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Cividale vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 07 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
ItalySerie A2Round 34· PalaGesteco
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cividale v Pesaro
07 Apr 2027
CIVI v PES
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
CIVI82
PES83
05 Jan 2025
CIVI97
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 63
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
6avg 63
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-83
86
83
+3
16avg 63
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
51avg 63
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
64avg 63
H17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
45avg 63
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
78-60
78
60
+18
74avg 63
H24/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
74-64
74
64
+10
57avg 63
A30/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-24
12-24
17-18
15-27
8-21
23-16
22-21
23-19
19-23
18-22
26-19
25-23
10-15
17-19
7-19
13-31
16-20
14-14
19-12
21-22
18-20
15-13
14-21
15-17
23-12
17-15
23-16
16-18
21-13
23-21
14-12
14-15
22-25
13-17
21-10
15-26
23-18
23-22
20-13
147.6Avg total
72.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.874.1145.9-2.356%
Season at home (4)69.572.2141.8-2.850%
Season away (5)73.675.6149.2-2.060%
Last 10 (10)72.275.4147.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)74.269.2143.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.976.4152.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (10)81.867.7149.5+14.180%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 74
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 74
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 74
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 74
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 74
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 74
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 74
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 74
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.9160.9+1.156%
Season at home (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.586.2168.7-3.745%
vs Weaker (9)85.676.4162.0+9.1100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
CividalePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H24/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/11
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
36.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.676.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.936.173.0+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.581.4-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.077.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.049.575.5-23.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.539.978.4-1.439%-
vs Weaker (10)40.434.274.6+6.270%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.883.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.643.084.7-1.440%-
vs Weaker (9)44.238.282.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 57.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.314.3
52.4%
51.2%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.1
28.0%
34.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
71.0%11.0
They take 49.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
71.0%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
WWWWLLLWLL
Pesaro
LLLLWWWWWL
#12
League position
#10
-15.8
Net rating
-1.4
85.5
Offensive rating
105.1
101.3
Defensive rating
106.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
11.6%
Turnover %
10.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.0%
3-point %
41.1%
69.1%
Assist %
53.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 105.1Defence101.3 · 106.5Shooting47.8% · 54.8%3-point %28.0% · 41.1%Ball care11.6% · 10.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Cividale   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cividale wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Pesaro v Cividale76-68
11/02/26Cividale v Pesaro82-83
23/11/25Pesaro v Cividale68-79
08/02/25Pesaro v Cividale91-77
05/01/25Cividale v Pesaro97-86
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AMestre81-79
07/11/26HSassari70-67
30/10/26ACento74-64
24/10/26HUrania Milano78-60
21/10/26APesaro68-76
17/10/26HAvellino Basket62-77
11/10/26ABasket Torino59-76
04/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-83
26/09/26HForli68-85
28/05/26ARimini76-87
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game71.869.573.6
Allowed / game74.172.275.6
Point differential-2.3-2.8-2.0
Avg total145.9141.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.078.084.8
Allowed / game79.977.483.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.8
Avg total160.9155.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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