Citadel vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 82-86

51-49 31-37

Position#340

Record5-3

FormWWWLL

Points / game90.4

Allowed / game74.0

Citadel

Western Carolina 🏆

Position#96

Record7-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game70.4

NCAA

Other2019-20

Meetings · Citadel v Western Carolina

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Western Carolina winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Citadel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Marist

#333

79-75

A24/11

NCAA

Brevard College

#469

90-47

+43

H27/11

NCAA

East Tennessee St

84-96

-12

H05/12

NCAA

Carver Bible

#508

108-40

108

+68

H07/12

NCAA

Piedmont

#499

129-83

129

+46

H11/12

NCAA

Longwood

#268

102-99 OT

102

A20/12

NCAA

NC State

#119

63-83

-20

A22/12

NCAA

Samford

#321

68-69

-1

A01/01

NCAA

33-29

46-46

47-26

43-21

44-54

40-42

52-20

56-20

70-39

59-44

40-43

35-32

22-40

41-43

41-35

27-34

164.4Avg total

90.4Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	90.4	74.0	164.4	+16.4	62%
Season at home (4)	102.8	66.5	169.2	+36.2	75%
Season away (4)	78.0	81.5	159.5	-3.5	50%
Last 10 (8)	90.4	74.0	164.4	+16.4	62%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	74.8	168.8	+19.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	73.5	89.5	163.0	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	90.5	87.0	177.5	+3.5	100%
vs Weaker (3)	101.7	64.0	165.7	+37.7	67%

This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Western Carolina USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vermont

74-79

-5

A16/03

CBI

Jacksonville

#249

96-94 OT

A22/11

NCAA

Stetson

#208

70-64

A24/11

NCAA

Bryan

#397

78-54

+24

H27/11

NCAA

UT Chattanooga

#95

87-77

+10

H04/12

NCAA

UNC Asheville

#227

78-77

H07/12

NCAA

Xavier

#192

61-74

-13

A18/12

NCAA

Tennessee Tech

#301

89-76

+13

A21/12

NCAA

Piedmont

#499

108-47

108

+61

H28/12

NCAA

0-0

24-37

0-0

50-42

0-0

27-42

0-0

49-34

0-0

23-24

0-0

47-40

0-0

34-17

0-0

44-37

0-0

29-39

0-0

58-38

0-0

33-40

0-0

45-37

0-0

29-32

0-0

32-42

0-0

46-32

0-0

43-44

0-0

54-23

0-0

54-24

153.7Avg total

82.3Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	83.4	70.4	153.8	+13.0	88%
Season at home (4)	87.8	63.8	151.5	+24.0	100%
Season away (4)	79.0	77.0	156.0	+2.0	75%
Last 10 (9)	82.3	71.3	153.7	+11.0	78%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	70.2	154.8	+14.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	81.3	81.7	163.0	-0.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	86.2	66.0	152.2	+20.2	100%

This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

CitadelWestern Carolina

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Marist

#333

33-29

A24/11

NCAA

Brevard College

#469

47-26

+21

H27/11

NCAA

East Tennessee St

44-54

-10

H05/12

NCAA

Carver Bible

#508

52-20

+32

H07/12

NCAA

Piedmont

#499

70-39

+31

H11/12

NCAA

Longwood

#268

40-43

-3

A20/12

NCAA

NC State

#119

22-40

-18

A22/12

NCAA

Samford

#321

41-35

A01/01

NCAA

79.4Avg total

43.6Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	53.2	34.8	88.0	+18.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (4)	34.0	36.8	70.8	-2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.9	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	35.4	80.4	+9.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	33.0	47.0	80.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	36.0	72.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	54.3	31.3	85.7	+23.0	100%	-

This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vermont

24-37

-13

A16/03

CBI

Jacksonville

#249

27-42

-15

A22/11

NCAA

Stetson

#208

23-24

-1

A24/11

NCAA

Bryan

#397

34-17

+17

H27/11

NCAA

UT Chattanooga

#95

29-39

-10

H04/12

NCAA

UNC Asheville

#227

33-40

-7

H07/12

NCAA

Xavier

#192

29-32

-3

A18/12

NCAA

Tennessee Tech

#301

46-32

+14

A21/12

NCAA

Piedmont

#499

54-23

+31

H28/12

NCAA

65.0Avg total

33.2Scored

31.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	33.2	31.8	65.0	+1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	37.5	29.8	67.2	+7.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	29.8	33.4	63.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.2	31.8	65.0	+1.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	33.2	71.4	+5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	28.3	37.7	66.0	-9.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.0	29.8	68.8	+9.2	50%	-

This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	43.4	35.2	78.6	+8.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	49.5	31.8	81.2	+17.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (4)	37.2	38.8	76.0	-1.5	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	43.4	35.2	78.6	+8.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	34.6	78.2	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	40.5	42.5	83.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.3	32.7	80.0	+14.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	46.9	37.6	84.4	+9.3	78%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	50.2	34.0	84.2	+16.2	100%	-
Last 30 away (5)	44.2	40.4	84.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.9	37.6	84.4	+9.3	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	37.0	83.4	+9.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	46.3	38.0	84.3	+8.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	47.2	36.2	83.5	+11.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Citadel wins

Western Carolina wins

No previous meetings.

Citadellast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/01/20	A	Samford	68-69
22/12/19	A	NC State	63-83
20/12/19	A	Longwood	102-99 OT
11/12/19	H	Piedmont	129-83
07/12/19	H	Carver Bible	108-40
05/12/19	H	East Tennessee St	84-96
27/11/19	H	Brevard College	90-47
24/11/19	A	Marist	79-75

Western Carolinalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/19	H	Piedmont	108-47
21/12/19	A	Tennessee Tech	89-76
18/12/19	A	Xavier	61-74
07/12/19	H	UNC Asheville	78-77
04/12/19	H	UT Chattanooga	87-77
27/11/19	H	Bryan	78-54
24/11/19	A	Stetson	70-64
22/11/19	A	Jacksonville	96-94 OT
16/03/16	A	Vermont	74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Losses (last 8)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	62%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	90.4	102.8	78.0
Allowed / game	74.0	66.5	81.5
Point differential	+16.4	+36.2	-3.5
Avg total	164.4	169.2	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Western Carolina

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Losses (last 9)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	88%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	83.4	87.8	79.0
Allowed / game	70.4	63.8	77.0
Point differential	+13.0	+24.0	+2.0
Avg total	153.8	151.5	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	75%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	East Tennessee St	11	10	1	91%	81.3	61.2	+20.1
2	NC Greensboro	9	8	1	89%	71.9	57.3	+14.6
3	Western Carolina	8	7	1	88%	83.4	70.4	+13.0
4	Furman	10	8	2	80%	78.5	65.4	+13.1
5	Wofford	9	6	3	67%	72.0	64.7	+7.3
6	Citadel	8	5	3	62%	90.4	74.0	+16.4
7	Samford	9	4	5	44%	79.6	82.7	-3.1
8	VMI	8	3	5	38%	74.4	67.8	+6.6
9	Mercer	10	3	7	30%	66.8	67.1	-0.3

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Citadel	51	31	82
Western Carolina	49	37	86

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Citadel vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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