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Citadel vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-51
34-30 42-21
Position#311
Record9-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game70.5
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
VMI
USA
Position#365
Record4-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game81.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Citadel v VMI
29 Jan 2026
CITA80
VMI56
18 Jan 2025
CITA70
VMI75
17 Feb 2024
CITA76
VMI51
02 Feb 2023
CITA69
VMI75
15 Jan 2022
CITA85
VMI90
20 Feb 2021
CITA75
VMI74
08 Feb 2020
CITA64
VMI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#183
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H13/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A18/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A27/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
H01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
41-32
29-38
38-35
29-35
34-35
21-35
47-31
36-45
26-45
42-30
30-42
26-28
34-34
26-29
38-42
33-31
31-46
26-42
35-34
139.8Avg total
65.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.870.5140.3-0.635%
Season at home (13)74.369.2143.5+5.154%
Season away (13)65.471.7137.1-6.315%
Last 10 (10)65.973.9139.8-8.010%
Last 5 (5)65.673.6139.2-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.176.1140.2-11.97%
vs Similar (9)64.866.0130.8-1.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.364.2147.5+19.283%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
L
96-134
96
134
-38
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
60-100
60
100
-40
H17/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H20/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A27/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A03/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
63-102
63
102
-39
H10/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
54-72
42-62
26-41
34-59
35-29
35-34
31-35
42-39
33-63
44-39
29-48
50-37
38-49
31-41
40-45
44-43
35-56
28-46
34-39
28-36
164.6Avg total
73.3Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.081.9153.0-10.915%
Season at home (12)75.277.6152.8-2.433%
Season away (14)67.585.6153.1-18.10%
Last 10 (10)73.391.3164.6-18.010%
Last 5 (5)71.488.0159.4-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.085.4154.4-16.37%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)100.063.0163.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: -12.2-12.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -5.8-5.8
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: -12.2-12.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -5.8-5.8
CitadelVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#183
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H13/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H15/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
29.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.664.5-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.232.765.9+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)28.934.363.2-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.835.365.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.062.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)28.736.264.9-7.57%-
vs Similar (9)28.231.759.9-3.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.529.870.3+10.783%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A27/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H31/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H10/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/02
NCAA
83.2Avg total
35.5Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.340.673.8-7.320%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.437.171.4-2.736%-
Last 30 away (16)32.343.675.9-11.36%-
Last 10 (10)35.547.783.2-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.482.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)32.042.274.3-10.211%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)53.031.084.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Citadel wins
6
VMI wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24VMI v Citadel70-63
03/02/23Citadel v VMI69-75
21/01/23VMI v Citadel52-60
12/02/22VMI v Citadel79-83
15/01/22Citadel v VMI85-90
20/02/21Citadel v VMI75-74
16/01/21VMI v Citadel110-103
08/02/20Citadel v VMI64-75
18/01/20VMI v Citadel88-79
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HNC Greensboro61-76
11/02/24AWofford64-77
08/02/24AWestern Carolina64-71
03/02/24AEast Tennessee St60-62
01/02/24HFurman79-82 OT
27/01/24AChattanooga Mocs62-90
25/01/24HMercer68-66
20/01/24AVMI63-70
18/01/24ANC Greensboro67-73
13/01/24HWofford71-72
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24AFurman62-75
10/02/24HSamford63-102
08/02/24HChattanooga Mocs84-88
03/02/24AMercer69-90
31/01/24HNC Greensboro79-85
27/01/24AWestern Carolina77-102
24/01/24HEast Tennessee St73-74
20/01/24HCitadel70-63
17/01/24HFurman60-100
13/01/24ASamford96-134

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLLWLL54%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%54%15%
Points / game69.874.365.4
Allowed / game70.569.271.7
Point differential-0.6+5.1-6.3
Avg total140.3143.5137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
VMI
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game71.075.267.5
Allowed / game81.977.685.6
Point differential-10.9-2.4-18.1
Avg total153.0152.8153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2623388%88.073.4+14.5
2 Western Carolina2618869%76.868.9+7.9
3 NC Greensboro2618869%76.770.7+6.0
4 Chattanooga Mocs2517868%79.470.8+8.6
5 Wofford26151158%76.374.4+1.8
6 Furman26141254%80.075.9+4.1
7 East Tennessee St25131252%69.568.5+1.0
8 Mercer26111542%68.870.5-1.7
9 Citadel2691735%69.870.5-0.6
10 VMI2642215%71.081.9-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel344276
VMI302151
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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