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Nevada vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-66 (OT)
30-27 30-33 10-6
Position#25
Record18-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game66.1
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#48
Record18-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nevada v San Diego State
06 Jan 2026
NEVA68
SAN 73
25 Jan 2025
NEVA50
SAN 69
09 Feb 2024
NEVA70
SAN 66
31 Jan 2023
NEVA75
SAN 66
05 Mar 2022
NEVA78
SAN 79
29 Feb 2020
NEVA76
SAN 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H13/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A18/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-20
47-39
36-32
36-25
30-24
37-30
27-30
29-34
24-38
35-33
37-44
56-54
35-27
42-37
24-38
31-51
49-24
41-36
36-27
41-36
141.7Avg total
73.8Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.666.1142.7+10.478%
Season at home (12)79.861.2140.9+18.692%
Season away (11)73.171.5144.6+1.564%
Last 10 (10)73.867.9141.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)78.474.8153.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.870.9139.7-2.143%
vs Weaker (16)79.964.9144.8+15.088%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#304
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H06/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A13/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
35-21
35-25
37-36
42-41
39-37
37-40
33-48
38-24
33-35
31-34
35-33
34-32
47-33
29-37
42-42
42-36
39-31
45-20
32-44
141.9Avg total
74.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.367.2143.4+9.178%
Season at home (14)78.962.9141.7+16.0100%
Season away (9)72.273.9146.1-1.744%
Last 10 (10)74.467.5141.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)75.268.4143.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.065.9138.9+7.171%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.067.5138.5+3.577%
vs Weaker (9)80.663.4144.0+17.1100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +1.2+1.2
NevadaSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H13/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A18/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
34.3Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.665.8+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.926.462.3+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)34.434.969.3-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)34.330.464.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.068.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.431.461.7-1.043%-
vs Weaker (16)39.430.069.4+9.481%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#304
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
45-20
45
20
+25
A07/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
37.2Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.367.3+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.230.467.6+6.885%-
Last 30 away (10)33.633.166.7+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.231.568.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.868.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.030.662.6+1.471%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.332.266.5+2.246%-
vs Weaker (9)41.031.272.2+9.8100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevada wins
9
San Diego State wins
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AUtah State77-63
03/02/24HSan Jose State90-60
29/01/24ANew Mexico55-89
25/01/24HColorado State77-64
21/01/24AWyoming93-98
18/01/24ASan Diego State59-71
13/01/24HBoise State56-64
10/01/24HAir Force67-54
07/01/24AFresno State72-57
31/12/23HFresno Pacific92-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AAir Force77-64
03/02/24HUtah State81-67
31/01/24AColorado State71-79
24/01/24HWyoming81-65
20/01/24ABoise State66-67
18/01/24HNevada71-59
13/01/24ANew Mexico70-88
10/01/24ASan Jose State81-78
06/01/24HUNLV72-61
04/01/24HFresno State74-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game76.679.873.1
Allowed / game66.161.271.5
Point differential+10.4+18.6+1.5
Avg total142.7140.9144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%92%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %78%100%44%
Points / game76.378.972.2
Allowed / game67.262.973.9
Point differential+9.1+16.0-1.7
Avg total143.4141.7146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%79%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2321291%80.567.7+12.8
2 New Mexico2319483%84.469.7+14.7
3 Utah State2319483%81.069.3+11.7
4 Nevada2318578%76.666.1+10.4
5 Colorado State2318578%79.669.2+10.4
6 San Diego State2318578%76.367.2+9.1
7 Boise State2316770%74.966.8+8.0
8 UNLV2112957%75.169.7+5.5
9 Wyoming23121152%73.175.0-1.9
10 Fresno State23101343%69.472.5-3.0
11 Air Force2281436%68.171.1-3.0
12 San Jose State2381535%72.874.9-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Nevada30301070
San Diego State2733666
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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