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Cividale vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-86
21-27 31-20 22-24 23-15
Position#5
Record12-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.0
Cividale 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#9
Record9-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.6
ItalySerie A2Round 19· PalaGesteco
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cividale v Pesaro
07 Apr 2027
CIVI v PES
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
CIVI82
PES83
05 Jan 2025
CIVI97
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
66-62
66
62
+4
61avg 73
A06/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
67avg 73
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 73
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 73
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 73
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
67avg 73
H06/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
77-84
77
84
-7
61avg 73
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
68avg 73
A14/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
87-89
87
89
-2
79avg 73
H21/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
67avg 73
A29/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
15-11
16-12
20-21
16-22
11-17
25-14
25-10
26-21
14-14
15-20
25-20
23-10
19-20
21-23
23-22
25-13
26-10
16-23
12-16
13-22
19-22
20-17
25-16
21-25
21-10
19-27
16-22
20-19
18-15
14-17
18-19
26-25
21-17
10-23
30-24
18-11
18-24
10-16
28-14
153.6Avg total
79.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.276.0155.2+3.267%
Season at home (9)79.974.3154.2+5.678%
Season away (9)78.677.7156.2+0.956%
Last 10 (10)79.074.6153.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)80.481.8162.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.274.5148.7-0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.977.7158.7+3.267%
vs Weaker (9)80.469.7150.1+10.889%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 70
A06/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
60avg 70
H10/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
78-104
78
104
-26
66avg 70
A13/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 70
H17/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
84-100
84
100
-16
73avg 70
A24/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
90-67
90
67
+23
84avg 70
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
94avg 70
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 70
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 70
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 70
H29/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-16
22-24
9-27
12-21
17-18
24-18
23-25
13-26
15-34
21-15
29-29
17-12
20-17
19-11
22-20
18-24
23-25
23-23
20-28
20-19
25-20
27-20
18-8
22-34
25-22
19-17
20-13
17-19
23-20
14-24
23-11
22-18
25-26
29-21
16-16
26-11
18-26
17-11
21-13
164.0Avg total
83.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.178.6155.7-1.650%
Season at home (10)80.074.2154.2+5.870%
Season away (8)73.484.1157.5-10.825%
Last 10 (10)83.280.8164.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)88.875.8164.6+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.688.0170.6-5.444%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.183.9164.0-3.838%
vs Weaker (5)75.071.4146.4+3.680%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
CividalePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A06/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
51-23
51
23
+28
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H06/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H21/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A29/12
Serie A2
73.1Avg total
38.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.074.8+2.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.334.872.1+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.437.177.5+3.373%-
Last 10 (10)38.534.673.1+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.077.0+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.839.375.2-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.636.474.0+1.273%-
vs Weaker (9)43.033.076.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A06/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H10/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A13/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A24/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/12
Serie A2
82.3Avg total
39.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.041.182.1-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.980.9-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.482.3-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.087.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.442.483.9-1.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.342.681.9-3.238%-
vs Weaker (5)39.836.276.0+3.660%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.9
47.9%
50.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.7
32.6%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
74.4%16.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.7
53.8%
50.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.3
34.7%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.1
76.7%
74.4%16.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
WLLLLWWWWW
Pesaro
WWWWWLWLLL
#5
League position
#9
+5.8
Net rating
+3.5
107.0
Offensive rating
111.3
101.3
Defensive rating
107.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.6%
3-point %
34.7%
55.3%
Assist %
50.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 111.3Defence101.3 · 107.8Shooting48.3% · 53.0%3-point %32.6% · 34.7%Ball care16.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Cividale   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cividale wins
0
Pesaro wins
No previous meetings.
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ABasket Torino74-65
21/12/24HOrzinuovi87-89
14/12/24AUrania Milano79-81 OT
11/12/24ANardo77-84
06/12/24HAvellino Basket85-90 OT
29/11/24ACento79-62
16/11/24HFortitudo Bologna86-75
13/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza80-75
09/11/24HSebastiani Rieti77-63
06/11/24ALibertas Livorno66-62
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HFortitudo Bologna82-61
22/12/24HJuVi Cremona92-81
14/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza77-74
08/12/24HBasket Torino103-96 OT
01/12/24HCantu90-67
24/11/24ABrindisi84-100
17/11/24HCento78-60
13/11/24ALibertas Livorno78-104
10/11/24HRimini76-82
06/11/24AUdine72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW67%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game79.279.978.6
Allowed / game76.074.377.7
Point differential+3.2+5.6+0.9
Avg total155.2154.2156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %17%11%22%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%70%25%
Points / game77.180.073.4
Allowed / game78.674.284.1
Point differential-1.6+5.8-10.8
Avg total155.7154.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine1814478%83.273.6+9.7
2 Rimini1814478%83.277.0+6.2
3 Cantu1813572%78.973.2+5.7
4 Cividale1812667%79.276.0+3.2
5 Verona1811761%76.973.1+3.8
6 Urania Milano1811761%77.874.6+3.2
7 Forli1811761%78.175.3+2.8
8 Sebastiani Rieti1811761%75.473.7+1.7
9 Avellino Basket1810856%77.577.8-0.3
10 Fortitudo Bologna189950%74.874.5+0.3
11 Orzinuovi189950%78.879.8-0.9
12 Pesaro189950%77.178.6-1.6
13 Libertas Livorno1871139%74.375.8-1.5
14 Brindisi1871139%75.377.0-1.7
15 Basket Torino1871139%75.678.2-2.6
16 JuVi Cremona1871139%79.982.4-2.6
17 Vigevano1851328%77.581.6-4.1
18 Cento1851328%69.877.6-7.8
19 Nardo1851328%73.481.4-8.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza1831517%74.980.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale2131222397
Pesaro2720241586
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