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UNLV vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 86-91
39-47 47-44
Position#192
Record13-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.8
UNLV
USA
vs
Colorado State 🏆
USA
Position#90
Record15-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v Colorado State
18 Feb 2026
UNLV86
COLO91
22 Feb 2025
UNLV53
COLO61
24 Feb 2024
UNLV66
COLO60
14 Jan 2023
UNLV81
COLO82
19 Feb 2022
UNLV72
COLO51
18 Feb 2020
UNLV80
COLO56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
36-37
40-31
36-31
38-38
48-38
34-39
37-43
22-41
39-48
28-33
48-56
50-49
46-49
44-34
36-44
45-41
37-34
29-40
48-37
162.0Avg total
80.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.278.8158.0+0.452%
Season at home (13)81.374.8156.1+6.562%
Season away (12)76.983.1160.0-6.242%
Last 10 (10)80.381.7162.0-1.460%
Last 5 (5)84.084.6168.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.579.7150.3-9.227%
vs Similar (12)85.482.3167.8+3.167%
vs Weaker (7)73.462.3135.7+11.171%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
38-33
22-36
47-43
30-39
43-40
38-21
43-31
35-25
26-40
27-33
23-40
23-27
34-41
30-29
35-28
47-39
44-35
37-40
42-28
137.3Avg total
69.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.070.3146.3+5.660%
Season at home (15)79.568.0147.5+11.567%
Season away (10)70.773.8144.5-3.150%
Last 10 (10)69.667.7137.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)68.468.0136.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.677.0145.6-8.420%
vs Similar (12)69.068.0137.0+1.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.769.3152.0+13.383%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
UNLVColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
NCAA
75.5Avg total
37.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.173.0+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.034.472.4+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)35.638.173.7-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.437.571.9-3.227%-
vs Similar (12)39.239.578.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (7)37.028.065.0+9.086%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
32.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.067.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.031.569.5+6.572%-
Last 30 away (12)32.432.865.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)32.131.863.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.666.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.833.665.4-1.860%-
vs Similar (12)33.532.065.5+1.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.731.969.6+5.783%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UNLV wins
6
Colorado State wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Colorado State v UNLV70-62
23/02/25UNLV v Colorado State53-61
11/01/25Colorado State v UNLV84-62
25/02/24UNLV v Colorado State66-60
20/01/24Colorado State v UNLV78-75
01/02/23Colorado State v UNLV71-83
15/01/23UNLV v Colorado State81-82 OT
20/02/22UNLV v Colorado State72-51
29/01/22Colorado State v UNLV74-88
09/01/21Colorado State v UNLV83-80
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ABoise State86-83 OT
11/02/26HSan Jose State82-75
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78
04/02/26AFresno State96-98
31/01/26ANevada76-89
28/01/26HNew Mexico61-89
24/01/26HSan Diego State71-82
21/01/26AUtah State86-76
17/01/26ASan Jose State76-62
14/01/26HBoise State89-85 OT
Colorado Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HWyoming79-68
11/02/26AAir Force91-74
08/02/26HSan Jose State65-57
01/02/26AWyoming57-68
29/01/26ASan Diego State50-73
24/01/26HUtah State61-65
21/01/26HAir Force81-52
17/01/26ABoise State73-79
14/01/26AFresno State69-79
10/01/26HUNLV70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game79.281.376.9
Allowed / game78.874.883.1
Point differential+0.4+6.5-6.2
Avg total158.0156.1160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game76.079.570.7
Allowed / game70.368.073.8
Point differential+5.6+11.5-3.1
Avg total146.3147.5144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%47%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2623388%84.368.6+15.7
2 New Mexico2620677%81.569.2+12.3
3 San Diego State2518772%79.169.5+9.6
4 Grand Canyon2617965%75.268.5+6.7
5 Nevada2617965%76.071.8+4.2
6 Colorado State25151060%76.070.3+5.6
7 Boise State26151158%78.474.6+3.8
8 Wyoming26141254%78.073.5+4.5
9 UNLV25131252%79.278.8+0.4
10 Fresno State26121446%74.072.6+1.5
11 San Jose State2671927%70.877.1-6.3
12 Air Force2632312%61.479.7-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV394786
Colorado State474491
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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