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Pesaro vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-79
19-23 12-18 20-19 17-19
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.8
ItalySerie A2Round 13· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Cividale
21 Oct 2026
PES76
CIVI68
23 Nov 2025
PES68
CIVI79
08 Feb 2025
PES91
CIVI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 80
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 80
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
108avg 80
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 80
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 80
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
70avg 80
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 80
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 80
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 80
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 80
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
15-18
25-25
22-16
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
26-20
20-26
28-20
27-17
28-23
21-28
16-24
25-9
18-21
14-27
18-22
15-16
11-18
23-18
22-10
26-27
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
20-15
26-20
23-19
24-18
19-13
24-16
25-20
25-23
162.8Avg total
86.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.076.4160.4+7.683%
Season at home (6)80.774.5155.2+6.283%
Season away (6)87.378.3165.7+9.083%
Last 10 (10)86.076.8162.8+9.290%
Last 5 (5)86.872.2159.0+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.780.2160.9+0.653%
vs Weaker (10)93.279.0172.2+14.290%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A05/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
75-84
75
84
-9
59avg 72
H08/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
79-58
79
58
+21
81avg 72
A12/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 72
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 72
A25/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 72
H29/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 72
A02/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 72
A09/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 72
H12/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 72
H16/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
13-21
26-22
14-9
21-22
16-28
14-14
24-20
22-14
15-22
25-10
17-12
21-30
19-21
25-17
15-23
24-23
18-14
19-25
18-16
18-20
16-15
22-13
20-22
19-28
20-17
17-15
14-19
21-23
26-28
21-15
21-20
12-19
15-21
20-11
27-17
23-14
21-14
27-23
12-14
154.3Avg total
78.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.675.8153.4+1.858%
Season at home (6)77.074.2151.2+2.867%
Season away (6)78.277.5155.7+0.750%
Last 10 (10)78.376.0154.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)78.473.6152.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)77.878.1155.9-0.343%
vs Weaker (9)82.179.4161.6+2.767%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
PesaroCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Serie A2
80.3Avg total
41.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.082.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.437.681.0+5.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.083.8-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.980.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.075.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.539.880.4+0.747%-
vs Weaker (10)45.740.486.1+5.370%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H29/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H12/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H16/11
Serie A2
80.8Avg total
38.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.979.2-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.377.2-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.581.3-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.380.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.878.0-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.140.078.1-2.038%-
vs Weaker (9)38.942.981.8-4.033%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.5
58.7%
50.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.2
37.0%
34.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.3
73.2%
74.4%12.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.9
53.6%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.9
72.4%
74.4%13.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWWWWLWWWW
Cividale
WWWLWWLWLL
#3
League position
#5
+11.7
Net rating
+3.5
114.5
Offensive rating
109.6
102.8
Defensive rating
106.1
57.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.0%
3-point %
32.5%
70.0%
Assist %
54.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 109.6Defence102.8 · 106.1Shooting57.2% · 51.7%3-point %37.0% · 32.5%Ball care15.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds23.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
1
Cividale wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Pesaro v Cividale91-77
05/01/25Cividale v Pesaro97-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AUrania Milano93-72
12/11/25HAvellino Basket93-72
09/11/25HScafati71-69
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75
29/10/25HPistoia82-73
26/10/25ARimini65-86
19/10/25HMestre90-84
15/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo101-83
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74
08/10/25ARoseto89-80
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HLibertas Livorno83-65
12/11/25HCento74-68
09/11/25ARoseto89-86
02/11/25ABrindisi70-79
29/10/25HScafati76-70
25/10/25AMestre79-78
18/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia80-91
12/10/25AForli79-58
08/10/25HSebastiani Rieti75-84
05/10/25AFortitudo Bologna78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game84.080.787.3
Allowed / game76.474.578.3
Point differential+7.6+6.2+9.0
Avg total160.4155.2165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game77.677.078.2
Allowed / game75.874.277.5
Point differential+1.8+2.8+0.7
Avg total153.4151.2155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1210283%84.076.4+7.6
2 Brindisi139469%78.671.2+7.5
3 Sebastiani Rieti139469%81.876.2+5.5
4 Verona139469%76.872.5+4.4
5 Fortitudo Bologna128467%78.672.2+6.3
6 Libertas Livorno138562%78.272.9+5.3
7 Cividale127558%77.675.8+1.8
8 Rimini137654%81.977.8+4.1
9 Avellino Basket137654%79.577.2+2.2
10 Cento137654%78.277.7+0.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo136746%82.782.8-0.1
12 Mestre136746%79.281.2-2.1
13 Scafati125742%80.280.3-0.2
14 Pistoia125742%80.282.6-2.4
15 Forli125742%73.979.3-5.4
16 JuVi Cremona135838%72.379.6-7.3
17 Basket Torino124833%69.875.7-5.8
18 Ruvo Di Puglia124833%75.484.0-8.6
19 Urania Milano1331023%77.185.1-8.0
20 Roseto1321115%81.086.8-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1912201768
Cividale2318191979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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