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Colorado State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 74-77
28-39 46-38
Position#52
Record20-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#25
Record22-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Colorado State v Nevada
30 Dec 2025
COLO62
NEVA75
13 Mar 2025
COLO67
NEVA59
18 Feb 2025
COLO79
NEVA71
27 Feb 2024
COLO74
NEVA77
25 Jan 2022
COLO77
NEVA66
29 Jan 2020
COLO92
NEVA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A27/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A04/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H10/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
37-42
28-31
37-34
37-29
42-42
31-25
42-36
37-30
38-32
38-19
28-28
44-30
11-41
43-26
32-29
30-30
36-38
26-24
34-42
134.6Avg total
68.9Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.967.8144.6+9.171%
Season at home (16)82.167.1149.2+15.094%
Season away (12)69.868.7138.5+1.242%
Last 10 (10)68.965.7134.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)64.461.4125.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.068.8141.8+4.262%
vs Weaker (11)82.267.6149.8+14.591%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A07/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-44
56-54
35-27
42-37
24-38
31-51
49-24
41-36
36-27
41-36
30-27
30-33
35-45
47-38
28-36
41-30
44-21
32-37
34-29
50-34
148.3Avg total
77.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.566.3142.8+10.279%
Season at home (15)79.062.7141.7+16.387%
Season away (13)73.670.5144.1+3.269%
Last 10 (10)77.371.0148.3+6.370%
Last 5 (5)76.267.2143.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.472.4142.7-2.050%
vs Weaker (16)81.763.9145.6+17.894%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
Colorado StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A27/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H10/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A25/02
NCAA
62.0Avg total
34.1Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.265.5+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.431.169.5+7.371%-
Last 30 away (13)31.428.960.3+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)34.127.962.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.225.862.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.530.058.5-1.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.029.963.9+4.169%-
vs Weaker (11)37.630.968.5+6.764%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A24/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.566.0+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.726.964.6+10.881%-
Last 30 away (14)32.934.767.6-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.867.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.665.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.432.663.0-2.143%-
vs Weaker (16)39.828.868.6+11.188%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Colorado State wins
4
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AUNLV60-66
22/02/24ANew Mexico66-68
17/02/24HUtah State75-55
14/02/24ASan Diego State55-71
10/02/24HSan Jose State66-47
07/02/24HBoise State75-62
04/02/24AFresno State73-61
31/01/24HSan Diego State79-71
27/01/24AWyoming76-79 OT
25/01/24ANevada64-77
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ASan Jose State84-63
21/02/24HWyoming76-58
18/02/24AUNLV69-66
14/02/24HNew Mexico82-83
10/02/24HSan Diego State70-66 OT
07/02/24AUtah State77-63
03/02/24HSan Jose State90-60
29/01/24ANew Mexico55-89
25/01/24HColorado State77-64
21/01/24AWyoming93-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL71%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %71%94%42%
Points / game76.982.169.8
Allowed / game67.867.168.7
Point differential+9.1+15.0+1.2
Avg total144.6149.2138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWLW87%
AwayLLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %79%87%69%
Points / game76.579.073.6
Allowed / game66.362.770.5
Point differential+10.2+16.3+3.2
Avg total142.8141.7144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%80%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2824486%80.168.4+11.8
2 Utah State2823582%79.569.4+10.1
3 Nevada2822679%76.566.3+10.2
4 New Mexico2821775%82.871.1+11.7
5 San Diego State2821775%75.366.0+9.2
6 Boise State2820871%75.966.2+9.8
7 Colorado State2820871%76.967.8+9.1
8 UNLV27171063%74.268.4+5.9
9 Wyoming28131546%72.775.9-3.2
10 Fresno State28111739%68.272.9-4.6
11 Air Force2791833%66.671.6-5.0
12 San Jose State2891932%70.875.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State284674
Nevada393877
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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