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Citadel vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-56
34-25 46-31
Position#302
Record7-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game76.2
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
VMI
USA
Position#364
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Citadel v VMI
29 Jan 2026
CITA80
VMI56
18 Jan 2025
CITA70
VMI75
17 Feb 2024
CITA76
VMI51
02 Feb 2023
CITA69
VMI75
15 Jan 2022
CITA85
VMI90
20 Feb 2021
CITA75
VMI74
08 Feb 2020
CITA64
VMI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
42-47
32-42
24-38
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
33-19
29-43
47-34
35-34
28-40
39-27
27-49
28-35
149.6Avg total
69.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.476.2147.6-4.933%
Season at home (10)77.375.0152.3+2.350%
Season away (11)66.077.4143.4-11.418%
Last 10 (10)69.180.5149.6-11.430%
Last 5 (5)71.874.6146.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.479.4145.8-13.116%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.471.4138.9-4.022%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H03/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A10/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H15/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H18/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
58-88
58
88
-30
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-32
35-38
43-44
47-53
36-34
22-44
39-23
40-48
30-41
37-40
27-34
21-35
33-36
34-41
34-47
34-35
33-38
45-47
33-39
25-49
149.7Avg total
69.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.277.2150.5-4.029%
Season at home (10)82.068.0150.0+14.050%
Season away (11)65.385.6150.9-20.49%
Last 10 (10)69.979.8149.7-9.920%
Last 5 (5)63.880.2144.0-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)67.479.9147.3-12.517%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.581.5158.0-5.050%
vs Weaker (2)97.560.0157.5+37.5100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -9.0-9.0
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -9.0-9.0
CitadelVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A24/01
NCAA
72.0Avg total
32.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.436.468.8-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.135.369.4-1.229%-
Last 30 away (16)31.037.468.4-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)32.539.572.0-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.470.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.039.069.0-9.016%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.632.265.8+1.344%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H03/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A08/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H18/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A24/01
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.337.271.4-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.134.172.1+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)30.939.970.8-8.919%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.872.7-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.870.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.538.871.3-6.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.540.575.0-6.025%-
vs Weaker (2)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Citadel wins
6
VMI wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26VMI v Citadel68-82
08/03/25VMI v Citadel73-62
08/02/25VMI v Citadel82-70
18/01/25Citadel v VMI70-75
17/02/24Citadel v VMI76-51
20/01/24VMI v Citadel70-63
03/02/23Citadel v VMI69-75
21/01/23VMI v Citadel52-60
12/02/22VMI v Citadel79-83
15/01/22Citadel v VMI85-90
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AEast Tennessee St55-84
22/01/26HFurman77-75 OT
18/01/26AVMI82-68
16/01/26ANC Greensboro66-69 OT
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74
20/12/25ARichmond Spiders56-80
18/12/25ACharleston78-82
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AWestern Carolina58-88
21/01/26HNC Greensboro78-85
18/01/26HCitadel68-82
15/01/26HMercer67-77
10/01/26AFurman48-69
08/01/26AEast Tennessee St67-81
03/01/26HChattanooga Mocs79-71
01/01/26HSamford58-78
21/12/25ARadford90-97
09/12/25HLoyola Maryland86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL33%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game71.477.366.0
Allowed / game76.275.077.4
Point differential-4.9+2.3-11.4
Avg total147.6152.3143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%20%9%
VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%50%9%
Points / game73.282.065.3
Allowed / game77.268.085.6
Point differential-4.0+14.0-20.4
Avg total150.5150.0150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2115671%77.866.3+11.5
2 Furman2215768%77.770.2+7.5
3 Wofford2215768%79.075.6+3.4
4 Mercer2113862%85.075.3+9.7
5 Samford22101245%77.276.4+0.8
6 Chattanooga Mocs2291341%75.473.3+2.1
7 NC Greensboro2181338%78.281.0-2.8
8 Western Carolina1971237%77.779.8-2.1
9 Citadel2171433%71.476.2-4.9
10 VMI2161529%73.277.2-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel344680
VMI253156
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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