The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Chicago Bulls on 16 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Cavaliers the clear favourite as Pythia assigns them a 74% chance of victory against the Bulls' 26% chance. Cleveland finished the first fourteen games of the season 7-7, scoring 117.5 points per game and allowing 115.9, while Chicago sits 3-9 with 114.6 points scored and 125.9 points allowed. At home, Cleveland is 5-2, averaging 118.3 points and conceding 113.6, whereas Chicago's road record is 2-5, with 109.0 points scored and 126.6 allowed. In the last five outings each side has two wins and three losses; Cleveland's recent highlights include a 127-117 victory over Dallas at home on 14 November, a 121-133 loss to Miami away, and a 115-107 win over New York away. Chicago's recent results feature a 117-106 win over Minnesota away, a 125-117 home win over Atlanta, and a 119-124 home loss to San Antonio. Historically the Cavaliers have won seven of ten meetings, most recently defeating the Bulls 115-110 on 19 March 2026. Pythia projects a 126-117 score for the game, with a total of 243.2 points and a 5% chance of overtime, and the model sees the Cavaliers covering the spread with 74% probability. The game will be decided by the Cavaliers' ability to maintain their 5-2 home advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 117.5 | 115.9 | 233.4 | +1.6 | 50% |
| Season at home (7) | 118.3 | 113.6 | 231.9 | +4.7 | 71% |
| Season away (7) | 116.7 | 118.1 | 234.9 | -1.4 | 29% |
| Last 10 (10) | 116.6 | 115.1 | 231.7 | +1.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 114.4 | 118.0 | 232.4 | -3.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 107.1 | 112.0 | 219.1 | -4.9 | 43% |
| vs Similar (12) | 112.8 | 113.9 | 226.8 | -1.1 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 123.5 | 116.8 | 240.2 | +6.8 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 114.6 | 125.9 | 240.5 | -11.3 | 25% |
| Season at home (5) | 122.4 | 125.0 | 247.4 | -2.6 | 20% |
| Season away (7) | 109.0 | 126.6 | 235.6 | -17.6 | 29% |
| Last 10 (10) | 115.1 | 125.1 | 240.2 | -10.0 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 117.4 | 121.8 | 239.2 | -4.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 114.6 | 128.2 | 242.8 | -13.7 | 17% |
| vs Similar (5) | 128.4 | 130.2 | 258.6 | -1.8 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 124.0 | 103.0 | 227.0 | +21.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 54.6 | 55.5 | 110.1 | -0.9 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 56.9 | 58.6 | 115.6 | -1.7 | 29% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 52.6 | 52.8 | 105.4 | -0.2 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 56.3 | 55.7 | 112.0 | +0.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 58.6 | 58.4 | 117.0 | +0.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 52.4 | 55.8 | 108.2 | -3.4 | 29% | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 54.3 | 53.9 | 108.2 | +0.4 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 63.0 | 59.5 | 122.5 | +3.5 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 56.6 | 62.9 | 119.5 | -6.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 58.8 | 61.5 | 120.3 | -2.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 55.1 | 63.8 | 118.9 | -8.7 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 58.7 | 62.7 | 121.4 | -4.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 60.2 | 61.2 | 121.4 | -1.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 55.6 | 63.5 | 119.0 | -7.9 | 35% | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 60.4 | 67.6 | 128.0 | -7.2 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 59.0 | 44.0 | 103.0 | +15.0 | 100% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.9 | 24.9 | 54.0% | 49.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 38.0 | 12.6 | 35.1% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 29.3 | 21.4 | 77.3% | 21.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 50.8 | 29.4 | 54.0% | 58.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 39.4 | 12.7 | 35.1% | 38.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.7 | 21.1 | 77.3% | 21.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 | Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers | 110-115 |
| 20/12/25 | Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls | 125-136 |
| 18/12/25 | Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers | 127-111 |
| 09/11/25 | Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls | 128-122 |
| 08/04/25 | Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls | 135-113 |
| 05/03/25 | Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers | 117-139 |
| 16/11/24 | Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls | 144-126 |
| 12/11/24 | Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers | 113-119 |
| 29/02/24 | Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers | 132-123 OT |
| 15/02/24 | Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls | 108-105 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | H | Dallas Mavericks | 127-117 |
| 14/11/26 | A | Miami Heat | 121-133 |
| 12/11/26 | A | New York Knicks | 115-107 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Charlotte Hornets | 112-124 |
| 08/11/26 | H | New York Knicks | 97-109 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Philadelphia 76ers | 119-95 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Oklahoma City Thunder | 116-124 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Oklahoma City Thunder | 112-117 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Milwaukee Bucks | 136-111 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Atlanta Hawks | 111-114 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | A | Minnesota Timberwolves | 117-106 |
| 14/11/26 | H | Atlanta Hawks | 125-117 OT |
| 12/11/26 | H | San Antonio Spurs | 119-124 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Philadelphia 76ers | 121-127 |
| 05/11/26 | A | New York Knicks | 105-135 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Philadelphia 76ers | 107-126 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Boston Celtics | 111-125 |
| 29/10/26 | H | New York Knicks | 127-133 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Boston Celtics | 99-134 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Washington Wizards | 120-124 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 50% |
| Home | WLWLW | 71% |
| Away | WLLWL | 29% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 7 | 7 |
| Win % | 50% | 71% | 29% |
| Points / game | 117.5 | 118.3 | 116.7 |
| Allowed / game | 115.9 | 113.6 | 118.1 |
| Point differential | +1.6 | +4.7 | -1.4 |
| Avg total | 233.4 | 231.9 | 234.9 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 25% |
| Home | LLLLW | 20% |
| Away | LLLLW | 29% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| Win % | 25% | 20% | 29% |
| Points / game | 114.6 | 122.4 | 109.0 |
| Allowed / game | 125.9 | 125.0 | 126.6 |
| Point differential | -11.3 | -2.6 | -17.6 |
| Avg total | 240.5 | 247.4 | 235.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 119.5 | 106.2 | +13.2 | |
| 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 122.2 | 114.2 | +7.9 | |
| 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 114.2 | 103.1 | +11.2 | |
| 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 116.2 | 107.4 | +8.8 | |
| 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 111.2 | 109.4 | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.6 | 111.8 | +7.8 | |
| 7 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69% | 118.3 | 106.8 | +11.5 | |
| 8 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69% | 120.6 | 111.7 | +8.9 | |
| 9 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 115.7 | 110.2 | +5.4 | |
| 10 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 114.6 | 112.8 | +1.8 | |
| 11 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 116.7 | 112.4 | +4.3 | |
| 12 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 111.2 | 107.4 | +3.8 | |
| 13 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.2 | 116.8 | +1.3 | |
| 14 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 113.5 | 113.3 | +0.2 | |
| 15 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.7 | 119.8 | -1.2 | |
| 16 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 109.8 | 103.7 | +6.1 | |
| 17 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 117.5 | 115.9 | +1.6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 111.7 | 116.1 | -4.4 | |
| 19 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 114.2 | 112.8 | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 108.3 | 112.8 | -4.4 | |
| 21 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 111.2 | 113.2 | -2.1 | |
| 22 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.6 | 109.6 | -11.0 | |
| 23 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 110.0 | 115.8 | -5.8 | |
| 24 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 115.9 | 124.9 | -9.1 | |
| 25 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 112.3 | 117.5 | -5.3 | |
| 26 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25% | 110.2 | 116.4 | -6.2 | |
| 27 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25% | 114.6 | 125.9 | -11.3 | |
| 28 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 108.2 | 120.9 | -12.8 | |
| 29 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 107.5 | 118.6 | -11.2 | |
| 30 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 106.2 | 120.2 | -14.1 |
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