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Cleveland Charge vs Sioux Falls Skyforce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Projected 117-120
Projected total 236.7
Final 142-148
37-34 28-41 45-38 32-35
Position#29
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game122.0
Allowed / game142.0
Vs
41%
59%
■ CLEV 41%■ SIOU 59%
Pythia win probability
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game125.0
Allowed / game115.0
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cleveland Charge v Sioux Falls Skyforce
14 Nov 2026
CLEV142
SIOU148
13 Dec 2025
CLEV141
SIOU111
03 Dec 2024
CLEV107
SIOU103
01 Dec 2023
CLEV109
SIOU113
30 Nov 2022
CLEV115
SIOU103
29 Nov 2022
CLEV126
SIOU111
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Cleveland Charge will host the Sioux Falls Skyforce on 14 November 2026 in the NBA G League, with the Skyforce the model favourite as they lead the contest. Cleveland's single game this season ends 0-1, 122.0 points scored and 142.0 allowed, while Sioux Falls is undefeated 2-0, 125.0 points scored and 115.0 allowed, placing them fourth in the league; the Charge's lone home outing also yields a 0-1 record, 122.0 points and 142.0 allowed, whereas the Skyforce's two away games are 2-0, 125.0 points and 115.0 allowed. Cleveland's last five games feature one win and four losses, including a 122-142 defeat to Motor City Cruise, a 123-126 loss to Capital City Go-Go, and a 113-93 victory over Long Island Nets; Sioux Falls' recent five games include two wins, one loss, with back-to-back victories over Grand Rapids Gold (120-114 and 130-116) and a 132-140 loss to South Bay Lakers. Historically, the Skyforce have won six of the ten meetings, though Cleveland last beat them 141-111 on 13 December 2025. Pythia assigns a 42% chance to Cleveland and 58% to Sioux Falls, projecting a 116-119 score for a total of 234.8 points; the 237.5 over/under line carries a 44% over probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The Skyforce's recent road dominance suggests they will likely edge the Charge in this encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Charge winLost
40.9%fair 2.44
Best odds1.21
Implied77.6%
Edge-36.6pp
Sioux Falls Skyforce winWon
59.1%fair 1.69
Best odds4.18
Implied22.4%
Edge+36.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland ChargeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
138-116
138
116
+22
H13/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
130-100
130
100
+30
H14/03
NBA - G League
Westchester
#29
W
122-107
122
107
+15
A17/03
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
L
124-141
124
141
-17
H18/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
91-121
91
121
-30
A22/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
105-130
105
130
-25
A24/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
L
112-134
112
134
-22
A26/03
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#17
W
113-93
113
93
+20
H28/03
NBA - G League
Capital City Go-Go
#18
L
123-126
123
126
-3
H01/04
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#15
L
122-142
122
142
-20
H11/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
31-27
49-29
33-30
39-31
31-18
29-29
31-22
27-28
43-31
32-25
20-23
20-37
32-39
42-33
30-32
31-41
28-28
17-31
15-21
22-28
21-42
34-33
28-27
32-32
28-36
29-31
23-35
28-21
34-21
25-30
26-21
29-25
29-26
35-41
30-34
24-33
37-43
34-41
27-25
239.0Avg total
118.0Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)122.0142.0264.0-20.00%
Season at home (1)122.0142.0264.0-20.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)118.0121.0239.0-3.040%
Last 5 (5)115.0125.0240.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)124.0133.3257.3-9.333%
vs Similar (9)120.0116.8236.8+3.256%
vs Weaker (18)124.6116.3240.9+8.372%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
118-119
118
119
-1
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
121-123 OT
121
123
-2
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
131-89
131
89
+42
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
105-116
105
116
-11
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
114-137
114
137
-23
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
132-140
132
140
-8
A29/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#25
W
130-116
130
116
+14
A08/11
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#25
W
120-114
120
114
+6
A08/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
31-24
27-31
32-35
29-30
38-31
28-20
23-38
30-28
38-28
34-34
18-28
16-39
33-17
29-32
37-27
33-20
36-29
31-24
31-16
32-25
31-32
18-27
24-32
23-31
35-37
36-32
20-37
31-36
36-35
39-38
26-31
26-27
35-26
37-29
32-34
34-32
29-26
24-28
33-28
238.8Avg total
120.7Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)125.0115.0240.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)125.0115.0240.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)120.7118.1238.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)120.2124.6244.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)118.8124.5243.2-5.825%
vs Similar (15)116.7111.7228.4+5.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)119.0112.9231.9+6.155%
This opponent (Cleveland Charge) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 232.5Actual: Over 232.5
Over 232.5
58.6%
Under 232.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 237.5 · main lineActual: Over 237.5
Over 237.5
48.2%
@ 1.84-2.7pp
Under 237.5
51.8%
@ 1.91+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.91
Over/Under 242.5Actual: Over 242.5
Over 242.5
38.0%
Under 242.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cleveland Charge total 122.5Actual: Cleveland Charge over 122.5
Over 122.5
31.7%
Under 122.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland Charge total 126.5 · main lineActual: Cleveland Charge over 126.5
Over 126.5
20.8%
@ 1.85-29.2pp
Under 126.5
79.2%
@ 1.85+29.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
Cleveland Charge total 130.5Actual: Cleveland Charge over 130.5
Over 130.5
12.5%
Under 130.5
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 107.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 107.5
Over 107.5
85.2%
Under 107.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 111.5 · main lineActual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 111.5
Over 111.5
76.1%
@ 1.86+26.4pp
Under 111.5
23.9%
@ 1.84-26.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 115.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 115.5
Over 115.5
64.5%
Under 115.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cleveland Charge -3Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +3
CLEV -3
33.3%
SIOU +3
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
CLEV
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Charge 0Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce 0
CLEV 0
40.9%
SIOU 0
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
CLEV
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland Charge +3Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce -3
CLEV +3
48.6%
SIOU -3
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
CLEV
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
Cleveland ChargeSioux Falls Skyforce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland ChargeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H13/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H14/03
NBA - G League
Westchester
#29
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A17/03
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H18/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A22/03
NBA - G League
Maine Celtics
#14
L
43-70
43
70
-27
A24/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A26/03
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#17
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H28/03
NBA - G League
Capital City Go-Go
#18
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H01/04
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#15
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H11/11
NBA - G League
120.8Avg total
59.1Scored
61.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 118.5
Last 30 (30)60.861.8122.6-0.953%57%
Last 30 at home (16)62.058.9120.9+3.162%56%
Last 30 away (14)59.565.1124.6-5.643%57%
Last 10 (10)59.161.7120.8-2.640%60%
Last 5 (5)56.861.4118.2-4.640%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)61.771.3133.0-9.733%100%
vs Similar (9)61.459.2120.7+2.267%44%
vs Weaker (18)60.461.4121.8-1.150%56%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A29/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#25
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A08/11
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#25
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A08/11
NBA - G League
119.4Avg total
62.2Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 118.5
Last 30 (30)60.355.5115.8+4.970%50%
Last 30 at home (15)61.954.7116.6+7.173%40%
Last 30 away (15)58.856.2115.0+2.667%60%
Last 10 (10)62.257.2119.4+5.070%60%
Last 5 (5)62.461.4123.8+1.060%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.861.2124.0+1.525%75%
vs Similar (15)60.753.8114.5+6.980%40%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)59.055.6114.6+3.473%55%
This opponent (Cleveland Charge) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Cleveland Charge -7.5 · main lineActual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +7.5
CLEV -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
SIOU +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 118.5 · main lineActual: Over 118.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
Cleveland Charge 1st half total 63.5 · main lineActual: Cleveland Charge over 63.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under
no forecast
@ 1.79
Sioux Falls Skyforce 1st half total 55.5 · main lineActual: Sioux Falls Skyforce over 55.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Spread Cleveland Charge -8.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +8.5
CLEV -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
SIOU +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Cleveland Charge -6.5Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce +6.5
CLEV -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
SIOU +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Over/Under 116.5Actual: Over 116.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.65
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce (regulation)
CLEV
no forecast
@ 1.31
Draw
no forecast
@ 13.00
SIOU
no forecast
@ 3.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Cleveland Charge under 124.574.0%2.07
1xBet
2.07
----+29.8ppLost
Cleveland Charge under 125.576.7%1.94
1xBet
1.94
----+29.5ppLost
Cleveland Charge under 126.579.2%1.85
1xBet
1.85
----+29.2ppLost
Cleveland Charge under 127.581.5%1.74
1xBet
1.74
----+28.9ppLost
Cleveland Charge under 128.583.7%1.65
1xBet
1.65
----+28.2ppLost
Sioux Falls Skyforce over 112.573.4%1.95
1xBet
1.95
----+26.6ppWon
Sioux Falls Skyforce over 113.570.6%2.08
1xBet
2.08
----+26.5ppWon
Sioux Falls Skyforce over 111.576.1%1.86
1xBet
1.86
----+26.4ppWon
Sioux Falls Skyforce over 110.578.6%1.75
1xBet
1.75
----+26.3ppWon
Sioux Falls Skyforce over 109.581.0%1.66
1xBet
1.66
----+25.9ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMotor City Cruise122-142
01/04/26HCapital City Go-Go123-126
28/03/26HLong Island Nets113-93
26/03/26ANoblesville Boom112-134
24/03/26AMaine Celtics105-130
22/03/26AMaine Celtics91-121
18/03/26HDelaware Blue Coats124-141
17/03/26AWestchester122-107
14/03/26HSanta Cruz Warriors130-100
13/03/26HSanta Cruz Warriors138-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AGrand Rapids Gold120-114
08/11/26AGrand Rapids Gold130-116
29/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers132-140
27/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers114-137
22/03/26HMexico City Capitanes105-116
21/03/26HMexico City Capitanes131-89
14/03/26HStockton Kings121-123 OT
11/03/26HStockton Kings120-118
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs118-119
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs116-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Charge
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game122.0122.0-
Allowed / game142.0142.0-
Point differential-20.0-20.0-
Avg total264.0264.0-
Over 237.5100%100%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game125.0-125.0
Allowed / game115.0-115.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total240.0-240.0
Over 237.550%-50%
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maine Celtics330100%120.3101.0+19.3
2 Wisconsin Herd220100%142.0127.0+15.0
3 Windy City Bulls330100%125.3114.3+11.0
4 Sioux Falls Skyforce220100%125.0115.0+10.0
5 Osceola Magic330100%102.393.7+8.7
6 Austin Toros Spurs220100%118.5113.0+5.5
7 Long Island Nets43175%117.0109.5+7.5
8 South Bay Lakers43175%115.8109.2+6.5
9 San Diego Clippers43175%123.5121.0+2.5
10 Stockton Kings32167%125.3125.3+0.0
11 Greensboro Swarm53260%113.2106.0+7.2
12 Mexico City Capitanes53260%95.694.2+1.4
13 Birmingham Squadron21150%104.5101.5+3.0
14 Motor City Cruise21150%129.5128.0+1.5
15 Delaware Blue Coats21150%131.5132.0-0.5
16 Santa Cruz Warriors21150%117.0117.5-0.5
17 College Park Skyhawks42250%118.8125.0-6.2
18 Noblesville Boom52340%119.0120.0-1.0
19 Rio Grande Valley Vipers31233%102.799.3+3.3
20 Memphis Hustle31233%109.7108.0+1.7
21 Salt Lake City Stars31233%104.7104.7+0.0
22 Rip City Remix31233%113.0116.3-3.3
23 Texas Legends31233%95.3101.0-5.7
24 Raptors 90541325%116.8124.8-8.0
25 Iowa Wolves41325%118.8128.8-10.0
26 Oklahoma City Blue51420%93.4103.0-9.6
27 Grand Rapids Gold3030%114.3121.3-7.0
28 Valley Suns3030%115.0123.3-8.3
29 Westchester3030%94.0107.7-13.7
30 Cleveland Charge1010%122.0142.0-20.0
31 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Charge37284532142
Sioux Falls Skyforce34413835148
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