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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 119-112
Projected total 230.5
Scheduled
Position#16
Record6-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game114.3
Vs
71%
29%
■ CLE 71%■ IND 29%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#22
Record4-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game114.0
USANBA· Rocket Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Indiana Pacers
01 Dec 2026
CLE v IND
upcoming
20 Nov 2026
CLE v IND
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
CLE117
IND108
21 Nov 2025
CLE120
IND109
13 May 2025
CLE105
IND114
06 May 2025
CLE119
IND120
04 May 2025
CLE112
IND121
13 Apr 2025
CLE118
IND126
12 Jan 2025
CLE93
IND108
12 Apr 2024
CLE129
IND120
28 Oct 2023
CLE113
IND125
02 Apr 2023
CLE115
IND105
16 Dec 2022
CLE118
IND112
06 Feb 2022
CLE98
IND85
02 Jan 2022
CLE108
IND104
10 May 2021
CLE102
IND111
03 Mar 2021
CLE111
IND114
14 Dec 2020
CLE116
IND106
12 Dec 2020
CLE107
IND104
29 Feb 2020
CLE104
IND113
26 Oct 2019
CLE110
IND99
08 Jan 2019
CLE115
IND123
27 Oct 2018
CLE107
IND119
29 Apr 2018
CLE105
IND101
25 Apr 2018
CLE98
IND95
18 Apr 2018
CLE100
IND97
15 Apr 2018
CLE80
IND98
26 Jan 2018
CLE115
IND108
01 Nov 2017
CLE107
IND124
17 Apr 2017
CLE117
IND111
15 Apr 2017
CLE109
IND108
02 Apr 2017
CLE135
IND130
15 Feb 2017
CLE113
IND104
29 Feb 2016
CLE100
IND96
08 Nov 2015
CLE101
IND97
20 Mar 2015
CLE95
IND92
29 Nov 2014
CLE109
IND97
30 Mar 2014
CLE90
IND76
05 Jan 2014
CLE78
IND82
18 Mar 2013
CLE90
IND111
21 Dec 2012
CLE89
IND99
11 Apr 2012
CLE98
IND104
15 Feb 2012
CLE98
IND87
02 Feb 2011
CLE112
IND117
13 Nov 2010
CLE85
IND99
09 Apr 2010
CLE113
IND116
17 Mar 2010
CLE99
IND94
05 Dec 2008
CLE97
IND73
07 Nov 2008
CLE111
IND107
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers host Indiana Pacers in the NBA. Pythia makes Cleveland Cavaliers the favourite at 71% and projects 119-112, about 230 points in all. Overtime chance: 6%. Cleveland Cavaliers are 6-6 this season (116.4 scored, 114.3 allowed a game), form LWLLW; Indiana Pacers are 4-8 this season (111.6 scored, 114.0 allowed a game), form LWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers win
71.3%fair 1.40
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers win
28.7%fair 3.48
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
103avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
121-111
121
111
+10
101avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
112-117
112
117
-5
81avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
116-124
116
124
-8
86avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
119-95
119
95
+24
91avg 108
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
112-124
112
124
-12
83avg 108
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
115-107
115
107
+8
95avg 108
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
30-26
18-33
36-31
28-27
20-37
24-23
30-28
42-36
33-22
29-32
29-20
28-21
27-26
26-37
17-25
27-21
28-29
25-40
27-38
32-17
33-23
26-30
23-23
33-31
230.3Avg total
116.6Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)116.4114.3230.8+2.150%
Season at home (6)116.8113.0229.8+3.867%
Season away (6)116.0115.7231.7+0.333%
Last 10 (10)116.6113.7230.3+2.950%
Last 5 (5)111.8111.8223.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)107.1112.0219.1-4.943%
vs Similar (12)112.2111.2223.5+1.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)123.5116.8240.2+6.875%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
136-109
136
109
+27
138avg 104
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
102-110
102
110
-8
90avg 104
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
109-114
109
114
-5
104avg 104
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
125-145
125
145
-20
115avg 104
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 104
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
75avg 104
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
107-103
107
103
+4
98avg 104
A05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
102-114
102
114
-12
97avg 104
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
122-125
122
125
-3
117avg 104
A10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-101
114
101
+13
110avg 104
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
41-30
37-24
34-29
29-31
32-19
24-34
17-26
25-25
27-37
36-13
21-39
42-36
19-32
27-35
37-42
19-20
21-23
22-28
28-27
29-37
27-31
23-19
25-21
32-24
22-28
26-30
27-21
19-27
22-37
37-26
24-24
31-26
35-30
27-34
29-35
26-25
29-25
22-27
37-24
223.8Avg total
111.1Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)111.6114.0225.6-2.433%
Season at home (6)104.0109.3213.3-5.317%
Season away (6)119.2118.7237.8+0.550%
Last 10 (10)111.1112.7223.8-1.630%
Last 5 (5)109.8110.2220.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)112.6121.2233.8-8.617%
vs Similar (10)117.6114.9232.5+2.740%
vs Weaker (2)112.5115.0227.5-2.550%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1801%1851%1902%1953%2005%2057%2108%21510%22011%22511%23010%2359%2407%2455%2504%2553%2601%2651%2701%2750%2800%285
1%1852%1955%2058%21511%22510%2357%2454%2551%2651%2750%285
Pythia expects about 230 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 225-229 (11%).
Over/Under 220
Over 220
71.2%
Under 220
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225
Over 225
61.0%
Under 225
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230
Over 230
50.0%
Under 230
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cleveland Cavaliers total 109.5
Over 109.5
79.3%
Under 109.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland Cavaliers total 113.5
Over 113.5
68.2%
Under 113.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland Cavaliers total 117.5
Over 117.5
55.2%
Under 117.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indiana Pacers total 107.5
Over 107.5
62.4%
Under 107.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indiana Pacers total 111.5
Over 111.5
49.1%
Under 111.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indiana Pacers total 115.5
Over 115.5
36.1%
Under 115.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-301%-271%-241%-212%-183%-154%-125%-97%-67%-35%+09%+39%+69%+98%+127%+156%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+361%+390%+42
0%-301%-242%-184%-127%-65%+09%+68%+126%+184%+242%+301%+360%+42
Margin from Cleveland Cavaliers's side (positive = Cleveland Cavaliers win). Pythia's expected margin is +7.4; Cleveland Cavaliers win by 1+ in 64% of simulations.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers -3
CLE -3
66.0%
IND +3
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
IND
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers 0
CLE 0
71.3%
IND 0
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
IND
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers +3
CLE +3
76.8%
IND -3
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
IND
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Cleveland CavaliersIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/11
NBA
112.3Avg total
54.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.255.4109.5-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.158.0114.1-1.933%-
Last 30 away (15)52.352.7105.0-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)54.457.9112.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)54.259.8114.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)52.455.8108.2-3.429%-
vs Similar (12)53.253.5106.8-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)63.059.5122.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H12/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
55.1Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.961.6119.5-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.764.5119.2-9.920%-
Last 30 away (15)61.158.7119.9+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)55.156.9112.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)54.458.0112.4-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)57.665.7123.3-8.228%-
vs Similar (10)58.455.0113.4+3.460%-
vs Weaker (2)58.558.0116.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.6
33.2%
35.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.321.4
73.0%
77.1%21.4
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.328.1
57.0%
54.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.412.3
32.9%
35.1%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.817.9
75.2%
77.1%17.9
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLLWLLWLWW
Indiana Pacers
WLLWLLLLLW
#16
League position
#22
-6.4
Net rating
-0.5
104.8
Offensive rating
107.8
111.2
Defensive rating
108.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.5%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
32.9%
61.3%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 107.8Defence111.2 · 108.3Shooting52.2% · 53.7%3-point %33.2% · 32.9%Ball care16.0% · 13.5%Off. rebounds19.9% · 24.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ANew York Knicks115-107
10/11/26ACharlotte Hornets112-124
08/11/26HNew York Knicks97-109
07/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-95
05/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-124
03/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HWashington Wizards114-101
10/11/26ADallas Mavericks122-125
07/11/26HDenver Nuggets102-114
05/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies107-103
03/11/26HAtlanta Hawks104-108
01/11/26HBrooklyn Nets90-98
31/10/26AMiami Heat125-145
28/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
27/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks102-110
25/10/26ABrooklyn Nets136-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game116.4116.8116.0
Allowed / game114.3113.0115.7
Point differential+2.1+3.8+0.3
Avg total230.8229.8231.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%17%50%
Points / game111.6104.0119.2
Allowed / game114.0109.3118.7
Point differential-2.4-5.3+0.5
Avg total225.6213.3237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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