Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Estudiantes Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 10 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 00:00

Postponed

Position#5

Record16-10

FormWLLLW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game78.3

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Estudiantes

Position#19

Record7-20

FormWLLWL

Points / game69.9

Allowed / game77.3

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#14

85-61

+24

H24/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

81-74

A01/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

79-72

A03/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

72-80

-8

H08/02

Liga A

Quimsa

89-63

+26

H15/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

93-60

+33

H27/02

Liga A

Regatas

75-80

-5

A01/03

Liga A

San Martin

70-72

-2

A03/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

78-80

-2

A05/03

Liga A

Regatas

96-86

+10

H09/03

Liga A

23-17

21-23

15-8

26-13

14-20

22-16

19-22

26-16

22-23

18-21

20-15

19-13

17-21

21-25

24-15

10-19

27-9

29-10

20-17

13-27

18-9

25-23

26-10

24-18

21-22

18-17

15-24

21-17

14-21

20-18

20-16

16-17

23-24

20-15

23-22

12-19

17-12

27-20

26-27

154.6Avg total

81.8Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	86.0	78.3	164.3	+7.7	62%
Season at home (13)	87.4	74.4	161.8	+13.0	77%
Season away (13)	84.6	82.2	166.8	+2.5	46%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	72.8	154.6	+9.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	75.6	158.0	+6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	90.0	89.0	179.0	+1.0	100%
vs Similar (4)	82.5	77.2	159.8	+5.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	87.3	79.5	166.8	+7.8	64%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#14

64-72

-8

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

72-92

-20

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

72-78

-6

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

75-103

103

-28

A28/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

74-81

-7

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

66-63

H06/02

Liga A

Quimsa

86-97

-11

H13/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

68-82

-14

H29/02

Liga A

Regatas

73-69

H07/03

Liga A

Libertad

#20

55-64

-9

H14/03

Liga A

13-20

11-26

17-15

23-11

18-27

18-18

24-19

12-28

16-20

7-21

26-20

23-17

16-30

16-23

29-17

14-33

20-14

16-22

22-19

16-26

12-14

17-11

24-22

13-16

16-26

22-21

25-30

23-20

21-20

13-22

19-18

15-22

9-14

21-20

23-9

20-26

10-16

17-14

18-18

150.6Avg total

70.5Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	69.9	77.3	147.2	-7.3	26%
Season at home (15)	70.6	73.7	144.3	-3.1	47%
Season away (12)	69.1	81.8	150.8	-12.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.5	80.1	150.6	-9.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	75.0	144.6	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	70.9	78.6	149.6	-7.7	26%
vs Similar (1)	64.0	72.0	136.0	-8.0	0%
vs Weaker (2)	70.5	76.0	146.5	-5.5	0%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Comunicaciones MercedesEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.1	39.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.6	36.7	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.7	52%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.0	18.8	34.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	16.3	18.1	34.4	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.7	19.8	35.5	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	20.1	35.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	18.0	31.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.2	19.1	35.3	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	14.5	30.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	18.7	42.8	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.9	20.5	36.4	-4.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	20.0	35.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.4	18.9	35.3	-2.5	37%	-
vs Similar (1)	11.0	26.0	37.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	0%	-

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#14

44-40

H24/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

36-36

A01/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

40-44

-4

A03/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

38-46

-8

H08/02

Liga A

Quimsa

56-19

+37

H15/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

43-32

+11

H27/02

Liga A

Regatas

39-39

A01/03

Liga A

San Martin

34-39

-5

A03/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

43-39

A05/03

Liga A

Regatas

44-32

+12

H09/03

Liga A

78.3Avg total

41.7Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.0	81.6	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.2	35.3	79.5	+8.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	42.6	83.6	-1.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.6	78.3	+5.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	49.0	45.0	94.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.5	35.2	76.8	+6.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.5	39.3	81.8	+3.2	52%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#14

24-46

-22

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

36-45

-9

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

23-41

-18

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

32-53

-21

A28/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

36-36

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

29-25

H06/02

Liga A

Quimsa

38-47

-9

H13/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

34-42

-8

H29/02

Liga A

Regatas

30-34

-4

H07/03

Liga A

Libertad

#20

20-32

-12

H14/03

Liga A

70.3Avg total

30.2Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.2	38.0	70.3	-5.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	32.7	36.5	69.2	-3.8	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	31.6	40.3	71.9	-8.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.2	40.1	70.3	-9.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	36.0	66.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	32.6	38.0	70.5	-5.4	30%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	46.0	70.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	35.0	67.0	-3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	22.2	44.8	+0.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.7	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.7	18.8	38.4	+0.9	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.3	19.8	37.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	48%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.8	20.9	43.8	+1.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.7	39.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.1	21.1	40.1	-2.0	48%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	11.0	34.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	14.0	30.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	40.5	84.7	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.2	83.9	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	40.9	85.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.2	76.3	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.8	40.2	85.0	+4.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.5	77.2	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.1	39.4	78.4	-0.3	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.8	39.6	75.4	-3.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	38.4	40.7	79.0	-2.3	26%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	26.0	66.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.5	30.0	58.5	-1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Comunicaciones Mercedestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/20	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	74-81
25/10/19	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	82-85
28/09/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	79-62
31/03/19	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	83-77
02/03/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	86-82
03/10/18	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	89-79
25/09/18	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	55-68
12/04/18	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	77-79
19/12/17	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	71-78
28/09/17	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-75

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/20	H	Regatas	96-86
05/03/20	A	La Union	78-80
03/03/20	A	San Martin	70-72
01/03/20	A	Regatas	75-80
27/02/20	H	Boca Juniors	93-60
15/02/20	H	Quimsa	89-63
08/02/20	H	Obras Sanitarias	72-80
03/02/20	A	Libertad	79-72
01/02/20	A	Estudiantes	81-74
24/01/20	H	Argentino	85-61

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/20	H	Libertad	55-64
07/03/20	H	Regatas	73-69
29/02/20	H	Boca Juniors	68-82
13/02/20	H	Quimsa	86-97
06/02/20	H	Obras Sanitarias	66-63
01/02/20	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	74-81
28/01/20	A	Obras Sanitarias	75-103
26/01/20	A	Ferro	72-78
25/01/20	A	Penarol	72-92
22/01/20	H	Argentino	64-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	62%
Home	WLWWW	77%
Away	WWLLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	62%	77%	46%
Points / game	86.0	87.4	84.6
Allowed / game	78.3	74.4	82.2
Point differential	+7.7	+13.0	+2.5
Avg total	164.3	161.8	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	77%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	26%
Home	WLLWL	47%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	15	12
Win %	26%	47%	0%
Points / game	69.9	70.6	69.1
Allowed / game	77.3	73.7	81.8
Point differential	-7.3	-3.1	-12.7
Avg total	147.2	144.3	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	83% (6)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	21	18	3	86%	90.1	83.4	+6.8
2	San Lorenzo	21	17	4	81%	87.5	80.5	+7.0
3	Gimnasia	25	19	6	76%	87.3	79.8	+7.4
4	Instituto de Cordoba	22	15	7	68%	81.1	75.5	+5.6
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	26	16	10	62%	86.0	78.3	+7.7
6	Ferro	24	14	10	58%	79.3	76.1	+3.2
7	San Martin	23	13	10	57%	82.8	79.5	+3.3
8	Regatas	25	13	12	52%	83.9	81.8	+2.1
9	Olimpico	24	12	12	50%	82.9	81.0	+1.9
10	Boca Juniors	26	13	13	50%	77.9	77.8	+0.2
11	Weber Bahia	26	12	14	46%	90.8	95.3	-4.4
12	Hispano Americano	27	12	15	44%	84.4	84.0	+0.3
13	Obras Sanitarias	26	11	15	42%	84.3	83.2	+1.1
14	Argentino	26	11	15	42%	77.4	83.3	-5.9
15	Penarol	27	11	16	41%	83.3	84.2	-0.9
16	La Union	25	10	15	40%	82.6	84.8	-2.1
17	Atenas	25	10	15	40%	80.4	83.0	-2.6
18	Platense	24	8	16	33%	75.8	82.5	-6.7
19	Estudiantes	27	7	20	26%	69.9	77.3	-7.3
20	Libertad	26	6	20	23%	71.0	83.5	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Estudiantes Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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