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Cividale vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-83
26-17 16-24 23-21 17-21
Position#5
Record17-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.9
Cividale
Italy
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record19-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.8
ItalySerie A2Round 27· PalaGesteco
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cividale v Pesaro
07 Apr 2027
CIVI v PES
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
CIVI82
PES83
05 Jan 2025
CIVI97
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 71
A17/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 71
H20/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
85avg 71
A28/12
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 71
H03/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
54-82
54
82
-28
46avg 71
A09/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
70avg 71
H21/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
74avg 71
A25/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
72-62
72
62
+10
57avg 71
H31/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 71
A07/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-20
17-18
13-19
12-21
21-25
19-18
23-18
15-19
25-19
13-21
21-15
20-16
22-14
18-21
17-12
16-22
11-17
15-24
12-19
31-17
15-21
23-19
16-25
23-21
20-13
20-18
18-21
13-12
16-18
17-17
20-19
22-24
8-16
21-8
21-14
23-21
18-26
16-21
23-22
153.2Avg total
76.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.675.9153.5+1.765%
Season at home (12)77.572.8150.2+4.875%
Season away (14)77.678.6156.2-0.957%
Last 10 (10)76.376.9153.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)79.676.2155.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.977.1153.0-1.247%
vs Weaker (13)80.076.2156.2+3.877%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 77
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
82avg 77
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
75avg 77
A28/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
67avg 77
H04/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 77
A11/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
73-93
73
93
-20
64avg 77
A21/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
80-79
80
79
+1
80avg 77
H25/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
87avg 77
H30/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-74
80
74
+6
81avg 77
A07/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
18-21
23-18
24-12
18-13
25-19
25-19
23-22
20-19
16-20
20-13
23-36
31-22
14-23
14-17
14-6
27-15
26-25
22-27
20-23
25-14
19-8
15-26
20-20
11-22
27-25
20-24
15-22
22-11
20-26
28-20
10-22
24-21
17-16
25-18
24-27
15-11
27-16
14-21
24-26
160.1Avg total
82.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.077.8159.8+4.273%
Season at home (14)80.475.1155.6+5.379%
Season away (12)83.880.9164.8+2.967%
Last 10 (10)82.078.1160.1+3.980%
Last 5 (5)80.479.2159.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.679.4159.0+0.253%
vs Weaker (12)86.276.7162.8+9.5100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
CividalePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H20/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A28/12
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H21/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A25/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H31/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/02
Serie A2
74.7Avg total
36.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.577.9-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.938.575.4-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)39.740.480.1-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.974.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.875.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.439.576.9-2.129%-
vs Weaker (13)39.639.579.1+0.254%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A11/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H18/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A07/02
Serie A2
77.9Avg total
41.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.379.3+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.136.677.6+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)41.040.381.3+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.277.9+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.075.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.938.677.5+0.341%-
vs Weaker (12)43.537.981.4+5.667%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.8
48.1%
50.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.7
28.6%
34.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.917.6
76.9%
74.4%17.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.3
52.0%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.4
37.2%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.618.3
74.4%
74.4%18.3
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
LWWWWLWWLL
Pesaro
WWWLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#3
-1.3
Net rating
+3.4
96.1
Offensive rating
104.0
97.4
Defensive rating
100.6
46.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.43
28.6%
3-point %
37.2%
55.7%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 104.0Defence97.4 · 100.6Shooting46.2% · 53.5%3-point %28.6% · 37.2%Ball care14.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds28.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Cividale   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cividale wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Pesaro v Cividale68-79
08/02/25Pesaro v Cividale91-77
05/01/25Cividale v Pesaro97-86
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AUrania Milano80-90
31/01/26HBasket Torino72-62
25/01/26AVerona80-74 OT
21/01/26HBrindisi81-73
17/01/26ACento85-82
09/01/26ASebastiani Rieti54-82
03/01/26HMestre77-63
28/12/25AJuVi Cremona92-87 OT
20/12/25HAvellino Basket75-82
17/12/25ARimini67-74
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ACento80-74
30/01/26HBrindisi90-82
25/01/26HRoseto80-79
21/01/26AAvellino Basket73-93
18/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo79-68
11/01/26ARuvo Di Puglia95-90
04/01/26HUrania Milano73-68
28/12/25AVerona79-88
21/12/25HSebastiani Rieti91-73
14/12/25HCento80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %65%75%57%
Points / game77.677.577.6
Allowed / game75.972.878.6
Point differential+1.7+4.8-0.9
Avg total153.5150.2156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (1)83% (6)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %73%79%67%
Points / game82.080.483.8
Allowed / game77.875.180.9
Point differential+4.2+5.3+2.9
Avg total159.8155.6164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2619773%82.077.8+4.2
2 Libertas Livorno2617965%80.072.9+7.1
3 Cividale2617965%77.675.9+1.7
4 Brindisi2516964%77.272.3+4.9
5 Scafati26161062%82.977.8+5.1
6 Fortitudo Bologna26161062%76.572.5+4.0
7 Rimini26161062%81.978.3+3.6
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%79.176.6+2.5
9 Verona26151158%76.974.0+2.9
10 Avellino Basket26151158%81.078.7+2.3
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona26131350%74.977.3-2.4
13 Basket Torino26121446%73.372.7+0.6
14 Mestre26111542%77.280.7-3.5
15 Urania Milano26101638%78.082.0-4.0
16 Cento2691735%78.480.8-2.4
17 Forli2691735%77.081.0-4.1
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2681831%76.086.1-10.1
19 Pistoia2671927%77.282.5-5.3
20 Roseto2642215%78.084.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale2616231782
Pesaro1724212183
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