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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 126-117
Projected total 243.2
Scheduled
Position#17
Record7-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game115.9
Vs
74%
26%
■ CLE 74%■ CHI 26%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#27
Record3-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game125.9
USANBA· Rocket Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls
20 Mar 2027
CLE v CHI
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
CLE v CHI
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
CLE125
CHI136
08 Nov 2025
CLE128
CHI122
08 Apr 2025
CLE135
CHI113
15 Nov 2024
CLE144
CHI126
14 Feb 2024
CLE108
CHI105
15 Jan 2024
CLE109
CHI91
11 Feb 2023
CLE97
CHI89
02 Jan 2023
CLE145
CHI134
26 Mar 2022
CLE94
CHI98
08 Dec 2021
CLE115
CHI92
21 Apr 2021
CLE121
CHI105
25 Jan 2020
CLE106
CHI118
30 Oct 2019
CLE117
CHI111
21 Jan 2019
CLE88
CHI104
23 Dec 2018
CLE92
CHI112
21 Dec 2017
CLE115
CHI112
24 Oct 2017
CLE119
CHI112
25 Feb 2017
CLE99
CHI117
04 Jan 2017
CLE94
CHI106
18 Feb 2016
CLE106
CHI95
23 Jan 2016
CLE83
CHI96
12 May 2015
CLE106
CHI101
06 May 2015
CLE106
CHI91
04 May 2015
CLE92
CHI99
05 Apr 2015
CLE99
CHI94
19 Jan 2015
CLE108
CHI94
22 Jan 2014
CLE87
CHI98
30 Nov 2013
CLE97
CHI93
05 Dec 2012
CLE85
CHI95
02 Nov 2012
CLE86
CHI115
02 Mar 2012
CLE91
CHI112
20 Jan 2012
CLE75
CHI114
08 Apr 2011
CLE82
CHI93
08 Dec 2010
CLE83
CHI88
27 Apr 2010
CLE96
CHI94
19 Apr 2010
CLE112
CHI102
17 Apr 2010
CLE96
CHI83
04 Dec 2009
CLE101
CHI87
05 Nov 2009
CLE85
CHI86
02 Jan 2009
CLE117
CHI92
05 Nov 2008
CLE107
CHI93
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Chicago Bulls on 16 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Cavaliers the clear favourite as Pythia assigns them a 74% chance of victory against the Bulls' 26% chance. Cleveland finished the first fourteen games of the season 7-7, scoring 117.5 points per game and allowing 115.9, while Chicago sits 3-9 with 114.6 points scored and 125.9 points allowed. At home, Cleveland is 5-2, averaging 118.3 points and conceding 113.6, whereas Chicago's road record is 2-5, with 109.0 points scored and 126.6 allowed. In the last five outings each side has two wins and three losses; Cleveland's recent highlights include a 127-117 victory over Dallas at home on 14 November, a 121-133 loss to Miami away, and a 115-107 win over New York away. Chicago's recent results feature a 117-106 win over Minnesota away, a 125-117 home win over Atlanta, and a 119-124 home loss to San Antonio. Historically the Cavaliers have won seven of ten meetings, most recently defeating the Bulls 115-110 on 19 March 2026. Pythia projects a 126-117 score for the game, with a total of 243.2 points and a 5% chance of overtime, and the model sees the Cavaliers covering the spread with 74% probability. The game will be decided by the Cavaliers' ability to maintain their 5-2 home advantage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers win
73.7%fair 1.36
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago Bulls win
26.3%fair 3.80
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 06:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
112-117
112
117
-5
81avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
116-124
116
124
-8
86avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
119-95
119
95
+24
91avg 108
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
112-124
112
124
-12
83avg 108
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
115-107
115
107
+8
95avg 108
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
121-133
121
133
-12
97avg 108
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
127-117
127
117
+10
93avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
30-26
18-33
36-31
28-27
20-37
24-23
30-28
42-36
33-22
29-32
29-20
28-21
27-26
26-37
17-25
27-21
28-29
25-40
27-38
32-17
33-23
26-30
23-23
33-31
27-29
30-25
34-38
30-41
33-33
38-20
34-38
22-26
231.7Avg total
116.6Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)117.5115.9233.4+1.650%
Season at home (7)118.3113.6231.9+4.771%
Season away (7)116.7118.1234.9-1.429%
Last 10 (10)116.6115.1231.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)114.4118.0232.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)107.1112.0219.1-4.943%
vs Similar (12)112.8113.9226.8-1.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)123.5116.8240.2+6.875%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
120-124
120
124
-4
110avg 107
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
99-134
99
134
-35
78avg 107
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
127-133
127
133
-6
119avg 107
H29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
111-125
111
125
-14
91avg 107
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
107-126
107
126
-19
92avg 107
A03/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
105-135
105
135
-30
81avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
121-127
121
127
-6
118avg 107
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
119-124
119
124
-5
126avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
125-117 OT
125
117
+8
126avg 107
H14/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
117-106
117
106
+11
114avg 107
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
35-29
20-40
38-27
21-33
33-33
21-39
24-29
33-34
29-22
34-34
31-43
25-44
24-34
25-21
37-26
23-30
36-34
20-26
28-36
21-43
31-41
27-29
26-22
33-34
28-34
32-31
28-28
41-29
29-27
19-34
30-34
33-24
27-29
24-30
26-27
29-17
29-28
30-35
29-26
240.2Avg total
115.1Scored
125.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.6125.9240.5-11.325%
Season at home (5)122.4125.0247.4-2.620%
Season away (7)109.0126.6235.6-17.629%
Last 10 (10)115.1125.1240.2-10.020%
Last 5 (5)117.4121.8239.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)114.6128.2242.8-13.717%
vs Similar (5)128.4130.2258.6-1.840%
vs Weaker (2)124.0103.0227.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1951%2001%2052%2104%2156%2208%2259%23010%23511%24011%2459%2508%2556%2604%2653%2702%2751%2801%2851%2900%2950%300
1%2002%2106%2209%23011%2409%2506%2603%2701%2801%2900%300
Pythia expects about 243 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 240-244 (11%).
Over/Under 222
Over 222
87.6%
Under 222
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 227
Over 227
80.9%
Under 227
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 232
Over 232
72.4%
Under 232
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cleveland Cavaliers total 110.5
Over 110.5
90.5%
Under 110.5
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland Cavaliers total 114.5
Over 114.5
83.4%
Under 114.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland Cavaliers total 118.5
Over 118.5
73.6%
Under 118.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago Bulls total 108.5
Over 108.5
76.8%
Under 108.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago Bulls total 112.5
Over 112.5
65.1%
Under 112.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago Bulls total 116.5
Over 116.5
51.9%
Under 116.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-300%-271%-241%-212%-182%-153%-125%-96%-66%-35%+08%+39%+69%+98%+127%+156%+185%+214%+243%+272%+302%+331%+361%+391%+42
0%-301%-242%-183%-126%-65%+09%+68%+126%+184%+242%+301%+361%+42
Margin from Cleveland Cavaliers's side (positive = Cleveland Cavaliers win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.4; Cleveland Cavaliers win by 1+ in 66% of simulations.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers -3
CLE -3
68.7%
CHI +3
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
CHI
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers 0
CLE 0
73.7%
CHI 0
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
CHI
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers +3
CLE +3
78.9%
CHI -3
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
CHI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
Cleveland CavaliersChicago Bulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H15/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
56.3Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.655.5110.1-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.958.6115.6-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)52.652.8105.4-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.7112.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.4117.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)52.455.8108.2-3.429%-
vs Similar (12)54.353.9108.2+0.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)63.059.5122.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A03/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
52-84
52
84
-32
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H12/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H14/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A15/11
NBA
121.4Avg total
58.7Scored
62.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.662.9119.5-6.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.861.5120.3-2.750%-
Last 30 away (18)55.163.8118.9-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.7121.4-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)60.261.2121.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.663.5119.0-7.935%-
vs Similar (5)60.467.6128.0-7.240%-
vs Weaker (2)59.044.0103.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.6
33.2%
35.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.321.4
73.0%
77.3%21.4
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.829.4
57.9%
54.0%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.412.7
32.2%
35.1%38.1
🏀 Free throws26.721.1
79.0%
77.3%21.1
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWLLWLLWL
Chicago Bulls
WWLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#27
-6.4
Net rating
-8.3
104.8
Offensive rating
103.7
111.2
Defensive rating
112.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
32.2%
61.3%
Assist %
66.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 103.7Defence111.2 · 112.0Shooting52.2% · 53.7%3-point %33.2% · 32.2%Ball care16.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds19.9% · 22.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Chicago Bulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDallas Mavericks127-117
14/11/26AMiami Heat121-133
12/11/26ANew York Knicks115-107
10/11/26ACharlotte Hornets112-124
08/11/26HNew York Knicks97-109
07/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-95
05/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-124
03/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves117-106
14/11/26HAtlanta Hawks125-117 OT
12/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-124
08/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers121-127
05/11/26ANew York Knicks105-135
03/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers107-126
30/10/26ABoston Celtics111-125
29/10/26HNew York Knicks127-133
26/10/26ABoston Celtics99-134
25/10/26HWashington Wizards120-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game117.5118.3116.7
Allowed / game115.9113.6118.1
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.4
Avg total233.4231.9234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Chicago Bulls
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%20%29%
Points / game114.6122.4109.0
Allowed / game125.9125.0126.6
Point differential-11.3-2.6-17.6
Avg total240.5247.4235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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