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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 118-114
Projected total 231.5
Scheduled
Position#17
Record7-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game115.9
Cleveland Cavaliers
USA
Vs
62%
38%
■ CLE 62%■ MEM 38%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Memphis Grizzlies
USA
Position#8
Record9-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game120.6
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· Rocket Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Memphis Grizzlies
18 Nov 2026
CLE v MEM
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
CLE108
MEM100
23 Feb 2025
CLE129
MEM123
10 Apr 2024
CLE110
MEM98
02 Feb 2023
CLE128
MEM113
04 Jan 2022
CLE106
MEM110
11 Jan 2021
CLE91
MEM101
20 Dec 2019
CLE114
MEM107
23 Feb 2019
CLE112
MEM107
02 Dec 2017
CLE116
MEM111
13 Dec 2016
CLE103
MEM86
07 Mar 2016
CLE103
MEM106
21 Dec 2014
CLE105
MEM91
09 Feb 2014
CLE91
MEM83
08 Mar 2013
CLE92
MEM103
27 Nov 2010
CLE92
MEM86
02 Feb 2010
CLE105
MEM89
24 Feb 2009
CLE94
MEM79
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The Cleveland Cavaliers face the Memphis Grizzlies on 18 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Cavaliers the model favourite and a 62% chance to win versus 38% for Memphis, who are projected to score 114 to Cleveland's 118 for a 231.5-point total. Cleveland's season record stands at 6-6, with 116.4 points scored and 114.3 allowed per game, while Memphis sits 7-4, averaging 117.9 points and 111.9 allowed. Cleveland's home record is 4-2, 116.8 points for and 113.0 against, and they have won 2 of their last 5 games; their recent outings include a 115-107 win over New York, a 112-124 loss to Charlotte, and a 97-109 defeat at home to New York. Memphis has a perfect 5-0 road record, 117.2 points for and 106.0 against, but has won only 1 of its last 5 games, with recent results of a 118-123 loss to Denver, a 118-102 win over Toronto, and a 97-128 loss to Oklahoma City. Historically, Cleveland has won 7 of 10 meetings, most recently defeating Memphis 142-126 on 6 April 2026. The projected score of 118-114 suggests a close contest, with a 6% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers win
62.3%fair 1.60
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis Grizzlies win
37.7%fair 2.65
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
112-117
112
117
-5
81avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
116-124
116
124
-8
86avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
119-95
119
95
+24
91avg 108
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
112-124
112
124
-12
83avg 108
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
115-107
115
107
+8
95avg 108
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
121-133
121
133
-12
97avg 108
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
127-117
127
117
+10
no box
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
30-26
18-33
36-31
28-27
20-37
24-23
30-28
42-36
33-22
29-32
29-20
28-21
27-26
26-37
17-25
27-21
28-29
25-40
27-38
32-17
33-23
26-30
23-23
33-31
27-29
30-25
34-38
30-41
33-33
38-20
34-38
22-26
231.7Avg total
116.6Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)117.5115.9233.4+1.650%
Season at home (7)118.3113.6231.9+4.771%
Season away (7)116.7118.1234.9-1.429%
Last 10 (10)116.6115.1231.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)114.4118.0232.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)107.1112.0219.1-4.943%
vs Similar (12)112.8113.9226.8-1.133%
vs Weaker (4)123.5116.8240.2+6.875%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrizzlies
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#29
W
110-105
110
105
+5
104avg 104
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
124-103
124
103
+21
121avg 104
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
136-105
136
105
+31
135avg 104
H01/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
134-135 OT
134
135
-1
133avg 104
H03/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
103-107
103
107
-4
97avg 104
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
97-128
97
128
-31
80avg 104
H07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 104
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
118-123
118
123
-5
111avg 104
H12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
142-111
142
111
+31
145avg 104
A14/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
129-110
129
110
+19
no box
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
28-31
31-24
21-29
25-25
33-33
33-25
33-20
27-21
39-34
42-25
28-25
28-34
34-25
33-41
29-24
24-32
28-22
30-26
21-27
28-35
21-36
27-27
21-30
25-26
34-27
30-28
29-21
24-35
28-30
38-29
28-29
35-28
35-30
35-28
37-25
38-23
33-31
32-30
26-26
234.0Avg total
121.1Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)120.6111.7232.3+8.969%
Season at home (7)120.0115.9235.9+4.143%
Season away (6)121.3106.8228.2+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)121.1112.9234.0+8.260%
Last 5 (5)120.8114.8235.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)109.8128.6238.5-18.88%
vs Similar (5)114.4127.4241.8-13.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)120.3112.4232.8+7.967%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%8%11%0%1801%1851%1902%1953%2004%2056%2108%21510%22010%22511%23010%2359%2407%2456%2504%2553%2602%2651%2701%2751%2800%285
0%1801%1903%2006%21010%22011%2309%2406%2503%2601%2701%280
Pythia expects about 231 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 230-234 (11%).
Over/Under 220
Over 220
72.9%
Under 220
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225
Over 225
62.9%
Under 225
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230
Over 230
52.1%
Under 230
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cleveland Cavaliers total 109
Over 109
77.9%
Under 109
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland Cavaliers total 113
Over 113
66.3%
Under 113
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland Cavaliers total 117
Over 117
52.8%
Under 117
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Memphis Grizzlies total 107.5
Over 107.5
69.2%
Under 107.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Memphis Grizzlies total 111.5
Over 111.5
56.5%
Under 111.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Memphis Grizzlies total 115.5
Over 115.5
43.2%
Under 115.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%4%7%9%0%-331%-301%-272%-242%-213%-184%-155%-126%-98%-68%-36%+09%+39%+68%+97%+126%+155%+184%+213%+242%+272%+301%+330%+360%+39
0%-331%-272%-214%-156%-98%-39%+38%+96%+154%+212%+271%+330%+39
Margin from Cleveland Cavaliers's side (positive = Cleveland Cavaliers win). Pythia's expected margin is +4.1; Cleveland Cavaliers win by 1+ in 55% of simulations.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers -3
CLE -3
56.3%
MEM +3
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
MEM
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers 0
CLE 0
62.3%
MEM 0
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
MEM
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers +3
CLE +3
68.5%
MEM -3
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
CLE
No market prices yet.
MEM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
Cleveland CavaliersMemphis Grizzlies
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H15/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
56.3Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.655.5110.1-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.958.6115.6-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)52.652.8105.4-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.7112.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.4117.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.455.8108.2-3.429%-
vs Similar (12)54.353.9108.2+0.433%-
vs Weaker (4)63.059.5122.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#29
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H01/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H03/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
49-71
49
71
-22
H07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A14/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H15/11
NBA
117.6Avg total
59.7Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.261.0118.2-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.760.4117.1-3.725%-
Last 30 away (14)57.761.8119.5-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)59.757.9117.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)60.260.2120.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.363.9118.2-9.68%-
vs Similar (5)55.862.6118.4-6.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)60.857.2118.1+3.675%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.6
33.2%
35.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.321.4
73.0%
77.2%21.4
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.7
52.9%
54.0%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.015.3
38.2%
35.1%45.9
🏀 Free throws20.317.2
84.7%
77.2%17.2
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWLLWLLWL
Memphis Grizzlies
WWLWLLLWWW
#17
League position
#8
-6.4
Net rating
+3.4
104.8
Offensive rating
112.1
111.2
Defensive rating
108.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
38.2%
61.3%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 112.1Defence111.2 · 108.7Shooting52.2% · 54.9%3-point %33.2% · 38.2%Ball care16.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds19.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Memphis Grizzlies
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Cleveland Cavaliers wins
3
Memphis Grizzlies wins
DateGameScore
07/04/26Memphis Grizzlies v Cleveland Cavaliers126-142
15/11/25Cleveland Cavaliers v Memphis Grizzlies108-100
15/03/25Memphis Grizzlies v Cleveland Cavaliers124-133
24/02/25Cleveland Cavaliers v Memphis Grizzlies129-123
10/04/24Cleveland Cavaliers v Memphis Grizzlies110-98
02/02/24Memphis Grizzlies v Cleveland Cavaliers101-108
03/02/23Cleveland Cavaliers v Memphis Grizzlies128-113
19/01/23Memphis Grizzlies v Cleveland Cavaliers115-114
05/01/22Cleveland Cavaliers v Memphis Grizzlies106-110
21/10/21Memphis Grizzlies v Cleveland Cavaliers132-121
Cleveland Cavalierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDallas Mavericks127-117
14/11/26AMiami Heat121-133
12/11/26ANew York Knicks115-107
10/11/26ACharlotte Hornets112-124
08/11/26HNew York Knicks97-109
07/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-95
05/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-124
03/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
Memphis Grizzlieslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HBrooklyn Nets129-110
14/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans142-111
12/11/26HDenver Nuggets118-123
10/11/26AToronto Raptors118-102
07/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder97-128
05/11/26HIndiana Pacers103-107
03/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans134-135 OT
01/11/26HSacramento Kings136-105
30/10/26APortland Trail Blazers124-103
27/10/26AUtah Jazz110-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game117.5118.3116.7
Allowed / game115.9113.6118.1
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.4
Avg total233.4231.9234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%43%100%
Points / game120.6120.0121.3
Allowed / game111.7115.9106.8
Point differential+8.9+4.1+14.5
Avg total232.3235.9228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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