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Clemson vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-70
34-25 40-45
Position#56
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game65.7
Clemson 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#129
Record12-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Clemson v SMU Mustangs
07 Jan 2026
CLEM74
SMU 70
13 Mar 2025
CLEM57
SMU 54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clemson winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ClemsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H29/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A09/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H13/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-32
45-35
41-40
39-40
52-22
40-34
30-45
54-45
43-22
21-45
33-39
37-24
34-27
34-34
38-18
30-47
29-28
35-33
34-35
39-33
144.2Avg total
75.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.265.7143.9+12.580%
Season at home (9)79.758.4138.1+21.2100%
Season away (6)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)75.069.2144.2+5.880%
Last 5 (5)68.663.6132.2+5.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.971.4144.3+1.560%
vs Weaker (19)78.261.5139.7+16.789%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
106-60
106
60
+46
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H21/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
61-34
50-30
50-39
46-38
43-34
39-43
35-31
38-48
31-40
41-27
36-50
44-47
33-42
51-47
48-35
51-19
59-44
39-39
58-44
169.4Avg total
92.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.576.9168.4+14.686%
Season at home (11)95.374.5169.7+20.8100%
Season away (3)77.786.0163.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)92.776.7169.4+16.080%
Last 5 (5)95.279.4174.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.088.0157.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.675.7160.2+8.967%
vs Weaker (16)82.670.4153.1+12.281%
This opponent (Clemson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +6.1+6.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +6.1+6.1
ClemsonSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ClemsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H29/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A09/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H13/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
35.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.729.666.3+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.527.765.2+9.876%-
Last 30 away (13)35.732.267.8+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.866.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.463.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.531.963.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (19)39.527.867.4+11.789%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H21/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/01
NCAA
80.8Avg total
44.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.374.4+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.233.574.7+7.780%-
Last 30 away (10)38.035.973.9+2.130%-
Last 10 (10)44.436.480.8+8.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.881.0+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.235.877.0+5.567%-
vs Weaker (16)39.932.572.4+7.462%-
This opponent (Clemson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Clemson wins
1
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Clemson v SMU Mustangs57-54
22/02/25SMU Mustangs v Clemson69-79
01/04/14SMU Mustangs v Clemson65-59
Clemsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26APittsburgh73-68
31/12/25ASyracuse64-61
21/12/25HCincinnati68-65
17/12/25HSouth Carolina68-61
13/12/25HMercer70-63
09/12/25ABrigham Young64-67
04/12/25AAlabama84-90
29/11/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs92-56
23/11/25AGeorgia97-94 OT
21/11/25HWest Virginia70-67
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HNorth Carolina97-83
28/12/25HCS Fullerton110-63
21/12/25HCentral Arkansas99-82
14/12/25ALSU77-89
07/12/25HTexas A&M93-80 OT
04/12/25AVanderbilt69-88
29/11/25AMississippi St.87-81 OT
25/11/25HRadford89-72
22/11/25HArkansas State100-69
19/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Clemson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game78.279.776.0
Allowed / game65.758.476.5
Point differential+12.5+21.2-0.5
Avg total143.9138.1152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%17%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %86%100%33%
Points / game91.595.377.7
Allowed / game76.974.586.0
Point differential+14.6+20.8-8.3
Avg total168.4169.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%91%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%9%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1514193%87.166.0+21.1
2 Miami (FL)1513287%88.068.4+19.6
3 North Carolina1513287%81.365.9+15.4
4 California1513287%81.568.5+12.9
5 SMU Mustangs1412286%91.576.9+14.6
6 Stanford1613381%78.370.7+7.6
7 Virginia1512380%84.170.7+13.4
8 Clemson1512380%78.265.7+12.5
9 Virginia Tech1612475%82.673.7+8.9
10 Louisville1511473%89.270.1+19.1
11 NC State1611569%84.971.4+13.5
12 Syracuse1510567%74.265.3+8.9
13 Notre Dame1510567%74.366.7+7.6
14 Wake Forest1610662%81.674.7+6.9
15 Georgia Tech1610662%75.770.9+4.8
16 Florida State157847%83.979.2+4.7
17 Pittsburgh157847%73.368.7+4.6
18 Boston College157847%69.567.4+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Clemson344074
SMU Mustangs254570
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