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Citadel vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-80 (OT)
27-36 45-36 6-8
Position#361
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#338
Record5-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Citadel v Western Carolina
10 Jan 2026
CITA79
WEST77
25 Jan 2025
CITA78
WEST80
03 Jan 2024
CITA71
WEST80
14 Jan 2023
CITA65
WEST61
26 Jan 2022
CITA68
WEST66
05 Mar 2021
CITA100
WEST86
06 Feb 2021
CITA74
WEST63
04 Jan 2020
CITA82
WEST86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#222
L
58-86
58
86
-28
H13/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
53-105
53
105
-52
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
56-86
56
86
-30
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
25-47
42-47
29-26
21-49
32-56
27-41
29-45
30-42
38-39
19-30
39-28
22-36
30-34
29-34
28-36
36-41
34-34
26-52
42-27
140.8Avg total
61.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.173.5142.6-4.428%
Season at home (11)75.170.1145.2+5.045%
Season away (7)59.678.9138.4-19.30%
Last 10 (10)61.679.2140.8-17.60%
Last 5 (5)62.072.2134.2-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.979.2143.2-15.36%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.874.1142.9-5.311%
vs Weaker (4)89.062.2151.2+26.8100%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#86
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A14/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
36-84
36
84
-48
A18/12
NCAA
Milligan
#388
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
61-90
61
90
-29
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
69-88
69
88
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A09/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
55-83
55
83
-28
H18/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
28-36
15-38
21-46
29-35
49-34
23-43
38-47
34-44
35-44
37-48
32-29
40-44
45-38
28-29
22-37
26-30
29-53
35-44
23-41
142.4Avg total
62.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.678.3145.9-10.728%
Season at home (9)77.976.1154.0+1.856%
Season away (9)57.380.4137.8-23.10%
Last 10 (10)62.280.2142.4-18.020%
Last 5 (5)63.478.6142.0-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)60.582.1142.5-21.68%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.776.8151.5-2.233%
vs Weaker (11)84.567.4151.9+17.282%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -12.6-12.61st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: -8.3-8.3
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -12.6-12.61st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: -8.3-8.3
CitadelWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#222
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
28.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.036.769.6-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.734.670.3+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)29.939.068.9-9.17%-
Last 10 (10)28.541.169.6-12.60%-
Last 5 (5)26.438.665.0-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)28.939.168.1-10.26%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.935.268.1-2.333%-
vs Weaker (4)48.233.581.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#86
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A14/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
15-38
15
38
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Milligan
#388
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H19/12
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H18/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
30.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.436.470.8-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.135.272.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)31.437.869.1-6.414%-
Last 10 (10)30.039.769.7-9.70%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.072.2-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.340.970.2-11.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.835.572.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (11)39.231.570.7+7.664%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Citadel wins
5
Western Carolina wins
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AWofford68-79
18/01/25HVMI70-75
16/01/25ANC Greensboro57-70
11/01/25AEast Tennessee St52-70
09/01/25HFurman63-67 OT
04/01/25HChattanooga Mocs68-81
02/01/25ASamford56-86
19/12/24AVanderbilt53-105
17/12/24ACentral Arkansas71-73
13/12/24HCampbell58-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AEast Tennessee St58-85
18/01/25HNC Greensboro55-83
15/01/25AVMI50-66
12/01/25HMercer85-82
09/01/25AWofford69-77
04/01/25HSamford69-88
01/01/25HFurman61-90
19/12/24HMilligan78-69
18/12/24ATennessee36-84
14/12/24AUNC Asheville61-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeWLLLL45%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %28%45%0%
Points / game69.175.159.6
Allowed / game73.570.178.9
Point differential-4.4+5.0-19.3
Avg total142.6145.2138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL28%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%56%0%
Points / game67.677.957.3
Allowed / game78.376.180.4
Point differential-10.7+1.8-23.1
Avg total145.9154.0137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2016480%84.874.1+10.7
2 Furman2015575%76.967.8+9.2
3 NC Greensboro2012860%74.864.8+10.1
4 East Tennessee St2012860%74.866.8+8.0
5 Chattanooga Mocs2012860%77.272.6+4.6
6 Wofford2011955%75.369.9+5.4
7 Mercer20101050%79.875.7+4.0
8 VMI2091145%77.072.7+4.3
9 Citadel1851328%69.173.5-4.4
10 Western Carolina1851328%67.678.3-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Citadel2745678
Western Carolina3636880
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