
05/01/23ASamford78-87
31/12/22HEast Tennessee St50-64
30/12/22AFurman62-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL39%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%36%42%
Points / game69.572.367.0
Allowed / game74.372.975.6
Point differential-4.8-0.6-8.6
Avg total143.8145.2142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game70.475.666.4
Allowed / game74.466.580.5
Point differential-4.0+9.1-14.1
Avg total144.8142.1146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2418675%82.071.7+10.3
2 Samford2415962%78.571.2+7.3
3 NC Greensboro2314961%69.963.5+6.3
4 Wofford24131154%74.170.2+4.0
5 Chattanooga Mocs24121250%77.171.0+6.1
6 Western Carolina24121250%74.869.9+4.9
7 Mercer23111248%70.368.3+2.0
8 Citadel2391439%69.574.3-4.8
9 East Tennessee St2491538%69.767.8+1.9
10 VMI2351822%70.474.4-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel432669
VMI363975
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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