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Fresno State vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 61-73
25-31 36-42
Position#304
Record9-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#52
Record16-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fresno State v Colorado State
13 Jan 2026
FRES79
COLO69
25 Jan 2025
FRES64
COLO69
03 Feb 2024
FRES61
COLO73
18 Feb 2023
FRES57
COLO60
04 Feb 2020
FRES70
COLO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#49
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
23-38
26-22
45-45
26-39
21-35
32-36
25-36
35-28
32-40
39-40
46-42
27-40
35-43
32-42
36-30
40-43
44-27
28-37
41-41
141.0Avg total
66.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.973.2143.0-3.343%
Season at home (12)74.070.8144.8+3.258%
Season away (9)64.376.3140.7-12.022%
Last 10 (10)66.774.3141.0-7.630%
Last 5 (5)73.677.0150.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.273.8137.0-10.611%
vs Similar (10)78.269.0147.2+9.280%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A23/12
NCAA
Adams State
#458
W
106-61
106
61
+45
H30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
78-69 OT
78
69
+9
H17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A27/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
41-40
56-35
50-26
33-30
43-38
32-28
40-49
21-28
37-37
24-27
40-37
32-39
46-36
27-35
37-42
28-31
37-34
37-29
42-42
147.2Avg total
76.3Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.169.9150.0+10.276%
Season at home (13)84.570.0154.5+14.592%
Season away (8)73.069.8142.8+3.250%
Last 10 (10)76.370.9147.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)75.074.2149.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.073.8143.8-3.820%
vs Similar (15)73.168.2141.3+4.973%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.070.7155.7+14.389%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +3.2+3.2
Fresno StateColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#49
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A31/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
31.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.665.2-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.432.766.1+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)29.234.864.1-5.615%-
Last 10 (10)31.936.668.5-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.473.6-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.835.765.4-5.928%-
vs Similar (10)33.732.065.7+1.740%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A23/12
NCAA
Adams State
#458
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A27/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H31/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
32.5Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.365.7+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.132.670.7+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)29.529.659.2-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)32.530.963.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.261.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.034.465.4-3.420%-
vs Similar (15)32.329.762.1+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.332.971.2+5.456%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
9
Colorado State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AUNLV69-78
28/01/24HAir Force84-70
24/01/24HBoise State68-72
20/01/24AUtah State62-83
17/01/24HSan Jose State85-82
13/01/24AWyoming67-68
07/01/24HNevada57-72
04/01/24ASan Diego State47-74
30/12/23ASan Diego Toreros71-67
23/12/23ASan Francisco57-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HSan Diego State79-71
27/01/24AWyoming76-79 OT
25/01/24ANevada64-77
20/01/24HUNLV78-75
17/01/24HAir Force78-69 OT
10/01/24ABoise State58-65
07/01/24AUtah State72-77
03/01/24HNew Mexico76-68
30/12/23HAdams State106-61
23/12/23ALoyola Marymount76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%58%22%
Points / game69.974.064.3
Allowed / game73.270.876.3
Point differential-3.3+3.2-12.0
Avg total143.0144.8140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%8%11%
Colorado State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %76%92%50%
Points / game80.184.573.0
Allowed / game69.970.069.8
Point differential+10.2+14.5+3.2
Avg total150.0154.5142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2321291%80.567.7+12.8
2 Utah State2219386%81.869.0+12.8
3 New Mexico2218482%84.169.5+14.6
4 Nevada2217577%76.566.3+10.3
5 San Diego State2217577%76.267.3+8.9
6 Colorado State2116576%80.169.9+10.2
7 Boise State2216673%75.566.5+9.0
8 UNLV2112957%75.169.7+5.5
9 Wyoming22121055%73.174.2-1.1
10 Fresno State2191243%69.973.2-3.3
11 Air Force2181338%68.370.8-2.5
12 San Jose State2281436%73.575.2-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State253661
Colorado State314273
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