Samford vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 69-68

35-41 34-27

Position#321

Record3-5

FormWWLLL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game84.5

Samford 🏆

Citadel

Position#340

Record5-2

FormLWWWL

Points / game93.6

Allowed / game74.7

NCAA

Other2019-20

Meetings · Samford v Citadel

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Citadel winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Samford

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canisius

#17

78-74

H14/03

CIT

Liberty

58-66

-8

A20/03

CIT

Troy

#304

72-60

+12

H23/11

NCAA

South Dakota St.

#53

77-86

-9

A28/11

NCAA

Louisiana Tech

#40

57-78

-21

A01/12

NCAA

Aub.-Montgomery

#430

97-64

+33

H04/12

NCAA

Houston Christian

#350

113-90

113

+23

A08/12

NCAA

Hawaii

#157

73-94

-21

A16/12

NCAA

Alabama

#183

87-105

105

-18

H19/12

NCAA

Georgetown

#243

71-99

-28

A21/12

NCAA

0-0

33-34

0-0

45-40

0-0

24-30

0-0

34-36

0-0

43-22

0-0

29-38

0-0

38-43

0-0

39-43

0-0

24-33

0-0

33-45

0-0

36-22

0-0

61-42

0-0

55-45

0-0

58-45

0-0

36-47

0-0

37-47

0-0

37-57

0-0

50-48

0-0

31-44

0-0

40-55

159.9Avg total

78.3Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.9	84.5	165.4	-3.6	38%
Season at home (3)	85.3	76.3	161.7	+9.0	67%
Season away (5)	78.2	89.4	167.6	-11.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	81.6	159.9	-3.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	90.4	178.6	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	72.8	87.0	159.8	-14.2	17%
vs Similar (2)	85.5	78.0	163.5	+7.5	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Citadel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Marist

#333

79-75

A24/11

NCAA

Brevard College

#469

90-47

+43

H27/11

NCAA

East Tennessee St

84-96

-12

H05/12

NCAA

Carver Bible

#508

108-40

108

+68

H07/12

NCAA

Piedmont

#499

129-83

129

+46

H11/12

NCAA

Longwood

#268

102-99 OT

102

A20/12

NCAA

NC State

#119

63-83

-20

A22/12

NCAA

33-29

46-46

47-26

43-21

44-54

40-42

52-20

56-20

70-39

59-44

40-43

35-32

22-40

41-43

168.3Avg total

93.6Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	93.6	74.7	168.3	+18.9	71%
Season at home (4)	102.8	66.5	169.2	+36.2	75%
Season away (3)	81.3	85.7	167.0	-4.3	67%
Last 10 (7)	93.6	74.7	168.3	+18.9	71%
Last 5 (5)	97.2	80.2	177.4	+17.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.5	89.5	163.0	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	90.5	87.0	177.5	+3.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	118.5	61.5	180.0	+57.0	100%

This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

SamfordCitadel

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canisius

#17

33-34

-1

H14/03

CIT

Liberty

24-30

-6

A20/03

CIT

Troy

#304

43-22

+21

H23/11

NCAA

South Dakota St.

#53

38-43

-5

A28/11

NCAA

Louisiana Tech

#40

24-33

-9

A01/12

NCAA

Aub.-Montgomery

#430

36-22

+14

H04/12

NCAA

Houston Christian

#350

55-45

+10

A08/12

NCAA

Hawaii

#157

36-47

-11

A16/12

NCAA

Alabama

#183

37-57

-20

H19/12

NCAA

Georgetown

#243

31-44

-13

A21/12

NCAA

73.4Avg total

35.7Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	37.2	33.8	71.0	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	34.7	40.3	75.0	-5.7	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.8	41.0	75.8	-6.2	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Marist

#333

33-29

A24/11

NCAA

Brevard College

#469

47-26

+21

H27/11

NCAA

East Tennessee St

44-54

-10

H05/12

NCAA

Carver Bible

#508

52-20

+32

H07/12

NCAA

Piedmont

#499

70-39

+31

H11/12

NCAA

Longwood

#268

40-43

-3

A20/12

NCAA

NC State

#119

22-40

-18

A22/12

NCAA

79.9Avg total

44.0Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	44.0	35.9	79.9	+8.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	53.2	34.8	88.0	+18.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (3)	31.7	37.3	69.0	-5.7	33%	-
Last 10 (7)	44.0	35.9	79.9	+8.1	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	39.2	84.8	+6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	47.0	80.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	36.0	72.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	61.0	29.5	90.5	+31.5	100%	-

This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	42.6	43.9	86.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	46.2	42.0	88.2	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (6)	40.2	45.2	85.3	-5.0	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	43.9	86.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	47.4	96.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.0	46.0	84.0	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.0	40.5	86.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	45.7	35.4	81.1	+10.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	49.5	31.8	81.2	+17.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (3)	40.7	40.3	81.0	+0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (7)	45.7	35.4	81.1	+10.3	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	36.2	82.4	+10.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	42.5	83.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	57.5	32.0	89.5	+25.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Samford wins

Citadel wins

No previous meetings.

Samfordlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/19	A	Georgetown	71-99
19/12/19	H	Alabama	87-105
16/12/19	A	Hawaii	73-94
08/12/19	A	Houston Christian	113-90
04/12/19	H	Aub.-Montgomery	97-64
01/12/19	A	Louisiana Tech	57-78
28/11/19	A	South Dakota St.	77-86
23/11/19	H	Troy	72-60
20/03/17	A	Liberty	58-66
14/03/17	H	Canisius	78-74

Citadellast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/19	A	NC State	63-83
20/12/19	A	Longwood	102-99 OT
11/12/19	H	Piedmont	129-83
07/12/19	H	Carver Bible	108-40
05/12/19	H	East Tennessee St	84-96
27/11/19	H	Brevard College	90-47
24/11/19	A	Marist	79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	38%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	38%	67%	20%
Points / game	80.9	85.3	78.2
Allowed / game	84.5	76.3	89.4
Point differential	-3.6	+9.0	-11.2
Avg total	165.4	161.7	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	67%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Citadel

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	71%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	71%	75%	67%
Points / game	93.6	102.8	81.3
Allowed / game	74.7	66.5	85.7
Point differential	+18.9	+36.2	-4.3
Avg total	168.3	169.2	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	14%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	East Tennessee St	10	9	1	90%	84.5	62.5	+22.0
2	NC Greensboro	8	7	1	88%	71.9	56.6	+15.2
3	Western Carolina	8	7	1	88%	83.4	70.4	+13.0
4	Furman	10	8	2	80%	78.5	65.4	+13.1
5	Wofford	8	6	2	75%	75.0	66.6	+8.4
6	Citadel	7	5	2	71%	93.6	74.7	+18.9
7	VMI	8	3	5	38%	74.4	67.8	+6.6
8	Samford	8	3	5	38%	80.9	84.5	-3.6
9	Mercer	9	3	6	33%	67.2	66.6	+0.7

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Samford	35	34	69
Citadel	41	27	68

← all games of the day

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Always Active

Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.

Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched off because the site cannot be delivered without them.

Functionality Cookies

Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.

Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you can clear them from your browser at any time.

These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.

Performance Cookies

Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.

Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.

These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.

Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.

Samford vs Citadel Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature