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Citadel vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 63-83
38-52 25-31
Position#172
Record8-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#106
Record8-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Citadel v Mercer
14 Feb 2026
CITA54
MERC70
19 Feb 2025
CITA52
MERC62
24 Jan 2024
CITA68
MERC66
28 Jan 2023
CITA65
MERC74
17 Jan 2022
CITA64
MERC71
20 Jan 2021
CITA63
MERC83
26 Feb 2020
CITA57
MERC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#208
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#465
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H05/12
NCAA
Columbia International
#453
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H08/12
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
102-51
102
51
+51
H10/12
NCAA
Longwood
#221
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#307
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H13/01
NCAA
VMI
#170
L
103-110
103
110
-7
A16/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
48-30
57-23
43-35
54-29
42-28
54-19
48-32
44-38
47-51
52-39
42-43
36-37
56-50
41-48
47-46
46-52
57-58
40-43
33-44
170.2Avg total
91.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.577.2168.6+14.373%
Season at home (8)92.470.4162.8+22.088%
Season away (3)89.095.3184.3-6.333%
Last 10 (10)91.778.5170.2+13.270%
Last 5 (5)90.092.0182.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)69.184.3153.4-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (4)89.893.2183.0-3.550%
vs Weaker (8)86.165.6151.8+20.575%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#38
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H01/12
NCAA
Columbia International
#453
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#292
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A13/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#330
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H30/12
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
44-32
42-29
46-33
47-36
49-49
32-40
45-35
34-47
47-41
31-38
50-33
33-41
32-37
34-44
46-39
40-31
40-52
43-30
35-46
158.2Avg total
81.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.274.2155.4+6.967%
Season at home (6)82.069.7151.7+12.383%
Season away (6)80.378.8159.2+1.550%
Last 10 (10)81.277.0158.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)76.878.2155.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.572.4138.9-5.925%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.572.1145.5+1.462%
vs Weaker (9)85.267.9153.1+17.3100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
CitadelMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#208
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H04/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#465
W
57-23
57
23
+34
H05/12
NCAA
Columbia International
#453
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H08/12
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H10/12
NCAA
Longwood
#221
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#307
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H22/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/01
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H13/01
NCAA
VMI
#170
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A16/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/01
NCAA
82.2Avg total
45.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.874.7-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.235.574.8+3.850%-
Last 30 away (14)34.140.474.6-6.314%-
Last 10 (10)45.436.882.2+8.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.886.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.039.871.8-7.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weaker (8)45.530.976.4+14.688%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#38
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Columbia International
#453
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#292
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A16/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#330
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/12
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H16/01
NCAA
75.1Avg total
37.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.567.6+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.131.765.8+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)34.135.469.5-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.375.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.873.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.235.563.8-7.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.234.868.0-1.754%-
vs Weaker (9)40.729.970.6+10.889%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Citadel wins
2
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
27/02/20Citadel v Mercer57-73
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/21ANC Greensboro73-87
16/01/21AVMI103-110
13/01/21HFurman88-94
09/01/21HChattanooga Mocs92-87
22/12/20HPresbyterian94-82
19/12/20ALongwood91-89
10/12/20HCarver Bible102-51
08/12/20HColumbia International96-57
05/12/20HToccoa Falls100-58
04/12/20HN. Carolina A&T78-70
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HWestern Carolina78-76
14/01/21AChattanooga Mocs80-83
02/01/21AFurman80-83
30/12/20HWofford65-78
22/12/20AKennesaw State81-71
16/12/20AGeorgia State81-88
13/12/20AGeorgia Southern77-75
06/12/20HSouthern W.96-85
05/12/20HColumbia International88-62
01/12/20HGeorgia State86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL73%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%88%33%
Points / game91.592.489.0
Allowed / game77.270.495.3
Point differential+14.3+22.0-6.3
Avg total168.6162.8184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game81.282.080.3
Allowed / game74.269.778.8
Point differential+6.9+12.3+1.5
Avg total155.4151.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1310377%85.869.2+16.7
2 Chattanooga Mocs1511473%75.770.9+4.9
3 Citadel118373%91.577.2+14.3
4 Wofford128467%76.665.2+11.3
5 Mercer128467%81.274.2+6.9
6 NC Greensboro149564%73.167.4+5.7
7 East Tennessee St138562%69.064.8+4.2
8 Western Carolina137654%79.777.4+2.3
9 VMI147750%82.077.1+4.9
10 Samford136746%81.978.8+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel382563
Mercer523183
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